No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
8%+0.9
n=25 · A/E 2.76 · £1 +35.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−7.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
15.4%+8.3
n=13 · A/E 5.64 · £1 +38.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−7.1
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On Standard (AW) going10.8% vs 7.1% · n=37
In Flat races7.1% vs 7.1% · n=56 · A/E 2.01
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)37410.8%+49.00
Good to Firm1000%−10.00
Good400%−4.00
Good to Soft300%−3.00
Soft200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW)1218.3%+22.00
Wolverhampton (AW)1100%−11.00
Kempton (AW)11218.2%+15.00
Warwick300%−3.00
Windsor300%−3.00
Southwell (AW)200%−2.00
Chepstow200%−2.00
Yarmouth200%−2.00
Chelmsford (AW)11100%+25.00
Bath100%−1.00
Folkestone100%−1.00
Ascot100%−1.00
Goodwood100%−1.00
Haydock100%−1.00
Leicester100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 625312%+44.00
Class 51915.3%−2.00
Class 4700%−7.00
Class 2200%−2.00
Class 1100%−1.00
Class 3100%−1.00
Class 7100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav300%0.00−3.00
4th–6th fav13215.4%2.34+13.00
7th+ in betting4025%2.35+20.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f2129.5%+5.00
6f – 7f1200%−12.00
1m – 1m1f1200%−12.00
Under 6f9222.2%+51.00
1m5f – 2m200%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20081516.7%+11.00
20092827.1%+23.00
20101317.7%−4.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps29310.3%+40.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners27311.1%+25.00
8-10 runners1317.7%+21.00
14-16 runners1100%−11.00
5-7 runners500%−5.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 26 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1700250000002513
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
5
Archived wins
£16,209
Prize money
2009
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
It's Dubai Dolly (GB) — Digibet Sports Betting Maiden Stakes Kempton (AW) · Apr 2009 · Class 5
£2,590
Fizzlephut (IRE) — Wild Cherry Handicap Chelmsford (AW) · Nov 2008 · Class 6
£2,590
Triskaidekaphobia (GB) — Eddie Mills 80th Birthday Handicap (Div 2) Lingfield (AW) · Dec 2009 · Class 6
Progeny have won 9% of 4,741 runs since 2008 (295 horses).
Dubai Destination (USA)11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 11% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.
Compton Place (GB)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.
Indian Rocket (GB)25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,230 runs since 2008 (129 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.1% from 171. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.7% from 301.
Selkirk (USA)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,371 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 228. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.7% from 143.
Bertolini (USA)50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 77 · newest first
The latest 50 of 77 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 May 2005 to 12 May 2010.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Wanderson D'Avila's strike rate?
Wanderson D'Avila has won 4 of 56 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Wanderson D'Avila's Fair A/E?
2.01, from 56 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Wanderson D'Avila·SR 7.1%·A/E 2.01
1Tap Share in the toolbar2Scroll down the sheet3Tap Add to Home Screen, then Add
1Open your browser's menu (the three dots)2Tap Add to Home screen or Install app
KTB
Cookies on Kickthebookies
We use essential cookies to run the site and remember your betslip. No advertising or tracking cookies, ever. By continuing to use this site, you agree. Cookie policy