Aurelien Lemaitre
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 580 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.10). In Group and Graded company the record reads 14% (387 runs). The rider is in form now — 4 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.
In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 13.7% (n=387, Fair A/E 1.38). Right now the rider is firing: 4 winners from 30 rides in the last 14 days (13.3%, 3.9pts above the 9.4% baseline). Christopher Head supplies 10% of the rides and beats the rider's average (21.6% vs 9.4%, A/E 1.23) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Class 2 (19.4%, n=31). The record reads poorly in Class 3 — 1.6% over 61 rides, 7.8pts below the baseline. 100 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes at Ascot (Oct 2023, £655,709). The standout partner of the record: Hooking (GB) — 7 wins from 25 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
In formBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 6,901 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 6,901 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 October 2005 to 31 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Aurelien Lemaitre's strike rate?
- Aurelien Lemaitre has won 271 of 2,878 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Aurelien Lemaitre do best at?
- Dieppe (FR) by strike rate: 4 wins from 31 rides (12.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Aurelien Lemaitre ride most for?
- Christopher Head, with 283 rides since 2022 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 61 (21.6%).
- Is Aurelien Lemaitre in form?
- In the last 14 days: 30 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 13.3%. That is above the baseline of 9.4% since 2022.
- What is Aurelien Lemaitre's Fair A/E?
- 1.10, from 2,875 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.