Stephane Pasquier
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 510 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.05). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (287 rides).
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.4% (n=287, Fair A/E 1.13), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 8.2% (n=1,048, Fair A/E 0.96). F Chappet supplies 11% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.7%, A/E 0.96). The rider also reads well in Class 3 (20.6%, n=34) and over 1m5f – 2m (17.7%, n=113). 333 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Lucien Barriere at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2006, £788,138). The standout partner of the record: Sky Power (FR) — 7 wins from 21 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Dec–Feb.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
SteadyBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 11,274 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 11,274 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 February 2005 to 31 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Stephane Pasquier's strike rate?
- Stephane Pasquier has won 291 of 2,529 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.5% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Stephane Pasquier do best at?
- Clairefontaine (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 35 rides (14.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Stephane Pasquier ride most for?
- F Chappet, with 281 rides since 2022 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (10.7%).
- Is Stephane Pasquier in form?
- In the last 14 days: 32 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 9.4%. That is in line with the baseline of 11.5% since 2022.
- What is Stephane Pasquier's Fair A/E?
- 1.05, from 2,525 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.