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Trainer profile

Davy Bonilla

134 runners in the lifetime window · 17 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday 93% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
12–134
Wins / Runs
9%
Strike rate
n=134
33 (25%)
Placed
1.19
Fair A/E
n=134 · 0.96 incl. margin
−49.70
£1 level stake
n=134 at SP · −37.1%
£275k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.19).

Deterministic profile computed from 134 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
The read

It is weakest at Chantilly (4.7% over 43 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. The yard also reads well over 6f – 7f (13.3%, n=30). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 5.3% over 57 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.1%+0.1
n=11 · A/E 1.50 · £1 −5.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−9.0
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
28.6%+19.6
n=7 · A/E 3.92 · £1 +2.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
20%+11.0
n=10 · A/E 2.70 · £1 −0.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 0.88 · £1 +0.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−9.0
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With P Remoue 3.2% vs 9% · n=31
At Chantilly 4.7% vs 9% · n=43
With a new jockey booking 12.9% vs 9% · n=62
Off a 15-30-day break 5.3% vs 9% · n=57
Over 6f – 7f 13.3% vs 9% · n=30
Over 1m – 1m1f 5.4% vs 9% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 125 12 9.6% −40.70
Hurdle 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 56 4 7.1% −20.20
Soft 34 3 8.8% −19.50
Good to Soft 26 4 15.4% −7.00
Good 10 1 10% +5.00
Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly 43 2 4.7% −30.70
Deauville (AW) 31 3 9.7% −3.00
Saint-Cloud 23 5 21.7% +0.50
Longchamp (FR) 18 1 5.6% −3.00
Auteuil (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Compiegne (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Vichy (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Dieppe (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Saint-Malo (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Le Mans (FR) 1 1 100% +4.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 19 5 26.3% +18.50
Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 4 1 1 100% +4.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 1 20% 0.88 +0.50
2nd–3rd fav 27 7 25.9% 1.88 +7.00
4th–6th fav 40 1 2.5% 0.35 −32.20
7th+ in betting 62 3 4.8% 1.30 −25.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Dempy (FR)from Mme Victoria Head 23 1 8 18 Oct 26
Hot And Beauty (FR)from Mme J Soudan 23 1 3 11 Aug 26
Idee De Cheval (FR)from N Perret 15 1 4 3 Nov 26
Speedy Green (FR)from Mme A Wattel 12 3 4 26 Oct 26
Sixtus (FR)from M Nigge · then Mme J Hiergens 11 0 3 6 Dec 25
Waykiki (FR) 9 1 2 2 Nov 26
Almaromy (FR)from S Pecoraro 8 1 4 19 Oct 26
Tsaverna (FR)then S Pecoraro 8 1 1 8 Jul 26
Marycha (FR)from H-A Pantall 6 0 0 5 Nov 26
Ho Holy Moly (IRE) 5 0 1 13 Aug 26
Sydney Sunset (FR)from Mme Victoria Head 3 0 0 8 Oct 26
Dempy 2 1 1 25 Aug 26
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mme Victoria Head (3); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard, most often for S Pecoraro (2); 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
01409017271313700
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderP Remoue
23% of all rides
3.2% SR · A/E 0.61
RiderRWSR£1
P Remoue 31 1 3.2% −16.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
12
Archived wins
£275k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 12 wins
Speedy Green (FR) — Prix Du Cheval D'Obstacle (Prix De Dieppe) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2026 · Class 3
£12,949
Speedy Green (FR) — Prix Du Cheval D'Obstacle (Prix De Dieppe) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2026 · Class 3
£12,949
Waykiki (FR) — Prix Du Haras De La Hume Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2026
£12,000
Notable horses
Speedy Green (FR) Hot And Beauty (FR) Dempy (FR) Idee De Cheval (FR) Waykiki (FR) Almaromy (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Almanzor (FR) 6.5% · 2–31
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,113 runs since 2021 (283 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.2% from 154. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.7% from 149. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.8% from 305.
Intello (GER) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,495 runs since 2017 (393 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.6% from 233. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 185.
Olympic Glory (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,069 runs since 2018 (264 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.7% from 150.
Zarak (FR) 30.8% · 4–13
Progeny have won 15.3% of 2,025 runs since 2021 (329 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 18.3% from 278. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.8% from 371. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 20.6% from 257. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.9% from 203.
Al Wukair (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,100 runs since 2021 (162 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.4% from 210.
The Grey Gatsby (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 11.9% of 1,043 runs since 2021 (172 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 18.4% from 141.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 134 · newest first

The latest 50 of 134 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 September 2024 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Marycha (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix De L'Abbaye De La Victoire8f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 22/1
03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Idee De Cheval (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix De Commeaux7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 7th 8/1
02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Waykiki (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix Des Pins Noirs15f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 15/2
26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Speedy Green (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix De La Route BellevalClass 3 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 11/4F
22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Marycha (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix Du Chateau D'auvers-sur-oise9.5f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 25/1
19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Almaromy (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Du Marais Vernier9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 3rd 12/1
18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Dempy (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Rieussec15.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 4th 13/2
10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Marycha (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix De La ColleraieClass 3 · 9f · Soft · 15 ran 9th 28/1
09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Idee De Cheval (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix Du Carrefour Du Fond PernantClass 3 · 7f · Very Soft · 15 ran 3rd 14/1
08 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Sydney Sunset (FR)J: Thomas Trullier Prix Du Chesnay10f · Soft · 16 ran 12th 18/1
08 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Waykiki (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix Du Haras De La Hume15f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 7/2
03 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Dempy (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Qatar Prix De La Place Des VosgesClass 1 · 12.5f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 10th 9/1
29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Almaromy (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De La Chambre Du DucClass 2 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 8th 25/1
29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Speedy Green (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix De La Chambre Du DucClass 2 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 3rd 40/1
25 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Waykiki (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix CaracallaClass 2 · 12f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 50/1
25 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Sydney Sunset (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix CaracallaClass 2 · 12f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 50/1
15 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Marycha (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix De Verberie9f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 25/1
15 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Dempy (FR)J: C. Soumillon Prix Des Bords De L'oise14f · Soft · 16 ran 2nd 17/2
11 Sep 26 Le Mans (FR) Idee De Cheval (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix De Saint-saturninClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 15 ran 1st 9/2F
07 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Waykiki (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix Du Haras De Villeneuve15f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Davy Bonilla's strike rate?
Davy Bonilla has won 12 of 134 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Davy Bonilla do best at?
Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 runners (9.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Davy Bonilla in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Davy Bonilla's Fair A/E?
1.19, from 134 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).