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Trainer profile

Allie Tullie

39 runners in the lifetime window · 6 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2010 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
4–39
Wins / Runs
10.3%
Strike rate
n=39
9 (23%)
Placed
2.23
Fair A/E
n=38 · 1.85 incl. margin
+10.50
£1 level stake
n=39 at SP · +26.9%
£28,482
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−10.3
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−10.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−10.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
17.6%+7.3
n=17 · A/E 3.66 · £1 +6.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−10.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 24 1 4.2% +2.00
Chase 12 3 25% +11.50
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft 12 0 0% −12.00
Soft 10 0 0% −10.00
Good 9 2 22.2% +10.00
Heavy 5 1 20% −0.50
Good to Firm 3 1 33.3% +23.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kelso 12 2 16.7% +7.00
Newcastle 5 0 0% −5.00
Perth 4 0 0% −4.00
Sedgefield 4 1 25% +22.00
Musselburgh 4 0 0% −4.00
Cartmel 3 0 0% −3.00
Hexham 3 0 0% −3.00
Ayr 3 0 0% −3.00
Carlisle 1 1 100% +3.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 20 2 10% +19.00
Class 3 8 2 25% +2.50
Class 5 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 6 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 5 1 20% 1.56 −0.50
4th–6th fav 9 1 11.1% 1.78 −3.00
7th+ in betting 25 2 8% 3.40 +14.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.3% completed · 36 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 12 66.7% 0 0 4 0 0
Hurdle 24 91.7% 0 0 2 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
More Likely (GB) 16 3 6 28 Nov 09
Hathamore (GB)then Dianne Sayer 9 0 1 15 Jul 10
Ashtonmore (GB)then Miss Valerie Renwick 5 0 0 24 Sep 09
More Equity (GB)then P Monteith 4 1 2 25 Apr 08
Try Catch Paddy (IRE)from P Monteith 3 0 0 21 Apr 08
Mitey Perk (IRE) 2 0 0 9 Feb 08
All 6 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 6 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 3 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
001400·000670100
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Ryan Mania 14 3 21.4% +9.50
Dougie Costello 8 0 0% −8.00
Brian Harding 5 0 0% −5.00
Phil Kinsella 4 1 25% +22.00
Peter Buchanan 3 0 0% −3.00
David England 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr M Walford 1 0 0% −1.00
P J Benson 1 0 0% −1.00
Miss K Erskine 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
8
Archived wins
£59,332
Prize money
2008
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
More Likely (GB) — John Smith's No Nonsense Novices' Chase Kelso · Jan 2007 · Class 2
£13,330
More Likely (GB) — Ship Inn, Dalkeith Handicap Chase Kelso · Oct 2009 · Class 3
£6,505
More Likely (GB) — Eddie Shimmings Mares' Handicap Chase Carlisle · Dec 2008 · Class 3
£6,337
Notable horses
More Likely (GB) More Equity (GB) Mitey Perk (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Classic Cliche (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 8% of 2,328 runs since 2008 (231 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.1% from 244.
Shambo (IRE) 18.8% · 3–16
Progeny have won 10.1% of 267 runs since 2008 (36 horses).
Safety Catch (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 7.2% of 250 runs since 2008 (30 horses).
Executive Perk (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 6.6% of 363 runs since 2008 (54 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 82 · newest first

The latest 50 of 82 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 January 2005 to 15 July 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Jul 10 Cartmel Hathamore (GB)J: Ryan Mania John Smith's Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 40/1
11 Apr 10 Kelso Hathamore (GB)J: Ryan Mania Third Time Lucky Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 25/1
25 Mar 10 Ayr Hathamore (GB)J: Ryan Mania Victor Chandler 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 3rd 100/1
28 Nov 09 Newcastle More Likely (GB)J: Ryan Mania Wbxtriplecrown.com Rehearsal Handicap Chase (Listed)Class 1 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 5th 66/1
24 Nov 09 Sedgefield Hathamore (GB)J: Ryan Mania Durham City Of Culture 2013 Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 150/1
07 Nov 09 Kelso More Likely (GB)J: Ryan Mania Premier Traffic Management Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 16/1
17 Oct 09 Kelso More Likely (GB)J: Ryan Mania Ship Inn, Dalkeith Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 25f · Good · 5 ran 1st 5/1
24 Sep 09 Perth Ashtonmore (GB)J: Brian Harding Sis Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 4th 66/1
23 Sep 09 Perth More Likely (GB)J: Ryan Mania Stanjames.com Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 10th 25/1
23 Sep 09 Perth Hathamore (GB)J: Brian Harding Mary's Meals Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 10th 200/1
29 Aug 09 Cartmel Ashtonmore (GB)J: Brian Harding Betrescue Antepostmag.com Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 100/1
17 Apr 09 Ayr More Likely (GB)J: Ryan Mania Coral Backing Poppyscotland Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 24.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 14/1
20 Mar 09 Kelso Hathamore (GB)J: Brian Harding Reece & Ben Coppola Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 18f · Good · 14 ran 11th 250/1
08 Mar 09 Kelso Ashtonmore (GB)J: Brian Harding Potassium Partnership 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (Div 2)Class 4 · 18f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 300/1
08 Mar 09 Kelso More Likely (GB)J: Dougie Costello Kelso Annual Members Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 25f · Soft · 5 ran 3rd 14/1
03 Mar 09 Newcastle Hathamore (GB)J: Peter Buchanan Complete Football 'national Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 200/1
28 Feb 09 Kelso More Likely (GB)J: Peter Buchanan totesport.com Premier ChaseClass 2 · 22.5f · Soft · 4 ran PU 17/2
20 Jan 09 Sedgefield Hathamore (GB)J: Dougie Costello Digibet.com Mares' Intermediate Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 17f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 66/1
21 Dec 08 Carlisle More Likely (GB)J: Ryan Mania Eddie Shimmings Mares' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 21f · Heavy · 6 ran 1st 7/2
21 Nov 08 Kelso Ashtonmore (GB)J: Ryan Mania Lilburn Estate Introductory HurdleClass 3 · 22.5f · Soft · 7 ran PU 250/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Allie Tullie's strike rate?
Allie Tullie has won 4 of 39 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.3% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Allie Tullie's Fair A/E?
2.23, from 38 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).