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Trainer profile

Nigel Hawke

807 runners in the last 5 seasons · 96 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday 95% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
65–807
Wins / Runs
8.1%
Strike rate
n=807
208 (26%)
Placed
1.01
Fair A/E
n=805 · 0.86 incl. margin
−29.28
£1 level stake
n=807 at SP · −3.6%
£731k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 160 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). With a claiming rider up the record reads 11% (270 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 807 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Feb 40% when favourite David Noonan: 4% from 224 Claiming riders: 10.7% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races
The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.00). David Noonan rides 28% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (4% vs 8.1%, A/E 0.66). The yard also reads well on Heavy going (15.4%, n=65). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 0% over 42 runners, 8.1pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Jan 2026, £56,950). The stable star of the record: Anay Turge (FR) — 12 wins from 53 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6%−2.1
n=167 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −65.75
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.9%−1.2
n=29 · A/E 1.98 · £1 +17.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.1
n=36 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −36.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.1
n=33 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −33.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
2.7%−5.4
n=37 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −22.00
When favourite
40%
n=50 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +15.06
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
10.7%+2.6
n=270 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −105.58
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.1
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 21.5% vs 8.1% · n=65
On Heavy going 15.4% vs 8.1% · n=65
In Flat races 0% vs 8.1% · n=42
In NH Flat races 0% vs 8.1% · n=39
With debutants 0% vs 8.1% · n=36
With first-time headgear 0% vs 8.1% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 610 55 9% +108.85
Chase 116 10 8.6% −57.13
Flat 42 0 0% −42.00
NH Flat 39 0 0% −39.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 296 19 6.4% −125.08
Good to Soft 212 16 7.5% −121.00
Soft 181 20 11% −26.45
Heavy 65 10 15.4% +296.25
Good to Firm 28 0 0% −28.00
Standard (AW) 25 0 0% −25.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Taunton 91 8 8.8% −17.73
Exeter 77 9 11.7% +295.25
Chepstow 60 5 8.3% −32.25
Newton Abbot 57 4 7% −33.38
Ffos Las 50 5 10% −20.00
Uttoxeter 40 3 7.5% +8.10
Plumpton 35 5 14.3% −9.30
Wincanton 35 2 5.7% −26.92
Worcester 31 2 6.5% −23.00
Hereford 30 1 3.3% −25.50
Market Rasen 30 0 0% −30.00
Stratford 22 0 0% −22.00
Fontwell 17 0 0% −17.00
Perth 17 2 11.8% −0.67
Sedgefield 16 1 6.3% +18.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 414 32 7.7% −170.82
Class 4 297 25 8.4% +195.24
Class 3 48 7 14.6% −18.70
Class 6 21 0 0% −21.00
Class 2 15 0 0% −15.00
Class 1 12 1 8.3% +1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 60 24 40% 1.55 +23.06
2nd–3rd fav 135 21 15.6% 1.02 −29.34
4th–6th fav 277 15 5.4% 0.76 −93.00
7th+ in betting 335 5 1.5% 0.60 +70.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.1% completed · 726 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 116 75% 6 5 18 0 0
Hurdle 610 84.6% 7 13 73 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Watchoutitscookie (IRE) 40 2 13 3 Oct 26
Inferno Sacree (FR) 39 7 16 24 Apr 26
Square Du Roule (FR) 23 3 9 21 Oct 26
Getuptheyard (IRE) 22 0 3 11 Oct 26
Torrent (GB)from Andrew Balding 22 2 13 10 Oct 26
Ballymagroarty Boy (IRE) 22 1 9 22 Feb 25
Sindabella (FR) 22 2 7 13 Jan 25
Donnacha (IRE) 20 6 16 17 Apr 26
Exmoor Forest (IRE)from Ben Lund 19 2 8 25 Jul 25
Bring The Action (IRE) 19 2 5 12 Mar 25
Professor Calculus (GB)from Richard Hannon 19 1 2 17 Oct 23
My Granny Lily (GB) 18 2 6 15 Nov 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 96 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J S Bolger (6) and Ben Lund (2); 35 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Adam Nicol (9); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1010613829034139
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDavid Noonan
28% of all rides
4% SR · A/E 0.66
RiderRWSR£1
David Noonan 224 9 4% −109.55
Tom Buckley 183 21 11.5% −71.95
Lorcan Murtagh 116 8 6.9% −42.00
James Davies 72 5 6.9% −22.50
Kieren Buckley 38 5 13.2% −7.13
Miss Ella Herbison 30 2 6.7% −14.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
287
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£2.56m
Prize money
2017
Best season · 31 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Donnacha (IRE) — Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Jan 2026 · Class 1
£56,950
Anay Turge (FR) — Teenage Cancer Trust Silver Trophy Chase (Grade 2 Limited Handicap) Cheltenham · Apr 2015 · Grade 2
£28,475
Anay Turge (FR) — Paddy Power Handicap Chase Cheltenham · Nov 2013 · Class 2
£28,152
Notable horses
Anay Turge (FR) Mister Wiseman (GB) The Imposter (FR) Le Musee (FR) Diligent (FR) Inferno Sacree (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Saint Des Saints (FR) 14.3% · 7–49
Progeny have won 15.1% of 5,341 runs since 2008 (642 horses).
Camelot (GB) 4.3% · 2–46
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,683 runs since 2008 (753 horses).
Doyen (IRE) 4.9% · 2–41
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,349 runs since 2008 (605 horses).
Jet Away (GB) 20.5% · 8–39
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,499 runs since 2008 (267 horses).
Vocalised (USA) 8.1% · 3–37
Progeny have won 6.7% of 2,031 runs since 2008 (172 horses).
Getaway (GER) 6.7% · 2–30
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,918 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,464 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,464 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
21 Oct 26 Worcester Square Du Roule (FR)J: Harry Cobden CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran F 11/2
21 Oct 26 Worcester Knowstone (IRE)J: David Noonan Richard And Ann Hitchings Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 150/1
11 Oct 26 Chepstow Getuptheyard (IRE)J: David Noonan Dragonbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 11/1
10 Oct 26 Chepstow Torrent (GB)J: David Noonan Dragonbet John Ayres Memorial Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 2nd 15/2
03 Oct 26 Fontwell Watchoutitscookie (IRE)J: Murray Dodd Download The At The Races App Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 4 ran PU 6/1
15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter Torrent (GB)J: Murray Dodd Support Scropton Riding For The Disabled Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 3/1F
05 Sep 26 Stratford Watchoutitscookie (IRE)J: David Noonan Envesca Safety Champions Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 5/1
04 Sep 26 Worcester Getuptheyard (IRE)J: David Noonan Copybet Bog Now For Saturday's Racing Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran 8th 28/1
25 Aug 26 Stratford Watchoutitscookie (IRE)J: David Noonan Thank You To Our Hardworking Groundstaff Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 3rd 8/1
22 Aug 26 Newton Abbot Lundy View (GB)J: James Davies Celebrating National Racehorse Week Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Firm · 4 ran PU 80/1
20 Aug 26 Stratford Torrent (GB)J: David Noonan Happy 70th Birthday Helen Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 22f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 3rd 5/1
26 Jul 26 Uttoxeter King Sacre (FR)J: James Davies Cl Cleaning Services Ken Boulton Memorial Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran PU 17/2
24 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Torrent (GB)J: David Noonan Eaton Hall Shooting Ground Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 16 ran 3rd 15/2
19 Jul 26 Newton Abbot Watchoutitscookie (IRE)J: David Noonan Dick Oliver At Newton Abbot Races Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 3rd 12/1
19 Jul 26 Newton Abbot Lundy View (GB)J: David Noonan Happy 80th Birthday Ted Hull Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 300/1
18 Jul 26 Market Rasen Modern Style (GB)J: James Davies Watch Live Racing At Betway Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 12 ran 11th 12/1
03 Jul 26 Newton Abbot Lundy View (GB)J: James Davies Sky Sports Racing Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 7th 125/1
12 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Poppycat (IRE)J: James Davies Racing To School Reaches 25 Years Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 20/1
07 Jun 26 Perth Watchoutitscookie (IRE)J: James Davies IM Group Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 13 ran 11th 18/1
07 Jun 26 Perth King Sacre (FR)J: James Davies Scone Palace International Horse Trials Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 10th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nigel Hawke's strike rate?
Nigel Hawke has won 65 of 807 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nigel Hawke do best at?
Plumpton by strike rate: 5 wins from 35 runners (14.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Nigel Hawke?
David Noonan, with 224 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (4%).
Is Nigel Hawke in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Nigel Hawke's Fair A/E?
1.01, from 805 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).