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Trainer profile

Miss J R Tooth

193 runners in the lifetime window · 29 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2010
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
12–193
Wins / Runs
6.2%
Strike rate
n=193
27 (14%)
Placed
1.35
Fair A/E
n=192 · 1.14 incl. margin
+70.75
£1 level stake
n=193 at SP · +36.7%
£40,656
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 60 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.35).

Deterministic profile computed from 193 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Paul Fitzsimons: 4.8% from 125
The read

Paul Fitzsimons rode 65% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.8%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The market has also underrated the yard in Class 6: Fair A/E 1.71 across 98 runners (8.2% strike, +67.00 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly in Class 5 — 1.7% over 58 runners, 4.5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Triskaidekaphobia (GB) — 6 wins from 55 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.6%−0.6
n=36 · A/E 2.16 · £1 +32.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.2
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Debutants · first career start
11.1%+4.9
n=9 · A/E 7.21 · £1 +58.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.2
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
9.1%+2.9
n=11 · A/E 2.35 · £1 −2.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−6.2
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 5 1.7% vs 6.2% · n=58
With C&D winners 9.7% vs 6.2% · n=31
At trips under 6f 9.1% vs 6.2% · n=55
In Class 6 8.2% vs 6.2% · n=98
In Hurdle races 8.3% vs 6.2% · n=36
With a new jockey booking 8% vs 6.2% · n=50 · A/E 2.14
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 152 9 5.9% +80.00
Hurdle 36 3 8.3% −4.25
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 96 7 7.3% +35.00
Good 34 2 5.9% −9.25
Good to Firm 27 2 7.4% +47.00
Soft 16 0 0% −16.00
Firm 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Soft 8 0 0% −8.00
Heavy 3 1 33.3% +31.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 41 3 7.3% −5.00
Lingfield (AW) 26 3 11.5% +43.00
Kempton (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00
Warwick 13 2 15.4% +15.00
Chepstow 10 0 0% −10.00
Brighton 9 0 0% −9.00
Fontwell 6 1 16.7% −2.25
Chelmsford (AW) 6 1 16.7% +20.00
Plumpton 5 0 0% −5.00
Bath 5 0 0% −5.00
Lingfield 5 0 0% −5.00
Nottingham 4 0 0% −4.00
Salisbury 4 1 25% +63.00
Newbury 4 0 0% −4.00
Windsor 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 98 8 8.2% +67.00
Class 5 58 1 1.7% +9.00
Class 4 28 3 10.7% +3.75
Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 11 2 18.2% 1.09 −0.25
4th–6th fav 44 4 9.1% 1.31 +1.00
7th+ in betting 138 6 4.3% 1.49 +70.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Triskaidekaphobia (GB)from K R Burke · then Paul Fitzsimons 28 3 5 5 Nov 10
Fizzlephut (IRE)from Tim Easterby 28 2 5 13 Sep 09
Golden Prospect (GB)from J W Hills · then Paul Fitzsimons 16 1 3 15 Nov 10
Law And Order (GB) 11 0 0 22 Mar 10
Decree Absolute (USA) 10 1 1 20 Aug 10
Poppy Red (GB)then Carroll Gray 10 0 2 5 Aug 08
Twenty Score (GB) 8 0 1 30 Jun 09
Dance Hall Diva (GB)from Mark Usher 7 0 1 30 Mar 10
Straitjacket (GB)from Richard Hannon Snr 7 1 2 22 Jul 09
Lawton (GB) 7 1 2 17 Sep 08
Claimant (IRE)then Paul Fitzsimons 6 0 1 3 Nov 10
Lilli Palmer (IRE)then Mike Murphy 6 0 0 14 Oct 10
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard Hannon Snr (3) and Nicky Henderson (2); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Paul Fitzsimons (6); 16 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
65611014001001110
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderPaul Fitzsimons
65% of all rides
4.8% SR · A/E 1.07
RiderRWSR£1
Paul Fitzsimons 125 6 4.8% +40.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
21
Archived wins
£96,428
Prize money
2008
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Pulse (GB) — Jaguar Centre Handicap Beverley · Jun 2005 · Class 5
£7,055
Fizzlephut (IRE) — Pontin's - Book Early Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Mar 2007 · Class 5
£4,534
Pulse (GB) — Wolverton Handicap Warwick · Apr 2005 · Class 5
£3,519
Notable horses
Triskaidekaphobia (GB) Fizzlephut (IRE) Pulse (GB) Psychiatrist (GB) Whistler (GB) Golden Prospect (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Lear Spear (USA) 2% · 1–51
Progeny have won 3.6% of 253 runs since 2008 (27 horses).
Bertolini (USA) 8.6% · 3–35
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Indian Rocket (GB) 7.1% · 2–28
Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,230 runs since 2008 (129 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.1% from 171. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.7% from 301.
Lujain (USA) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,688 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 108.
Orientate (USA) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 9.4% of 288 runs since 2008 (22 horses).
Refuse To Bend (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,868 runs since 2008 (320 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 474 · newest first

The latest 50 of 474 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 March 2005 to 15 November 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Nov 10 Plumpton Albert Saxe (GB)J: James Davies Star Sports Leader In US Sports Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 17.5f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 66/1
15 Nov 10 Plumpton Golden Prospect (GB)J: James Davies starsportsbet.co.uk Novices' HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 33/1
05 Nov 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Triskaidekaphobia (GB)J: Paul Fitzsimons Breeders' Cup Live Only On ATR HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 25/1
03 Nov 10 Warwick Claimant (IRE)J: Jamie Moore Weatherbys Bank Juvenile HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 4th 33/1
03 Nov 10 Warwick Park Lane (GB)J: Jamie Moore Turftv Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 1st 20/1
28 Oct 10 Fontwell Claimant (IRE)J: James Davies Crown Racing Best For Service Juvenile HurdleClass 4 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran UR 50/1
14 Oct 10 Brighton Lilli Palmer (IRE)J: Paul Fitzsimons brightonandhovejobs.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 9th 33/1
14 Oct 10 Brighton Golden Prospect (GB)J: Paul Fitzsimons Brighton Square 'Heart Of Lanes' HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 9th 25/1
09 Oct 10 Chepstow Park Lane (GB)J: James Davies Follow Nicholls On Twitter & Facebook Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 28/1
04 Oct 10 Windsor Justice Walk (IRE)J: Paul Fitzsimons European Breeders' Fund Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 4 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 66/1
20 Aug 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Decree Absolute (USA)J: Paul Fitzsimons Great Offers At Wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 33/1
17 Aug 10 Brighton Lilli Palmer (IRE)J: Paul Fitzsimons Hardings Catering Services Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Good · 8 ran 6th 66/1
14 Aug 10 Lingfield James Barrymore (GB)J: Micky Fenton Tryst - East Grinstead's Ultimate Night Club Selling StakesClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 16/1
06 Aug 10 Lingfield (AW) James Barrymore (GB)J: Billy Cray MSS HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 20/1
04 Aug 10 Kempton (AW) Decree Absolute (USA)J: Paul Fitzsimons Epsom Trainers Open Day 22nd August HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 33/1
31 Jul 10 Lingfield Lilli Palmer (IRE)J: Paul Fitzsimons Play Blackjack At Totesport.com HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 12th 80/1
24 Jul 10 Salisbury Decree Absolute (USA)J: Paul Fitzsimons Derek Burridge Trophies 50th Anniversary Claiming StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 6 ran 5th 16/1
17 Jul 10 Lingfield (AW) Shark Man (IRE)J: Paul Fitzsimons Bet British Open Golf - Betdaq Selling Stakes (AWT)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 8/1
14 Jul 10 Kempton (AW) Claimant (IRE)J: Paul Fitzsimons digibet Handicap (London Mile Qualifier)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 16/1
07 Jul 10 Lingfield Golden Prospect (GB)J: Paul Fitzsimons Blackberry Lane Selling StakesClass 6 · 10f · Firm · 8 ran 4th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Miss J R Tooth's strike rate?
Miss J R Tooth has won 12 of 193 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Miss J R Tooth do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 41 runners (7.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Miss J R Tooth?
Paul Fitzsimons, with 125 runners since 2008 — 65% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (4.8%).
What is Miss J R Tooth's Fair A/E?
1.35, from 192 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).