What is C Le Lay's strike rate?

C Le Lay has won 15 of 106 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.2% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does C Le Lay do best at?

Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 30 runners (20%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is C Le Lay's Fair A/E?

1.50, from 101 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

C Le Lay

106 runners in the lifetime window · 26 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Apr 2025 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

15–106

Wins / Runs

14.2%

Strike rate

n=106

42 (40%)

Placed

1.50

Fair A/E

n=101 · 1.32 incl. margin

+26.80

£1 level stake

n=104 at SP · +25.8%

£345k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.50).

Deterministic profile computed from 106 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026

The read

The record is strongest at Chantilly (FR) (20%, n=30), clear of the yard's 14.2% baseline. It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (5.1% over 39 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 10.9% (n=46, Fair A/E 1.67). The market has also underrated the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 1.64 across 65 runners (12.3% strike, +20.30 to a £1 stake). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Max Sicard at Toulouse (FR) (Dec 2017, £25,641). The stable star of the record: Holdthasigreen (FR) — 6 wins from 16 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10.9%−3.3

n=46 · A/E 1.67 · £1 −2.30

New recruits · first run for the yard

20%+5.8

n=10 · A/E 4.13 · £1 +13.30

Debutants · first career start

7.1%−7.1

n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

30%+15.8

n=10 · A/E 5.39 · £1 +19.30

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−14.2

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

When favourite

22.2%

n=9 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −2.70

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

0%−14.2

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

35.7%+21.5

n=14 · A/E 1.99 · £1 +17.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Deauville (FR) 5.1% vs 14.2% · n=39

At Chantilly (FR) 20% vs 14.2% · n=30

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 17% vs 14.2% · n=47

On Standard (AW) going 12.3% vs 14.2% · n=65 · A/E 1.64

With a new jockey booking 15.7% vs 14.2% · n=51 · A/E 1.81

In Flat races 14.2% vs 14.2% · n=106 · A/E 1.50

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 65 8 12.3% +20.30

Soft 18 2 11.1% −9.90

Good to Soft 10 1 10% +4.00

Good 10 4 40% +15.40

Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 39 2 5.1% −15.60

Chantilly (FR) 30 6 20% +31.90

Saint-Cloud (FR) 12 0 0% −12.00

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 5 1 20% +4.80

Longchamp (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Vichy (FR) 3 1 33.3% +1.70

Toulouse (FR) 2 1 50% −0.30

Nantes 2 1 50% +3.40

Craon 2 1 50% +12.00

Lyon Parilly (FR) 1 1 100% +8.90

Cholet 1 0 0% −1.00

Strasbourg (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Saint-Malo 1 0 0% —

Seiches-Sur-Le-Loir 1 1 100% —

Compiegne (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 14 5 35.7% +17.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 9 2 22.2% 0.89 −2.70

2nd–3rd fav 19 5 26.3% 1.89 +19.30

4th–6th fav 35 4 11.4% 1.50 +8.30

7th+ in betting 41 3 7.3% 1.80 +1.90

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Nausycaa (IRE)from Mlle S-V Tarrou 17 2 10 11 Jun 16

Holdthasigreen (FR)then B Audouin 16 6 12 10 Dec 17

Accent Francais (IRE)from G Henrot 8 1 1 1 Mar 17

Anducas (FR)from G Henrot · then D Windrif 7 1 2 3 Mar 16

Henrythesmoker (FR)from G Henrot 7 1 3 16 Feb 16

Paradisiac (GB) 5 0 2 3 Jul 13

Chocapix (IRE) 5 0 1 30 Jun 11

Holdgreen (FR)then B Audouin 4 1 1 22 Nov 16

High Grace (FR) 4 1 3 5 Sep 11

Singapore Delice (FR)from G Pannier 3 1 2 27 Apr 13

Omitas (GB)from Mme Christiane Head 3 0 1 10 Apr 13

Guyana (GER)from H-A Pantall 3 0 0 10 Jan 12

All 26 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 26 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from G Henrot (3); 16 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for B Audouin (6); 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0578910132003318012

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Stephane Laurent 26 3 11.5% +11.40

Tony Piccone 17 4 23.5% +16.90

Williams Saraiva 13 3 23.1% +8.10

Fabien Lefebvre 11 0 0% −11.00

Ludovic Hoisnard 10 1 10% −8.00

Vincent Vion 6 2 33.3% +13.80

Adrien Fouassier 5 0 0% −5.00

Christophe Soumillon 3 1 33.3% +1.60

Gaetan Clouet 2 0 0% −2.00

Mlle Alexandra Le Lay 2 0 0% −2.00

Antoine Werle 2 0 0% −2.00

Thierry Jarnet 1 0 0% −1.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£370k

Prize money

2016

Best season · 4 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Holdthasigreen (FR) — Prix Max Sicard () (3yo+) (Turf) Toulouse (FR) · Dec 2017 · Listed

£25,641

Holdthasigreen (FR) — Grand Prix de Lyon () (4yo+) (Turf) Lyon Parilly (FR) · Jun 2017 · Listed

£25,641

Holdthasigreen (FR) — Prix Right Royal () (4yo+) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Mar 2017 · Listed

£22,222

Notable horses

Holdthasigreen (FR) Nausycaa (IRE) Accent Francais (IRE) Anducas (FR) Henrythesmoker (FR) Holdgreen (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Hold That Tiger (USA) 35% · 7–20

Progeny have won 9.3% of 771 runs since 2008 (90 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.2% from 105.

Noverre (USA) 11.8% · 2–17

Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,831 runs since 2008 (235 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 803. Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 407.

Halling (USA) 12.5% · 1–8

Progeny have won 11% of 6,095 runs since 2008 (409 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 187.

Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,566 runs since 2008 (872 horses).

Tiger Hill (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,823 runs since 2008 (360 horses).

Lomitas (GB) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 10.7% of 1,870 runs since 2008 (163 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.6% from 122. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 319. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.7% from 120.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 115 · newest first

The latest 50 of 115 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 March 2005 to 14 April 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

14 Apr 25 Chantilly (FR) Lib Apache (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix du Hameau de la Biche (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 9/1

23 Mar 23 Saint-Cloud (FR) Lib Apache (FR)J: Damien Boche Prix Suave Dancer (Maiden) (Unraced 3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)10f · Very Soft · 13 ran 11th 59/1

11 Jun 20 Compiegne (FR) Sunday Lili (FR)J: Mlle Alexandra Le Lay Prix des Cordeliers (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)14f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 21/1

22 May 20 Vichy (FR) Sunday Lili (FR)J: Mlle Alexandra Le Lay Prix de la Faisanderie (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)15f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 19/1

04 Oct 19 Saint-Cloud (FR) Lili Spirit (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix de Neaufles Saint-Martin (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)10.5f · Very Soft · 18 ran 6th 17/2

13 Sep 19 Saint-Cloud (FR) Lili Spirit (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix de Bessan (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)10.5f · Good · 18 ran 3rd 12/1

07 Jul 19 Deauville (FR) Lili Blue (FR)J: Tony Piccone Qatar Prix de la Haie Tondue (Conditions) (4yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 43/5

12 Feb 19 Chantilly (FR) Lili Blue (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix de la Premiere Route Ronde (Conditions) (4yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 8/1

05 Jan 18 Deauville (FR) Albaratoff (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix du Bocage Ornais (Handicap) (5yo+) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 12/1

10 Dec 17 Toulouse (FR) Holdthasigreen (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix Max Sicard () (3yo+) (Turf)12f · Very Soft · 9 ran 1st 7/10F

22 Oct 17 Saint-Cloud (FR) Holdthasigreen (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix Royal-Oak (3yo+) (Turf)15.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 5/1

04 Oct 17 Saint-Cloud (FR) Albaratoff (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix de l'Epte (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)12.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran 2nd 31/1

10 Sep 17 Chantilly (FR) Holdthasigreen (FR)J: Tony Piccone Qatar Prix Gladiateur (4yo+) (Turf)15f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 56/10

20 Aug 17 Deauville (FR) Holdthasigreen (FR)J: Tony Piccone Darley Prix Kergorlay (3yo+) (Turf)15f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 12/1

18 Jul 17 Vichy (FR) Holdthasigreen (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix Hubert Baguenault de Puchesse - 7eme Etape du Defi du Galop () (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 17/10F

11 Jun 17 Lyon Parilly (FR) Holdthasigreen (FR)J: Tony Piccone Grand Prix de Lyon () (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Good · 8 ran 1st 89/10

30 Apr 17 Chantilly (FR) Holdthasigreen (FR)J: Williams Saraiva Prix de Barbeville (4yo+) (Turf)15f · Good · 9 ran 9th 5/2F

31 Mar 17 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Holdthasigreen (FR)J: Williams Saraiva Prix Right Royal () (4yo+) (Turf)15.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 44/5

01 Mar 17 Deauville (FR) Accent Francais (IRE)J: Williams Saraiva Prix de Branville (Claimer) (5yo+) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 19/1

06 Jan 17 Deauville (FR) Lovely Spirit (FR)J: Williams Saraiva Prix d'Epreville (Maiden) (3yo Fillies) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 16 ran 10th 19/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is C Le Lay's strike rate?: C Le Lay has won 15 of 106 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.2% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does C Le Lay do best at?: Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 30 runners (20%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is C Le Lay's Fair A/E?: 1.50, from 101 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.