What is Valentin Seguy's strike rate?

Valentin Seguy has won 6 of 89 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Valentin Seguy do best at?

Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 30 rides (6.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Valentin Seguy's Fair A/E?

0.77, from 88 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Valentin Seguy

89 rides in the last 5 seasons · 68 individual horses

As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 94 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2022

6–89

Wins / Runs

6.7%

Strike rate

n=89

23 (26%)

Placed

0.77

Fair A/E

n=88 · 0.72 incl. margin

−57.10

£1 level stake

n=89 at SP · −64.2%

£246k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.5%−2.2

n=66 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −52.70

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.5%+5.8

n=8 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −4.90

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.4%−1.3

n=37 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −14.60

When favourite

57.1%

n=7 · A/E 1.50 · £1 +2.50

Big fields · 14+ runners

8.1%+1.4

n=37 · A/E 1.34 · £1 −17.10

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.6%−4.1

n=38 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −29.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 1 2.6% vs 6.7% · n=38

In Group / Graded races 2.6% vs 6.7% · n=38

On first rides for the horse 4.5% vs 6.7% · n=66

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 35 3 8.6% −15.10

Soft 19 1 5.3% −16.90

Good 14 1 7.1% −12.20

Good to Soft 13 0 0% −13.00

Heavy 8 1 12.5% +0.10

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 30 2 6.7% −24.40

Toulouse (FR) 9 1 11.1% −0.90

Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 7 1 14.3% −4.90

Chantilly (FR) 7 1 14.3% +7.30

Saint-Cloud (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

La Teste De Buch (FR) 6 1 16.7% −4.20

Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Longchamp (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Marseille Borely (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Lyon Parilly (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Pau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Strasbourg (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 38 1 2.6% −29.90

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 7 4 57.1% 1.50 +2.50

2nd–3rd fav 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00

4th–6th fav 23 1 4.3% 0.66 −14.90

7th+ in betting 51 1 2% 0.56 −36.70

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Perama (FR) 4 1 3 4 Oct 23

Say Good Buy (GER) 4 0 0 27 May 23

Messina (IRE) 3 0 0 20 Dec 24

El Comandante (SPA) 3 1 2 19 Dec 24

Media Storm (GB) 3 0 1 25 May 24

Hot Spot (IRE) 3 1 2 1 Aug 23

Sirjan (GER) 2 1 1 20 Mar 25

See The Dream (FR) 2 0 0 1 Feb 25

Zoffwaltz (FR) 2 0 1 2 May 24

Vigatata (FR) 2 1 2 21 Apr 24

Ravioli (GB) 2 0 1 25 Nov 23

Save Your Breath (GB) 2 0 0 15 Sep 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 68 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

170200800000207

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

J Reynier 13 0 0% −13.00

Gaspar Vaz 12 1 8.3% +2.30

F Rohaut 11 2 18.2% −7.10

Tiago Martins 9 1 11.1% −6.50

Joao Pedro Silva Pereira 5 0 0% −5.00

A De Watrigant 4 0 0% −4.00

J Calderon 3 0 0% −3.00

A Tsereteli 3 1 33.3% +5.10

F Pardon 2 0 0% −2.00

J-P Gauvin 2 1 50% +1.10

Mario Hofer 2 0 0% −2.00

Patrik Olave Valdivielso 2 0 0% −2.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.07m

Prize money

2020

Best season · 10 wins

Plainchant (FR) — Criterium de Maisons-Laffitte (2yo) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Oct 2020 · Group 2

£70,622

Jo Pickett (FR) — Prix Max Sicard - 17th Etape du Defi du Galop () (3yo+) (Turf) Toulouse (FR) · Nov 2021 · Listed

£26,786

Plainchant (FR) — Prix Eclipse (2yo) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Sep 2020 · Group 3

£26,695

Notable horses

Saint Nicolas (FR) Plainchant (FR) Khefyn (IRE) Perama (FR) Princess Kiara (FR) Showtime Star (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Siyouni (FR) 25% · 2–8

Progeny have won 13% of 8,328 runs since 2008 (976 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 455.

Night Of Thunder (IRE) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,076 runs since 2008 (562 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 157.

Showcasing (GB) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,602 runs since 2008 (997 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Bated Breath (GB) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,141 runs since 2008 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 847.

Cable Bay (IRE) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,714 runs since 2008 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 642. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.

Dabirsim (FR) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,141 runs since 2008 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 254. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 144.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 25 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 450 · newest first

The latest 50 of 450 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 December 2011 to 23 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Jul 26 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) Hilmiyyah (FR)T: Frederic Sanchez Prix Dunixi - Association Des Proprietaires Du Sud-ouest8f · Good · 12 ran 5th 28/1

23 Jul 26 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) Jakarta Trois (FR)T: Mlle C Courtade Criterium Des Landes12f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 8/1

15 Jul 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Fathiyya (FR)T: David Morisson Prix Arcachon Reception7f · Good · 12 ran 4th 33/1

08 Jul 26 Dax (FR) Romance CertaineT: Patrik Olave Valdivielso Prix Du Bois De Boulogne Stakes3 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 9th 10/1

10 Sep 25 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) Mexican Dream (FR)T: F Pardon Prix Ketch (Handicap) (Turf)10f · Very Soft · 10 ran 9th 14/1

10 Sep 25 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) Myboyfriend (FR)T: F Pardon Prix Colonel Noe (Handicap) (Turf)6f · Very Soft · 13 ran 6th 18/1

10 Sep 25 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) She's Centurion (IRE)T: Patrik Olave Valdivielso Prix de Dax (Maiden) (Turf)6f · Very Soft · 8 ran 5th 11/1

20 Mar 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Sirjan (GER)T: A Tsereteli Prix de la Porte de Madrid () (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 19/1

16 Feb 25 Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) Lisicles (GB)T: J-M Osorio Prix Saonois - Finale Polytrack Challenge () (4yo+) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 46/1

01 Feb 25 Deauville (FR) See The Dream (FR)T: A De Watrigant Prix du Treport (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7f · Standard · 15 ran 7th 11/1

28 Dec 24 Deauville (FR) Perrou (FR)T: Mme Brigitte Re-Scandella Prix du Manoir de Pretor (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 11/2

20 Dec 24 Chantilly (FR) Grey Infinity (FR)T: A Tsereteli Prix du Chateau du Heron Blanc (Conditions) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 16/1

20 Dec 24 Chantilly (FR) Viking D'Aumont (FR)T: Mme Caroline Rondele-Lancelin Prix du Cabinet de Giotto (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9f · Standard · 17 ran 16th 50/1

20 Dec 24 Chantilly (FR) Messina (IRE)T: Tiago Martins Prix Kandy (Claimer) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7f · Standard · 15 ran 6th 34/1

19 Dec 24 Deauville (FR) Malinovka (FR)T: Gaspar Vaz Prix de la Suisse Normande (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 21/1

19 Dec 24 Deauville (FR) Queen Of Light (IRE)T: Gaspar Vaz Prix du Massif Armoricain (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 16 ran 16th 75/1

19 Dec 24 Deauville (FR) El Comandante (SPA)T: Tiago Martins Prix du Val d'Orne (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 10th 15/1

19 Dec 24 Deauville (FR) Escudo D'Ouro (FR)T: Joao Pedro Silva Pereira Prix des Perrets (Claimer) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 10th 11/1

19 Dec 24 Deauville (FR) Power Papers (FR)T: Joao Pedro Silva Pereira Prix de Pennepedie (Claimer) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 14/1

24 Nov 24 Toulouse (FR) Sirjan (GER)T: A Tsereteli Prix Max Sicard - 17th Etape du Defi du Galop () (3yo+) (Turf)12f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 71/10

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Valentin Seguy's strike rate?: Valentin Seguy has won 6 of 89 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Valentin Seguy do best at?: Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 30 rides (6.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Valentin Seguy's Fair A/E?: 0.77, from 88 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.