What is Valentin Seguy's strike rate?

Valentin Seguy has won 39 of 450 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Valentin Seguy do best at?

Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 74 rides (9.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Valentin Seguy ride most for?

F Rohaut, with 53 rides since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (9.4%).

What is Valentin Seguy's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 425 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Valentin Seguy

450 rides in the lifetime window · 331 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 112 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

39–450

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=450

127 (28%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=425 · 0.95 incl. margin

−58.90

£1 level stake

n=449 at SP · −13.1%

£1.07m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (40 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 450 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov F Rohaut: 9.4% from 53 LTO winners: 15% Claiming: 10.9%

The read

It is weakest at Saint-Cloud (FR) (2.5% over 40 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15% (n=40, Fair A/E 1.26), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.7% (n=235, Fair A/E 0.81). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 6.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −17.30 to a £1 stake over 163 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. F Rohaut supplies 12% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.4%, A/E 0.62). The rider also reads well off a 15-30-day break (12.5%, n=88). 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Criterium de Maisons-Laffitte at Chantilly (FR) (Oct 2020, £70,622). Seasonally, the rider fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.9%−0.8

n=331 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −43.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

15%+6.3

n=40 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −14.80

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.7%−2.0

n=163 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −17.30

When favourite

42.9%

n=28 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +13.80

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

10.9%+2.2

n=55 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −12.20

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.7%−4.0

n=235 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −118.40

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.1%−0.6

n=74 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −17.10

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 15.8% vs 8.7% · n=38

On last-time-out winners 15% vs 8.7% · n=40

At Saint-Cloud (FR) 2.5% vs 8.7% · n=40

Off a 15-30-day break 12.5% vs 8.7% · n=88

With first-time headgear 4.4% vs 8.7% · n=45

With X Thomas-Demeaulte 13.3% vs 8.7% · n=30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 166 15 9% +2.70

Soft 105 9 8.6% −22.20

Good 79 5 6.3% −28.30

Good to Soft 57 6 10.5% +0.00

Heavy 41 4 9.8% −9.10

Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 121 7 5.8% −50.80

Chantilly (FR) 74 7 9.5% −24.50

Saint-Cloud (FR) 40 1 2.5% −32.40

Longchamp (FR) 37 2 5.4% −24.80

Toulouse 34 2 5.9% −5.70

La Teste De Buch 24 4 16.7% +24.10

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 18 1 5.6% −4.90

Bordeaux Le Bouscat 17 1 5.9% −14.90

Lyon Parilly 11 2 18.2% +17.00

Marseille Borely 10 1 10% −4.80

Dax 9 3 33.3% +22.10

Tarbes 7 0 0% −7.00

Mont-De-Marsan 7 1 14.3% −3.50

Marseille Pont-de-Vivaux (FR) 5 1 20% +2.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 74 6 8.1% −17.10

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 29 12 41.4% 1.33 +12.80

2nd–3rd fav 74 12 16.2% 0.97 +14.30

4th–6th fav 112 8 7.1% 0.74 +5.70

7th+ in betting 234 7 3% 0.90 −91.70

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Saint Nicolas (FR) 9 3 7 11 Dec 20

Plainchant (FR) 5 3 4 10 Oct 20

Jeannajonh (FR) 5 0 2 12 Feb 19

Secretjim (FR) 5 0 0 17 Sep 18

Peintre Francais (FR) 5 0 2 4 Feb 16

Perama (FR) 4 1 3 4 Oct 23

Say Good Buy (GER) 4 0 0 27 May 23

Sunflower (FR) 4 0 2 12 Dec 20

Kadnikov (FR) 4 0 1 15 May 19

Khefyn (IRE) 4 1 1 24 Feb 18

Princess Kiara (FR) 4 1 2 18 Oct 13

Miss Louise (FR) 4 0 2 24 Jun 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 331 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

14481478441212139

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardF Rohaut

12% of all rides
9.4% SR · A/E 0.62

TrainerRWSR£1

F Rohaut 53 5 9.4% −14.00

X Thomas-Demeaulte 30 4 13.3% +13.60

J Reynier 30 2 6.7% −3.20

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.07m

Prize money

2020

Best season · 10 wins

Plainchant (FR) — Criterium de Maisons-Laffitte (2yo) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Oct 2020 · Group 2

£70,622

Jo Pickett (FR) — Prix Max Sicard - 17th Etape du Defi du Galop () (3yo+) (Turf) Toulouse (FR) · Nov 2021 · Listed

£26,786

Plainchant (FR) — Prix Eclipse (2yo) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Sep 2020 · Group 3

£26,695

Notable horses

Saint Nicolas (FR) Plainchant (FR) Khefyn (IRE) Perama (FR) Princess Kiara (FR) Showtime Star (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 23.1% · 3–13

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Siyouni (FR) 18.2% · 2–11

Progeny have won 13% of 8,374 runs since 2014 (980 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 460.

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,888 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

Deportivo (GB) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,285 runs since 2008 (125 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.7% from 407. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 15.8% from 101. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.8% from 226.

Le Havre (IRE) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 12.4% of 5,892 runs since 2013 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296.

Motivator (GB) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 12% of 5,598 runs since 2009 (515 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 15.9% from 1,091. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.8% from 1,282. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 15.2% from 593. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.7% from 575.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 450 · newest first

The latest 50 of 450 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 December 2011 to 23 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Jul 26 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) Hilmiyyah (FR)T: Frederic Sanchez Prix Dunixi - Association Des Proprietaires Du Sud-ouest8f · Good · 12 ran 5th 28/1

23 Jul 26 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) Jakarta Trois (FR)T: Mlle C Courtade Criterium Des Landes12f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 8/1

15 Jul 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Fathiyya (FR)T: David Morisson Prix Arcachon Reception7f · Good · 12 ran 4th 33/1

08 Jul 26 Dax (FR) Romance CertaineT: Patrik Olave Valdivielso Prix Du Bois De Boulogne Stakes3 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 9th 10/1

10 Sep 25 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) Mexican Dream (FR)T: F Pardon Prix Ketch (Handicap) (Turf)10f · Very Soft · 10 ran 9th 14/1

10 Sep 25 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) Myboyfriend (FR)T: F Pardon Prix Colonel Noe (Handicap) (Turf)6f · Very Soft · 13 ran 6th 18/1

10 Sep 25 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) She's Centurion (IRE)T: Patrik Olave Valdivielso Prix de Dax (Maiden) (Turf)6f · Very Soft · 8 ran 5th 11/1

20 Mar 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Sirjan (GER)T: A Tsereteli Prix de la Porte de Madrid () (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 19/1

16 Feb 25 Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) Lisicles (GB)T: J-M Osorio Prix Saonois - Finale Polytrack Challenge () (4yo+) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 46/1

01 Feb 25 Deauville (FR) See The Dream (FR)T: A De Watrigant Prix du Treport (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7f · Standard · 15 ran 7th 11/1

28 Dec 24 Deauville (FR) Perrou (FR)T: Mme Brigitte Re-Scandella Prix du Manoir de Pretor (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 11/2

20 Dec 24 Chantilly (FR) Grey Infinity (FR)T: A Tsereteli Prix du Chateau du Heron Blanc (Conditions) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 16/1

20 Dec 24 Chantilly (FR) Viking D'Aumont (FR)T: Mme Caroline Rondele-Lancelin Prix du Cabinet de Giotto (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9f · Standard · 17 ran 16th 50/1

20 Dec 24 Chantilly (FR) Messina (IRE)T: Tiago Martins Prix Kandy (Claimer) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7f · Standard · 15 ran 6th 34/1

19 Dec 24 Deauville (FR) Malinovka (FR)T: Gaspar Vaz Prix de la Suisse Normande (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 21/1

19 Dec 24 Deauville (FR) Queen Of Light (IRE)T: Gaspar Vaz Prix du Massif Armoricain (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 16 ran 16th 75/1

19 Dec 24 Deauville (FR) El Comandante (SPA)T: Tiago Martins Prix du Val d'Orne (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 10th 15/1

19 Dec 24 Deauville (FR) Escudo D'Ouro (FR)T: Joao Pedro Silva Pereira Prix des Perrets (Claimer) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 10th 11/1

19 Dec 24 Deauville (FR) Power Papers (FR)T: Joao Pedro Silva Pereira Prix de Pennepedie (Claimer) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 14/1

24 Nov 24 Toulouse (FR) Sirjan (GER)T: A Tsereteli Prix Max Sicard - 17th Etape du Defi du Galop () (3yo+) (Turf)12f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 71/10

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Valentin Seguy's strike rate?: Valentin Seguy has won 39 of 450 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Valentin Seguy do best at?: Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 74 rides (9.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Valentin Seguy ride most for?: F Rohaut, with 53 rides since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (9.4%).
What is Valentin Seguy's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 425 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.