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Trainer profile

Pat Murphy

135 runners in the last 5 seasons · 21 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2025
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
10–135
Wins / Runs
7.4%
Strike rate
n=135
24 (18%)
Placed
0.96
Fair A/E
n=133 · 0.91 incl. margin
−52.46
£1 level stake
n=135 at SP · −38.9%
£88,854
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96).

Deterministic profile computed from 135 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (14.3%, n=49) and in Class 5 (12.5%, n=40). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 2% over 51 runners, 5.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.26 across 84 runners (2.4% strike, −64.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Salute (IRE) — 9 wins from 60 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−7.4
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.4
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
14.3%+6.9
n=7 · A/E 7.09 · £1 +19.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.4
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
12.5%+5.1
n=8 · A/E 2.43 · £1 +3.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=6 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −1.79
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−7.4
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 14.3% vs 7.4% · n=49
In Flat races 2.4% vs 7.4% · n=84
On Standard (AW) going 2% vs 7.4% · n=51
In Class 5 12.5% vs 7.4% · n=40
Over 6f – 7f 2.6% vs 7.4% · n=39
In Class 6 3.2% vs 7.4% · n=62
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 84 2 2.4% −64.00
Chase 24 7 29.2% +12.54
Hurdle 21 0 0% −21.00
NH Flat 6 1 16.7% +20.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 51 1 2% −44.00
Good 25 1 4% −20.67
Good to Soft 23 5 21.7% +21.83
Soft 16 1 6.3% −13.62
Good to Firm 15 1 6.7% −2.00
Heavy 3 1 33.3% +8.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 19 1 5.3% −12.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Fontwell 11 3 27.3% −0.12
Chelmsford City (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Plumpton 9 2 22.2% −2.84
Kempton (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00
Windsor 9 0 0% −9.00
Bath 7 1 14.3% +6.00
Brighton 7 0 0% −7.00
Lingfield 6 1 16.7% +5.00
Hereford 5 1 20% +3.50
Chepstow 5 0 0% −5.00
Southwell 4 0 0% −4.00
Ludlow 3 0 0% −3.00
Newbury 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 62 2 3.2% −42.00
Class 5 40 5 12.5% +14.33
Class 4 27 3 11.1% −18.79
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 2 28.6% 0.84 −2.79
2nd–3rd fav 14 3 21.4% 1.22 −1.17
4th–6th fav 45 4 8.9% 1.01 −5.50
7th+ in betting 69 1 1.4% 0.64 −43.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Moorgate (IRE) 31 1 5 17 Feb 25
Amalfi Gem (IRE) 11 1 2 14 Nov 22
Amalfi Skyline (GB)then Barry Brennan 10 1 3 12 May 24
Neverbeen To Paris (IRE)from Harry Whittington 10 0 2 31 Oct 22
Infantryman (FR) 9 0 0 6 Nov 24
Reverberation (GB)from J S Moore 7 0 1 24 Feb 25
Autumn Lights (GB) 7 0 0 16 Sep 23
Galtee Mountain (IRE)from Jose Santos 7 4 5 21 Dec 22
Ohnodonttakemehome (FR) 6 0 2 10 Apr 23
Take Care (GB) 5 0 0 21 May 24
Darcy's Rock (GB)from J J Lambe 4 0 0 31 Aug 24
Nessfield Blue (GB)from Jose Santos 4 0 0 4 Nov 22
All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 21 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Henry Candy (2) and Jose Santos (2); 9 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 19 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1714708000010138
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
J F Egan 21 2 9.5% −1.00
Gavin Sheehan 17 2 11.8% −8.50
Harry Bannister 15 4 26.7% +25.66
Nicola Currie 8 0 0% −8.00
Liam Keniry 6 0 0% −6.00
Dylan Hogan 6 0 0% −6.00
Saffie Osborne 4 0 0% −4.00
David Probert 4 0 0% −4.00
Lorcan Williams 4 0 0% −4.00
Fred Daly 3 0 0% −3.00
Harry Davies 3 0 0% −3.00
Georgia Dobie 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
68
Archived wins
£542k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Maktu (GB) — Lingley Caterers Handicap Hurdle Hereford · Jan 2009 · Class 2
£15,655
Salute (IRE) — Palm Beach Casino Handicap Windsor · Jun 2005 · Class 2
£12,099
Cloudy Bob (IRE) — Rasen Mail Novices' Limited Handicap Chase Market Rasen · Nov 2014 · Class 3
£9,747
Notable horses
Salute (IRE) Catalinas Diamond (IRE) Galtee Mountain (IRE) Cloudy Bob (IRE) Greenwood (GB) Tarateeno (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mastercraftsman (IRE) 3.2% · 1–31
Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,622 runs since 2008 (842 horses).
Cotai Glory (GB) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 11.5% of 3,898 runs since 2008 (388 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.7% from 1,386. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 414.
Champs Elysees (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,115 runs since 2008 (520 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.
Telescope (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,887 runs since 2008 (295 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.9% from 104. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.3% from 278.
Lope De Vega (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,119 runs since 2008 (1,097 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 952.
Excelebration (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9% of 3,605 runs since 2008 (244 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,109 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,109 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 24 February 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
24 Feb 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Reverberation (GB)J: Nicola Currie Weekly 5 Free Bet With BetUK Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 33/1
17 Feb 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Moorgate (IRE)J: Nicola Currie Win 1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 80/1
11 Feb 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Reverberation (GB)J: Fred Daly 30 In Free Bets With BetUK Classified Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 22/1
07 Feb 25 Lingfield (AW) Moorgate (IRE)J: J F Egan Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 66/1
30 Jan 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Reverberation (GB)J: Fred Daly Each Way Extra At bet365 HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 8th 14/1
20 Jan 25 Kempton (AW) Reverberation (GB)J: Ethan Jones racingtv.com HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 4th 28/1
15 Jan 25 Kempton (AW) Moorgate (IRE)J: J F Egan Get Daily Price Boosts At Unibet HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 11th 100/1
22 Dec 24 Lingfield (AW) Moorgate (IRE)J: Liam Keniry BetUK: Its Where The UK Bets Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 33/1
19 Dec 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Reverberation (GB)J: Fred Daly Sky Bet Matchday Assist Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 18/1
12 Dec 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Reverberation (GB)J: Mr Paul Hainey Sky Bet Club Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 33/1
21 Nov 24 Lingfield (AW) Moorgate (IRE)J: J F Egan Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 50/1
06 Nov 24 Kempton (AW) Moorgate (IRE)J: J F Egan Unibet Support Safe Gambling HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 8th 28/1
06 Nov 24 Kempton (AW) Infantryman (FR)J: Rob Hornby Bet At racingtv.com HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 13th 40/1
31 Oct 24 Stratford Watamu (GB)J: Harry Bannister Charlotte Cole And Becky Rowland Memorial Fillies' 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 25/1
21 Oct 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Reverberation (GB)J: Nicola Currie Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 28/1
27 Sep 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Magical Florence (IRE)J: Adam Farragher Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 200/1
23 Sep 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Valegro (IRE)J: Mia Nicholls Download The Raceday Ready App HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 66/1
05 Sep 24 Lingfield (AW) Infantryman (FR)J: Ben Sanderson Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 50/1
05 Sep 24 Lingfield (AW) Valegro (IRE)J: Mia Nicholls Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 80/1
02 Sep 24 Windsor Infantryman (FR)J: Nicola Currie Hamish Johnson Memorial Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Pat Murphy's strike rate?
Pat Murphy has won 10 of 135 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Pat Murphy's Fair A/E?
0.96, from 133 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).