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Trainer profile

Polly Gundry

219 runners in the last 5 seasons · 40 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 19 days ago 93% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
13–219
Wins / Runs
5.9%
Strike rate
n=219
42 (19%)
Placed
0.88
n=217 · 0.75 incl. margin
−129.85
£1 level stake
n=219 at SP · −59.3%
£276k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.88). With a claiming rider up the record reads 9% (56 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 219 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 7.5% Claiming riders: 8.9%
The read

The record is strongest at Exeter (14.6%, n=41), clear of the yard's 5.9% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 8.9% (n=56, Fair A/E 0.94). The yard also reads well in Chase races (12.9%, n=85) and over 2m5f – 3m (10.3%, n=78). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 39 runners, 5.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.27 across 79 runners (1.3% strike, −71.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Charlie Nugent Memorial Mares' Chase at Newbury (Jan 2025, £19,933). The stable star of the record: Dawson City (GB) — 7 wins from 52 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.5%+1.6
n=40 · A/E 1.47 · £1 −16.38
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.9
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.9
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.9
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
50%
n=8 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +1.15
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.9%+3.0
n=56 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −29.26
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
25%+19.1
n=8 · A/E 1.94 · £1 −3.09

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Exeter 14.6% vs 5.9% · n=41
In Chase races 12.9% vs 5.9% · n=85
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 5.9% · n=39
In Class 4 1.3% vs 5.9% · n=79
Over 2m5f – 3m 10.3% vs 5.9% · n=78
In Hurdle races 1.9% vs 5.9% · n=107
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 107 2 1.9% −93.50
Chase 85 11 12.9% −9.35
Flat 16 0 0% −16.00
NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 94 6 6.4% −46.88
Good to Soft 51 3 5.9% −28.38
Soft 31 1 3.2% −28.00
Heavy 30 2 6.7% −23.59
Good to Firm 11 1 9.1% −1.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Exeter 41 6 14.6% −9.35
Taunton 23 0 0% −23.00
Chepstow 19 0 0% −19.00
Newton Abbot 18 1 5.6% −12.50
Wincanton 18 0 0% −18.00
Fontwell 17 1 5.9% +2.00
Warwick 12 2 16.7% +6.50
Worcester 11 2 18.2% +0.50
Ffos Las 7 0 0% −7.00
Cheltenham 7 0 0% −7.00
Uttoxeter 6 0 0% −6.00
Plumpton 5 0 0% −5.00
Stratford 5 0 0% −5.00
Newbury 4 1 25% −1.00
Hereford 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 103 9 8.7% −39.76
Class 4 79 1 1.3% −71.00
Class 3 14 1 7.1% −1.00
Class 1 9 2 22.2% −4.09
Class 6 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 12 5 41.7% 1.30 +0.15
2nd–3rd fav 27 3 11.1% 0.70 −8.50
4th–6th fav 71 4 5.6% 0.90 −25.50
7th+ in betting 109 1 0.9% 0.44 −96.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
72.4% completed · 192 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 85 76.5% 1 0 19 0 0
Hurdle 107 69.2% 1 1 30 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Sweet Nightingale (GB)from Ron Hodges 23 2 7 9 May 26
Wind Tor (GB) 15 2 5 8 Mar 24
Alderley Charlie (GB) 13 0 1 22 Jul 26
Only Gossip (GB) 11 0 2 22 Mar 26
Don't Rightly Know (GB) 11 4 8 29 Apr 25
Miss Harriett (GB)from Stuart Kittow 9 0 1 26 Mar 24
Smith's Bay (GB)from Alan King 9 0 3 22 Aug 22
Miss Jaffa Cake (GB) 8 0 0 24 Apr 26
Dandy Khan (IRE)from Mrs John Harrington · then Jim Boyle 8 0 2 22 Aug 25
Bellever Tor (GB) 6 0 0 11 Apr 25
All 40 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 40 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Edward William Walker (2) and Nicky Henderson (2); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
349060151322067
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderNick Scholfield
15% of all rides
3% SR · A/E 0.48
RiderRWSR£1
Nick Scholfield 33 1 3% −20.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
56
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£635k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 7 wins
Don't Rightly Know (GB) — Charlie Nugent Memorial Mares' Chase (Listed) (GBB Race) Newbury · Jan 2025 · Listed
£19,933
Don't Rightly Know (GB) — South West Rail Solutions Ltd Mares' Chase (Listed) (GBB Race) Exeter · Feb 2025 · Listed
£18,509
Dawson City (GB) — Healthy Pets Devon National Handicap Chase Exeter · Feb 2019 · Class 3
£15,890

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Midnight Legend (GB) 7.1% · 2–28
Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,309 runs since 2008 (494 horses).
Excelebration (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 9% of 3,605 runs since 2008 (244 horses).
Yeats (IRE) 22.7% · 5–22
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.
Ask (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,214 runs since 2008 (283 horses).
Blue Bresil (FR) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,490 runs since 2008 (454 horses).
Malinas (GER) 36.4% · 4–11
Progeny have won 14.2% of 3,939 runs since 2008 (419 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 893 · newest first

The latest 50 of 893 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 February 2008 to 3 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Polly Gundry's strike rate?
Polly Gundry has won 13 of 219 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Polly Gundry do best at?
Exeter by strike rate: 6 wins from 41 runners (14.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Polly Gundry's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 217 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).