Natural Path (IRE)
Natural Path won four of 20 starts between Oct 2019 and Sep 2021. All four wins came on turf, three of them over 6f-7f, and each arrived on a first visit to the course. He won a Class 3 handicap at Yarmouth in Sep 2021 off a mark of 84 and another at Lingfield the previous month off 78, both on good or good to firm ground. The gelding, aged 8 at his last run in Feb 2025, finished 11 of 14 at Deauville.
- 4–20Wins / Runs
- 20%Strike rate
- 9 (45%)Placed
- −5.32£1 level staken=20 at SP
- 1.36Fair A/E n=20 · 1.17 incl. margin
- 87Highest OR
- 103dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 102
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 5 | 115B | 101 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 102B | 97.5 | — |
| Good | 2 | 126A | 110.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 11 | 126A | 100 | — |
| Under 6f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 12 figures from 12 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 3,836 runs since Jan 2008 (416 horses).
Weakest on heavy going: 6.9% from 188. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.5% from 142.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | +20.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 355 | 39 | 11% | +0.5 | 1 from 5 |
| Good | 625 | 68 | 10.9% | +0.4 | 1 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 547 | 62 | 11.3% | +0.8 | 1 from 3 |
| Soft | 530 | 45 | 8.5% | −2 | 1 from 1 |
| Heavy | 188 | 13 | 6.9% | −3.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,576 | 173 | 11% | +0.5 | 0 from 8 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 142 | 22 | 15.5% | +5 | 0 from 1 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,157 | 123 | 10.6% | +0.1 | 3 from 17 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,356 | 149 | 11% | +0.5 | 1 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 860 | 77 | 9% | −1.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 221 | 29 | 13.1% | +2.6 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 92 | 4 | 4.3% | −6.2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 7 | 0 | 0% | −10.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −10.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 14 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Slipper Orchid (FR) (1 win).
The wins came over 7f.
Family form: Nurture (FR) finished 2nd of 13 at Deauville (FR), 5 Oct 2026.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slipper Orchid (FR) | 3 | 1 | 7f | — |
| Nurture (FR) | 13 | 0 | — | — |
| Palo Santo (FR) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Good to Firm | 5 | 1 | 20% | −0.67 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.10 |
| Good | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.75 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.70 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 9 | 2 | 22% | −1.92 |
| Class 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deauville (FR) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Newmarket | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Saint-Cloud (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Catterick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.75 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.33 |
| Windsor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chantilly (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Clairefontaine (FR) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.90 |
| Maisons-Laffitte (FR) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.70 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 17 | 3 | 18% | −5.22 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.90 |
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Badel | 3 | 2 | 67% | +4.60 |
| Jack Mitchell | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.33 |
| Fabrice Veron | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mme Maryline Eon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mme Ambre Molins | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Theo Bachelot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Valentin Seguy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kieran Shoemark | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Callum Hutchinson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jason Hart | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jamie Spencer | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dylan Hogan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Egan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Oisin Murphy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Marquand | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.75 |
| Cieren Fallon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ray Dawson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| None | 4 | 2 | 50% | +3.60 |
| Tongue tie | 4 | 2 | 50% | +3.08 |
| Tongue tie + visor | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2024 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2022 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2021 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +2.08 |
| 2020 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.90 |
| 2019 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.70 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Natural Path (IRE) won?
- Natural Path (IRE) won 4 of 20 archived starts between 2019 and 2025, a strike rate of 20%. Placed 9 times in total (45% of starts).
- Who trained Natural Path (IRE)?
- Natural Path (IRE) was trained by A Sanchez-Martin on the most recent run on record, at Deauville (FR) on 8 February 2025.
- Who is Natural Path (IRE)'s sire?
- Natural Path (IRE) is by Toronado (IRE) out of Panda Spirit (USA), whose sire is Invincible Spirit.
- What going does Natural Path (IRE) prefer?
- Natural Path (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Natural Path (IRE)'s official rating?
- Natural Path (IRE)'s highest official rating on record is 87.
- What is Natural Path (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Toronado (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 3,836 runs since Jan 2008 (416 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 6.9% from 188. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.5% from 142.
- Who are Natural Path (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Panda Spirit (USA), Natural Path (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Slipper Orchid (FR) (1). The wins came over 7f. As at Oct 2026.