What is Phil Kinsella's strike rate?

Phil Kinsella has won 52 of 784 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Phil Kinsella do best at?

Kelso by strike rate: 8 wins from 59 rides (13.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Phil Kinsella ride most for?

Malcolm Jefferson, with 244 rides since 2008 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (10.2%).

What is Phil Kinsella's Fair A/E?

0.81, from 783 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Phil Kinsella

784 rides in the lifetime window · 354 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Feb 2011 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

52–784

Wins / Runs

6.6%

Strike rate

n=784

176 (22%)

Placed

0.81

Fair A/E

n=783 · 0.71 incl. margin

−335.26

£1 level stake

n=784 at SP · −42.8%

£534k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 200 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.81). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (61 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 784 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Feb–Mar 35.6% when favourite Malcolm Jefferson: 10.2% from 244 First rides: 7.4% LTO winners: 14.8% Rode the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Kelso (13.6%, n=59), Wetherby (12.8%, n=47) and Hexham (12.5%, n=56) — all clear of the rider's 6.6% baseline. It is weakest at Southwell (0% over 39 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.8% (n=61, Fair A/E 0.96), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.4% (n=247, Fair A/E 0.52). Malcolm Jefferson supplied 31% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.2% vs 6.6%, A/E 0.91). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the totepool Grand Sefton Handicap Chase at Aintree (Nov 2007, £43,841). The standout partner of the record was Brave Rebellion (GB) — 6 wins from 17 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.4%+0.8

n=285 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −98.33

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.8%+8.2

n=61 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −32.17

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.1%−1.5

n=176 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −59.25

When favourite

35.6%

n=45 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −6.62

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.3%−1.3

n=19 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −14.50

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.4%−4.2

n=247 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −73.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.1%+4.5

n=9 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −4.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 14.8% vs 6.6% · n=61

With C&D winners 14.3% vs 6.6% · n=56

At Kelso 13.6% vs 6.6% · n=59

At Southwell 0% vs 6.6% · n=39

At Wetherby 12.8% vs 6.6% · n=47

At Hexham 12.5% vs 6.6% · n=56

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 427 19 4.4% −190.14

Chase 279 26 9.3% −103.74

NH Flat 77 7 9.1% −40.38

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 274 22 8% −114.44

Good to Soft 188 12 6.4% −39.67

Soft 139 7 5% −73.55

Good to Firm 122 6 4.9% −64.46

Heavy 60 5 8.3% −42.14

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Market Rasen 75 5 6.7% −54.65

Sedgefield 74 3 4.1% −27.00

Kelso 59 8 13.6% +4.05

Hexham 56 7 12.5% −8.14

Newcastle 53 4 7.5% −34.25

Doncaster 49 5 10.2% +0.33

Wetherby 47 6 12.8% +59.95

Southwell 39 0 0% −39.00

Carlisle 39 1 2.6% −36.25

Catterick 39 1 2.6% −33.00

Bangor-on-Dee 31 2 6.5% −16.00

Perth 29 3 10.3% +14.00

Uttoxeter 27 1 3.7% −25.50

Haydock 23 1 4.3% −20.75

Ayr 23 0 0% −23.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 393 26 6.6% −114.43

Class 5 148 4 2.7% −122.38

Class 3 112 10 8.9% −69.53

Class 6 50 4 8% −24.00

Class 2 42 5 11.9% +20.00

Class 1 39 3 7.7% −24.92

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 51 16 31.4% 1.01 −12.62

2nd–3rd fav 122 20 16.4% 1.02 −3.64

4th–6th fav 233 9 3.9% 0.52 −141.00

7th+ in betting 378 7 1.9% 0.63 −178.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

77.3% completed · 706 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 279 72.8% 14 9 51 1 1

Hurdle 427 80.3% 12 5 65 2 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mini Minster (GB) 12 1 5 19 Apr 10

Gidam Gidam (IRE) 12 1 4 17 Apr 10

Brooklyn Brownie (IRE) 11 2 4 22 Apr 10

Norminster (GB) 11 1 5 19 Apr 10

Pilca (FR) 11 1 2 28 Oct 09

Tot O'Whiskey (GB) 10 1 2 27 Mar 10

McMurrough (IRE) 9 2 5 11 Mar 10

The Panama Kid (IRE) 8 0 3 28 Apr 10

Insignia (IRE) 8 0 3 21 Apr 10

Justtheoneforyou (GB) 8 0 3 3 Apr 10

Calatagan (IRE) 8 0 3 19 Mar 10

Brave Rebellion (GB) 8 2 4 19 Jan 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 354 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

410858410021554

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMalcolm Jefferson

31% of all rides
10.2% SR · A/E 0.91

TrainerRWSR£1

Malcolm Jefferson 244 25 10.2% −91.92

Keith Reveley 75 6 8% −47.80

Henry Hogarth 65 3 4.6% −45.00

John Mackie 62 4 6.5% −27.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

125

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.03m

Prize money

2007

Best season · 36 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lampion Du Bost (FR) — totepool Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Aintree · Nov 2007 · Class 3

£43,841

Tazbar (IRE) — Rossington Main Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) Doncaster · Jan 2008 · Grade 2

£26,250

Brooklyn Brownie (IRE) — Getyourbetson at stanjames.com Festival Chase Perth · Apr 2010 · Class 2

£19,249

Notable horses

Brave Rebellion (GB) Tazbar (IRE) Gidam Gidam (IRE) King Fontaine (IRE) Brooklyn Brownie (IRE) Sunisa (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Saddlers' Hall (IRE) 5.9% · 2–34

Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).

Presenting (GB) 9.4% · 3–32

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Minster Son (IRE) 6.7% · 2–30

Progeny have won 7.7% of 662 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.7% from 102.

Classic Cliche (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23

Progeny have won 8% of 2,328 runs since 2008 (231 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.1% from 244.

King's Best (USA) 5% · 1–20

Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.

Kayf Tara (GB) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,756 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,651 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,651 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 February 2005 to 8 February 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 Feb 11 Market Rasen Brink (GB)T: Tim Pitt Caffrey's Irish Ale Juvenile HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran BD 80/1

06 Feb 11 Musselburgh Lawgiver (IRE)T: Marjorie Fife Racing Uk Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 19.5f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 40/1

05 Feb 11 Wetherby Rocky Bear (IRE)T: Marjorie Fife wetherbyracing.co.uk Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 16th 50/1

05 Feb 11 Wetherby Master Conor (IRE)T: Henry Hogarth Bet totepool At totesport.com Novices' HurdleClass 3 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran PU 200/1

05 Feb 11 Wetherby Lady Anne Nevill (GB)T: Chris Fairhurst Bet On Today's Totescoop6 At Totesport.com Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 1st 50/1

02 Feb 11 Newcastle Star Player (IRE)T: Chris Grant Weatherbys Bloodstock Insurance Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23.5f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 9/4F

02 Feb 11 Newcastle Power Flow (IRE)T: Peter Atkinson meyertimber.com Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 16 ran PU 100/1

02 Feb 11 Newcastle Aitch Factor (GB)T: Henry Hogarth North Sea Logistics Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 16 ran 8th 200/1

31 Jan 11 Ayr Rafta (IRE)T: Linda Perratt Watch Live Racing At Victorchandler.com Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 17 ran PU 10/1

31 Jan 11 Ayr Pamak D'airy (FR)T: Henry Hogarth Play Poker At Victorchandler.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 15.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 8/1

31 Jan 11 Ayr Murrell (IRE)T: Henry Hogarth Victorchandler.com 'national Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 17 ran 14th 25/1

25 Jan 11 Sedgefield Mycenean Prince (USA)T: Karen Tutty Collins Seafoods Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 28/1

24 Jan 11 Wetherby Shrewd Investor (IRE)T: Henry Hogarth wetherbyracing.co.uk Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 6/1

24 Jan 11 Wetherby Aitch Factor (GB)T: Henry Hogarth 'Enjoy The Craic' On Saturday 5th February Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 15th 100/1

23 Jan 11 Market Rasen Karingreason (GB)T: Keith Reveley Get Racing UK In Your Pub 08703518834 Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 7th 22/1

28 Apr 10 Kelso Kvarner Riviera (IRE)T: Malcolm Jefferson Radio Borders Cash For Kids Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 6/1

28 Apr 10 Kelso The Panama Kid (IRE)T: Malcolm Jefferson Justin & Susan Greig Wedding Celebration Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 18f · Good · 9 ran 6th 8/1

28 Apr 10 Kelso Power Flow (IRE)T: Peter Atkinson Jedforest Deer Park Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 16 ran F 66/1

27 Apr 10 Sedgefield Neptune Equester (GB)T: Brian Ellison totepool Durham National (Handicap Chase)Class 3 · 28f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 2nd 4/1F

25 Apr 10 Wetherby The Magic Bishop (GB)T: Malcolm Jefferson Royal Pigeon Racing Association Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Phil Kinsella's strike rate?: Phil Kinsella has won 52 of 784 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Phil Kinsella do best at?: Kelso by strike rate: 8 wins from 59 rides (13.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Phil Kinsella ride most for?: Malcolm Jefferson, with 244 rides since 2008 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (10.2%).
What is Phil Kinsella's Fair A/E?: 0.81, from 783 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.