5:00 Windsor
This Class 4 handicap division at Windsor over 6f12y on good to firm ground brings together a field of nine where the KTB numbers point to a competitive but open-looking affair. Four principals stand out on Fit scores from 73 down to 54, all with strong course credentials and proven ability at the trip, while the remainder are mostly fair performers with varying degrees of course and going form. The overall KTB Intelligence highlights consistent recent efforts from several runners, with course wins and placed form featuring heavily and the yard and jockey combinations showing mixed but relevant strike rates at the track.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks an obvious leader, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical contest in which being handy should pay. With the top four principals and most of the field sharing a held-up run-style, the race is likely to develop into a sprint for the line in the final couple of furlongs. The key question is which of the late closers can time their effort best off what should be a modest gallop, with the draw potentially helping those able to slot in from middle stalls.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Under The Twilight KTB Selection73/100Under The Twilight is a fair sort who arrives in solid nick with four wins from his last nine runs.
- 2Sergeant Pep62/100Sergeant Pep is a fair performer who has run well in defeat on his last three starts and has solid course form having won from four attempts here.
- 3Supreme King59/100Supreme King is a fair handicapper with a solid recent record of four seconds in his last six starts and a useful course placing here.
- 4Lequinto54/100Lequinto is a fair 9-year-old who has won six times at Windsor from 17 runs and also holds a solid record on good to firm ground with five wins from 12 starts.
- 5Sargent Dennis52/100Modest performer who showed useful improvement when winning here over this trip on his only previous visit to Windsor.
- 6Amazonian Dream50/100Amazonian Dream is a fair handicapper who has won four times at Windsor from 27 runs and also has a solid record at today's trip with six wins from 47 starts.
- 7Space Bear50/100Space Bear is a fair 3-year-old with a solid recent record that includes two placed efforts in this grade.
- 8An Outlaw's Grace48/100Fair performer who has been placed on three of four starts at Windsor and arrives in reasonable form after a string of respectable efforts.
- 9Kennington45/100Kennington is a fair 3-year-old with three runs behind him and form of 310 that includes a win on debut.
The contenders
Under The Twilight KTB Fit 73/100
Under The Twilight is a fair sort who arrives in solid nick with four wins from his last nine runs. He boasts a strong record at Windsor, winning four times from nine visits, and has also shown he handles good to firm ground with four wins from 14 starts. The yard hold a 19% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.54 from 48 runs while the jockey operates at 11% with an A/E of 0.94 from 71 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he should be suited by the steadily-run affair that is anticipated. The trip poses no problem as he has won six times over it and he holds a useful draw in stall 6.
Sergeant Pep KTB Fit 62/100
Sergeant Pep is a fair performer who has run well in defeat on his last three starts and has solid course form having won from four attempts here. He drops back to 6f today having last run over 7f and holds a good draw in stall 2. The trainer has a 14% strike rate at Windsor from 627 runs with an A/E of 0.9 while the jockey is operating at 10% from 107 rides with an A/E of 1.29. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he should be well suited by the tactical nature of the race. His recent form figures of 26-232 underline his consistency in similar company.
Supreme King KTB Fit 59/100
Supreme King is a fair handicapper with a solid recent record of four seconds in his last six starts and a useful course placing here. He has won nine times at this trip and handles good to firm ground, though his record on it is modest overall with one win from nine starts. The yard has a 10% strike rate at Windsor from 926 runs with an A/E of 0.93 while Loughnane fares better with a 17% record from 117 rides and an A/E of 0.81. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is dropping in class which could bring out further improvement. His course form reads two starts for a second and a fourth.
Lequinto KTB Fit 54/100
Lequinto is a fair 9-year-old who has won six times at Windsor from 17 runs and also holds a solid record on good to firm ground with five wins from 12 starts. He has been placed in three of his last six outings and has won at today's trip, though he is now a veteran with 50 runs on the clock. The trainer's modest 7% strike rate here from 758 runs carries an A/E of 0.83 while the jockey operates at 10% from 299 rides with an A/E of 0.72. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he should appreciate the steadily-run nature of the race. His recent form of 331253 shows continued competitiveness.
The rest of the field
Sargent DennisKTB Fit 52/100
Sargent Dennis is a modest performer who showed useful improvement when winning here over this trip on his only previous visit to Windsor. He has mixed form since with a win and two seconds from his last four starts but does look suited by good to firm ground. The trainer and jockey both have solid records at the track with respective strike rates of 20% and 15%.
Amazonian DreamKTB Fit 50/100
Amazonian Dream is a fair handicapper who has won four times at Windsor from 27 runs and also has a solid record at today's trip with six wins from 47 starts. He has shown consistent form this year with a string of placed efforts mixed in with the odd win and handles good to firm ground well with four victories from 23 attempts. The trainer holds a 10% strike rate here from 809 runs while the jockey is operating at 7% from 124 rides.
Space BearKTB Fit 50/100
Space Bear is a fair 3-year-old with a solid recent record that includes two placed efforts in this grade. He has won on good to firm ground and at today's trip, though his overall strike rate remains modest from 15 starts. The yard has a 9% strike rate at Windsor while Watson is operating at 5% here.
An Outlaw's GraceKTB Fit 48/100
An Outlaw's Grace is a fair performer who has been placed on three of four starts at Windsor and arrives in reasonable form after a string of respectable efforts. Only one win on good to firm from eight attempts, though he has placed on the surface three times, and he has won over today's trip. The trainer has a solid 14% strike rate here from a large sample while the jockey is operating at 6% from 51 rides.
KenningtonKTB Fit 45/100
Kennington is a fair 3-year-old with three runs behind him and form of 310 that includes a win on debut. He now drops back to 6f for the first time, which asks a fresh question of him. The yard has an 11% strike rate from 499 runs at Windsor while Saffie Osborne is operating at 9% from 200 rides here.
KTB verdict
Under The Twilight stands out as the KTB Selection. A fair sort in solid nick with four wins from his last nine runs, he possesses a strong record at Windsor where he has won four times from nine visits and handles good to firm ground with four successes from 14 starts. Usually held up, he should be ideally placed to strike in what is set to be a steadily-run, tactical race where being handy pays. His main dangers are Sergeant Pep, who brings solid course form and a good draw, and Supreme King, who is dropping in class with a string of placed efforts to his name. Lequinto cannot be entirely dismissed either given his prolific record at the track.
KTB Selection Under The Twilight
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:03 UTC, 29 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Under The Twilight | 11/4 | 7Bet |
| Sergeant Pep | 11/2 | 7Bet |
| Supreme King | 4/1 | Bet365 |
| Lequinto | 11/2 | 7Bet |
| Sargent Dennis | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Amazonian Dream | 10/1 | 7Bet |
| Space Bear | 13/2 | 7Bet |
| An Outlaw's Grace | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Kennington | 22/1 | Midnite |
This is the narrative read of the 5:00 Windsor. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Windsor racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Windsor results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest course record at Windsor?
Under The Twilight has won four times from nine visits to Windsor.
How many of the principals are usually held up?
All four principals are usually held up and produce their effort late.
Which horse is dropping back in trip from 7f?
Sergeant Pep is dropping back to 6f today having last run over 7f.
Who has the best trainer/jockey combination strike rate at Windsor among the principals?
The trainer and jockey combination for Sergeant Pep shows 8/27 (30%) with an A/E of 2.55.
Which 3-year-old is stepping up in class?
Both Sargent Dennis and Space Bear are stepping up in class.
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