2:02 Fontwell
This Class 5 conditional jockeys' handicap chase at Fontwell over 3m1f210y brings together a compact field of four where the KTB Fit ratings identify Broadway Honey as the clear top pick on 60. The principals are separated by modest margins in the numbers, with McGregors Charge on 56 and Of Corse I Can on 47, while Watchoutitscookie sits on 46. All four arrive with recent placed form and questions over the trip or the surface remain for each, yet the overall KTB assessment points to a race where proven ability at the distance and late-run efficiency could prove decisive.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated given that both McGregors Charge and Of Corse I Can are habitual front-runners who tend to make the running or race prominently. With two confirmed pace-setters likely to go hard early, the race could collapse in the latter stages, handing the advantage to horses able to come from off the pace. Broadway Honey and Watchoutitscookie are both usually held up and produce their efforts late, so the key question is whether they can pick up the pieces once the front-runners tire in the testing Fontwell stamina test.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Broadway Honey KTB Selection60/100
Broadway Honey is a useful mare who has shown consistent form this year, recording two wins from her last five starts. She arrives here off an official rating of 96 having posted recent form figures of 5-5513. Usually held up, she produces her effort late and this shape could suit in a race expected to be strongly run. The Nigel and Willy Twiston-Davies stable have a 50% strike rate at Fontwell from limited runners and an A/E of 1.33, while the 3lb claimer Toby McCain-Mitchell is still seeking a first course winner from six rides. She has never won over this trip in two attempts and remains unproven on the ground, with no previous course form on record.
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2McGregors Charge56/100
McGregors Charge is a fair performer who has been consistent without winning lately, finishing in the first four on four of his last five starts for an official rating of 79. His recent form reads -54243 and he steps up in trip today having already placed once at this distance. A habitual front-runner who tends to make the running or race on the pace, he is likely to set a strong gallop that could suit his prominent style. The Polly Gundry yard posts an 11% strike rate at Fontwell from 65 runs with an A/E of 1.08, while the 3lb claimer Ciaran O'Shea has a 33% strike rate at the track from nine rides and an A/E of 1.69. This represents his first run at Fontwell after 23 starts elsewhere and he remains unproven on the ground.
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3Of Corse I Can47/100
Of Corse I Can is a modest performer who won over this trip last time out and holds a solid three from four record at the distance, carrying an official rating of 72. His recent form figures read 6-5541. He tends to make the running or race on the pace and will be one of the horses ensuring a strong gallop materialises. Two from six at Fontwell, he acts on most ground though he remains unproven on this surface. Trainer Neil Mulholland has a 17% strike rate here from 635 runs with an A/E of 0.96, while Bradley Harris is 15% from 39 rides at the track and the pair combine with a 14% strike rate overall from 109 attempts.
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4Watchoutitscookie46/100
Watchoutitscookie is a modest performer who has been consistent enough in recent starts without looking like winning, shown by form figures of -70337 from an official rating of 69. He steps up markedly in trip today having never gone beyond 2m6½f, so stamina is an unknown. Usually held up, the Nigel Hawke yard has an 8% strike rate at Fontwell from 145 runs while the jockey has had too few rides here to judge fully.
KTB verdict
Broadway Honey stands out as the KTB Selection. A useful mare in consistent form with two wins from her last five starts, she is the one who shapes best for a strongly-run race thanks to her hold-up style that should allow her to capitalise if the front-runners pay for their exertions. Her ability edges the principals on the KTB Fit ratings. McGregors Charge is the most likely danger as a fair and consistent front-runner stepping up in trip, while Of Corse I Can brings recent course success over the distance and can press the pace. Watchoutitscookie is the outsider of the four with the biggest question mark over stamina.
KTB Selection Broadway Honey
This is the narrative read of the 2:02 Fontwell. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Fontwell racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Fontwell results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest recent record at the trip?
Of Corse I Can has a solid 3 from 4 record at the distance and won over this trip last time.
How does the expected strong pace influence the race?
The strong pace from two habitual front-runners could collapse late, favouring hold-up horses such as Broadway Honey and Watchoutitscookie.
What is the trainer strike-rate at Fontwell for the yard of the selection?
Nigel and Willy Twiston-Davies have a 50% strike rate at Fontwell with an A/E of 1.33 from two runs.
Which runner is making his first appearance at Fontwell?
McGregors Charge is having his first run at Fontwell after 23 starts elsewhere.
Who holds the best recent course record in the field?
Of Corse I Can is 2 from 6 at Fontwell and won over this trip last time.
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