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Jockey profile

Ciaran O'Shea

116 rides in the last 5 seasons · 50 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 11 days ago 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)
from 1 Jan 2022
17–116
Wins / Runs
14.7%
Strike rate
n=116
34 (29%)
Placed
1.36
Fair A/E
n=116 · 1.17 incl. margin
−28.04
£1 level stake
n=116 at SP · −24.2%
£126k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
23.7%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.36).

Deterministic profile computed from 116 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming: 14.8%
The read

First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 10% (n=50, Fair A/E 1.31). The rider also reads well in Class 5 (20.8%, n=53) and over 2m5f – 3m (20%, n=30). The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 7.3% over 41 rides, 7.4pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10%−4.7
n=50 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −21.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
17.6%+2.9
n=17 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −4.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
17.2%+2.5
n=29 · A/E 2.05 · £1 −1.17
When favourite
40%
n=10 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −0.25
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
14.8%+0.1
n=115 · A/E 1.37 · £1 −27.04
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−14.7
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 7.3% vs 14.7% · n=41
In Class 5 20.8% vs 14.7% · n=53
On first rides for the horse 10% vs 14.7% · n=50
Over 2m5f – 3m 20% vs 14.7% · n=30
With Sue Gardner 20% vs 14.7% · n=30
Over 1m5f – 2m 10% vs 14.7% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 86 12 14% −36.54
Chase 27 5 18.5% +11.50
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 48 9 18.8% −10.54
Good to Soft 35 5 14.3% −10.00
Soft 25 1 4% −16.00
Heavy 6 1 16.7% +0.50
Good to Firm 2 1 50% +8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newton Abbot 11 4 36.4% +13.00
Fontwell 11 3 27.3% +1.38
Exeter 9 2 22.2% +2.50
Uttoxeter 8 1 12.5% −6.00
Wincanton 7 2 28.6% +4.50
Taunton 6 0 0% −6.00
Worcester 6 0 0% −6.00
Musselburgh 4 0 0% −4.00
Huntingdon 4 0 0% −4.00
Warwick 4 1 25% +6.00
Thurles 4 0 0% −4.00
Fakenham 3 2 66.7% +3.25
Chepstow 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00
Tipperary 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 53 11 20.8% +14.50
Class 4 33 5 15.2% −18.54
Class 3 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 12 4 33.3% 0.99 −2.25
2nd–3rd fav 25 8 32% 1.89 +13.21
4th–6th fav 34 5 14.7% 1.58 +6.00
7th+ in betting 45 0 0% 0.00 −45.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85% completed · 113 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 27 81.5% 0 3 2 0 0
Hurdle 86 86% 1 4 6 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Miss Goldfire (IRE) 12 4 6 4 Oct 26
General Ryan (IRE) 9 0 2 19 Oct 23
Hello Cello (IRE) 8 1 3 15 Jul 26
King Otis (IRE) 8 2 4 12 Nov 24
Lightonthewing (IRE) 7 2 3 14 Apr 26
High Fibre (IRE) 5 1 2 20 May 26
Bredon Hill Dart (GB) 5 2 3 26 Mar 26
Anothermanicmonday (IRE) 4 0 0 17 Apr 26
Joker Du Chenet (FR) 4 0 0 7 Sep 24
Cillians Charm (IRE) 4 0 0 20 Jul 24
Daring Plan (IRE) 3 1 2 21 Oct 26
Testflight (GB) 3 1 1 18 Sep 26
All 50 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0111914311600502209
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardHarry Fry
28% of all rides
18.8% SR · A/E 1.10
TrainerRWSR£1
Harry Fry 32 6 18.8% −10.29
Sue Gardner 30 6 20% +11.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
17
Archived wins
£126k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 9 wins
Mermaids Cave (IRE) — Hadwins EBF Mares' Handicap Hurdle Cartmel · May 2024 · Class 3
£7,102
Miss Goldfire (IRE) — Charles Darrow Mares' Handicap Hurdle Newton Abbot · Jun 2026 · Class 4
£5,585
King Otis (IRE) — Jarrold Handicap Hurdle Fakenham · Jun 2024 · Class 4
£5,281
Notable horses
Miss Goldfire (IRE) King Otis (IRE) Lightonthewing (IRE) Bredon Hill Dart (GB) Hello Cello (IRE) High Fibre (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Yeats (IRE) 38.5% · 5–13
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,832 runs since 2008 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 818.
Scorpion (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.1% of 6,317 runs since 2008 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.
Jet Away (GB) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,530 runs since 2008 (272 horses).
Ocovango (GB) 25% · 2–8
Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,999 runs since 2008 (305 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.9% from 194.
Winged Love (IRE) 28.6% · 2–7
Progeny have won 10.9% of 3,965 runs since 2008 (296 horses).
Dartmouth (GB) 40% · 2–5
Progeny have won 9.9% of 497 runs since 2008 (79 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.1% from 195.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 116 · newest first

The latest 50 of 116 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 November 2022 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
21 Oct 26 Fontwell Daring Plan (IRE)T: Susan Gardner tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 13/8F
17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Daring Plan (IRE)T: Susan Gardner Dgm Robotic Mowers Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 5 ran 1st 4/1
04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Miss Goldfire (IRE)T: Harry Fry F Ball Established 1886 Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 100/30
03 Oct 26 Fontwell McGregors Charge (GB)T: Polly Gundry Download The At The Races App Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 9/2
22 Sep 26 Warwick King Of The Story (IRE)T: Polly Gundry Molson Coors Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 1st 9/1
18 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Testflight (GB)T: Susan Gardner Bayside Signs & Display Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 7 ran 1st 17/2
15 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Hello Cello (IRE)T: Harry Fry Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 11/2
28 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Hello Cello (IRE)T: Harry Fry Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 4th 9/2
28 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Miss Goldfire (IRE)T: Harry Fry bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 23.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 4/1
03 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Miss Goldfire (IRE)T: Harry Fry Charles Darrow Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 2/1F
24 May 26 Fontwell Miss Goldfire (IRE)T: Harry Fry Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Good · 4 ran UR 15/8F
20 May 26 Warwick High Fibre (IRE)T: Harry Fry Love Warwick Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 5th 2/1F
20 May 26 Warwick Testflight (GB)T: Sue Gardner Logicor Grand Neighsional Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 20/1
06 May 26 Fontwell Miss Goldfire (IRE)T: Harry Fry KSR Lighting, The Ultimate Lighting Solutions Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 4/1
04 May 26 Warwick Hello Cello (IRE)T: Harry Fry Racing To School Celebrating 25 Years Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 8/1
17 Apr 26 Exeter Anothermanicmonday (IRE)T: Sue Gardner New Inn, Alphington, Exeter Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 14/1
14 Apr 26 Newton Abbot Lightonthewing (IRE)T: Sue Gardner Tribute Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 13/2
09 Apr 26 Taunton Just A Heartbeat (GB)T: Harry Fry Tony & Carole Stocker Anniversary Surprise Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 5/1
06 Apr 26 Plumpton High Fibre (IRE)T: Harry Fry Southern Cranes & Access Ltd Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20.5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 13/2
04 Apr 26 Newton Abbot Saffron Belle (GB)T: Sue Gardner South West Rail Solutions Ltd. 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran UR 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ciaran O'Shea's strike rate?
Ciaran O'Shea has won 17 of 116 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.7% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Ciaran O'Shea in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ciaran O'Shea's Fair A/E?
1.36, from 116 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).