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Trainer profile

Davy Bonilla

129 runners in the last 5 seasons · 17 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday 93% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)
from 1 Jan 2022
12–129
Wins / Runs
9.3%
Strike rate
n=129
33 (26%)
Placed
1.25
Fair A/E
n=129 · 1.01 incl. margin
−44.70
£1 level stake
n=129 at SP · −34.7%
£252k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
13.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.25).

Deterministic profile computed from 129 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
The read

It is weakest at Chantilly (4.9% over 41 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 5.6% over 54 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.1%−0.2
n=11 · A/E 1.50 · £1 −5.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−9.3
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
28.6%+19.3
n=7 · A/E 3.92 · £1 +2.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
20%+10.7
n=10 · A/E 2.70 · £1 −0.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +1.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−9.3
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.3
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With P Remoue 3.2% vs 9.3% · n=31
At Chantilly 4.9% vs 9.3% · n=41
With a new jockey booking 12.9% vs 9.3% · n=62
Off a 15-30-day break 5.6% vs 9.3% · n=54
Over 1m – 1m1f 5.9% vs 9.3% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 120 12 10% −35.70
Hurdle 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 52 4 7.7% −16.20
Soft 33 3 9.1% −18.50
Good to Soft 26 4 15.4% −7.00
Good 10 1 10% +5.00
Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly 41 2 4.9% −28.70
Deauville (AW) 29 3 10.3% −1.00
Saint-Cloud 23 5 21.7% +0.50
Longchamp (FR) 18 1 5.6% −3.00
Auteuil (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Compiegne (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Vichy (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Dieppe (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Saint-Malo (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Le Mans (FR) 1 1 100% +4.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 18 5 27.8% +19.50
Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 4 1 1 100% +4.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 1 25% 1.07 +1.50
2nd–3rd fav 26 7 26.9% 1.93 +8.00
4th–6th fav 38 1 2.6% 0.36 −30.20
7th+ in betting 61 3 4.9% 1.31 −24.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Dempy (FR)from Mme Victoria Head 23 1 8 18 Oct 26
Hot And Beauty (FR)from Mme J Soudan 23 1 3 11 Aug 26
Idee De Cheval (FR)from N Perret 14 1 4 9 Oct 26
Speedy Green (FR)from Mme A Wattel 11 3 4 29 Sep 26
Sixtus (FR)from M Nigge · then Mme J Hiergens 11 0 3 6 Dec 25
Almaromy (FR)from S Pecoraro 8 1 4 19 Oct 26
Waykiki (FR) 8 1 2 8 Oct 26
Tsaverna (FR)then S Pecoraro 8 1 1 8 Jul 26
Ho Holy Moly (IRE) 5 0 1 13 Aug 26
Marycha (FR)from H-A Pantall 4 0 0 10 Oct 26
Sydney Sunset (FR)from Mme Victoria Head 3 0 0 8 Oct 26
Dempy 2 1 1 25 Aug 26
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mme Victoria Head (3); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard, most often for S Pecoraro (2); 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 6
Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
01409017271313800
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderP Remoue
24% of all rides
3.2% SR · A/E 0.61
RiderRWSR£1
P Remoue 31 1 3.2% −16.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
12
Archived wins
£252k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 12 wins
Speedy Green (FR) — Prix Du Cheval D'Obstacle (Prix De Dieppe) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2026 · Class 3
£12,949
Speedy Green (FR) — Prix Du Cheval D'Obstacle (Prix De Dieppe) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2026 · Class 3
£12,949
Waykiki (FR) — Prix Du Haras De La Hume Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2026
£12,000
Notable horses
Speedy Green (FR) Hot And Beauty (FR) Dempy (FR) Idee De Cheval (FR) Almaromy (FR) Waykiki (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Almanzor (FR) 6.5% · 2–31
Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,089 runs since 2008 (282 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.2% from 154. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.8% from 145. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13% from 300.
Intello (GER) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,471 runs since 2008 (389 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15% from 227. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 184.
Olympic Glory (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,053 runs since 2008 (264 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.8% from 147.
Zarak (FR) 33.3% · 4–12
Progeny have won 15.5% of 1,965 runs since 2008 (326 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 11% from 363. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 21.1% from 242. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7% from 201.
Al Wukair (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,079 runs since 2008 (159 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 206.
The Grey Gatsby (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 11.9% of 1,017 runs since 2008 (172 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 18.1% from 138.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 129 · newest first

The latest 50 of 129 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 September 2024 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Almaromy (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Du Marais Vernier9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 3rd 12/1
18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Dempy (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Rieussec15.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 4th 13/2
10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Marycha (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix De La ColleraieClass 3 · 9f · Soft · 15 ran 9th 28/1
09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Idee De Cheval (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix Du Carrefour Du Fond PernantClass 3 · 7f · Very Soft · 15 ran 3rd 14/1
08 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Sydney Sunset (FR)J: Thomas Trullier Prix Du Chesnay10f · Soft · 16 ran 12th 18/1
08 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Waykiki (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix Du Haras De La Hume15f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 7/2
03 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Dempy (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Qatar Prix De La Place Des VosgesClass 1 · 12.5f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 10th 9/1
29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Almaromy (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De La Chambre Du DucClass 2 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 8th 25/1
29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Speedy Green (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix De La Chambre Du DucClass 2 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 3rd 40/1
25 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Waykiki (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix CaracallaClass 2 · 12f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 50/1
25 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Sydney Sunset (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix CaracallaClass 2 · 12f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 50/1
15 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Marycha (FR)J: D Santiago Prix De Verberie9f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 25/1
15 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Dempy (FR)J: C. Soumillon Prix Des Bords De L'oise14f · Soft · 16 ran 2nd 17/2
11 Sep 26 Le Mans (FR) Idee De Cheval (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix De Saint-saturninClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 15 ran 1st 9/2F
07 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Waykiki (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix Du Haras De Villeneuve15f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 7/1
07 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Sydney Sunset (FR)J: Thomas Trullier Prix Pleben12f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 40/1
04 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Almaromy (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De VerderonneClass 3 · 9f · Soft · 13 ran 1st 7/2
31 Aug 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Waykiki (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix de Saint-Martin-du-Chene12f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 5/1
27 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Almaromy (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Ouest France (Prix De La Villa Mors)Class 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 3rd 20/1
27 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Marycha (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix Paris Turf (Prix Du Mesnil-eudes)9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Davy Bonilla's strike rate?
Davy Bonilla has won 12 of 129 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Davy Bonilla do best at?
Chantilly by strike rate: 2 wins from 41 runners (4.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Davy Bonilla in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Davy Bonilla's Fair A/E?
1.25, from 129 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).