What is J Heard's strike rate?

J Heard has won 3 of 24 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.5% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.

Trainer profile

J Heard

24 runners in the lifetime window · 8 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2025 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

3–24

Wins / Runs

12.5%

Strike rate

n=24

8 (33%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=24 · 0.90 incl. margin

+10.38

£1 level stake

n=24 at SP · +43.3%

£21,052

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

16.7%+4.2

n=12 · A/E 1.62 · £1 +3.38

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−12.5

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−12.5

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

50%+37.5

n=2 · A/E 1.79 · £1 +0.38

When favourite

100%

n=1 · A/E 2.62 · £1 +1.38

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

16.7%+4.2

n=18 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +16.38

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 10 1 10% +9.00

Good to Soft 6 2 33.3% +9.38

Soft 5 0 0% −5.00

Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cheltenham 8 1 12.5% +11.00

Wincanton 4 1 25% +9.00

Stratford 3 0 0% −3.00

Exeter 3 1 33.3% −0.62

Newton Abbot 2 0 0% −2.00

Taunton 2 0 0% −2.00

Haydock 1 0 0% −1.00

Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 8 2 25% +7.38

Class 6 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 4 4 1 25% +15.00

Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.22 −0.62

2nd–3rd fav 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00

4th–6th fav 4 1 25% 2.89 +9.00

7th+ in betting 10 1 10% 4.50 +9.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

75% completed · 24 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 24 75% 0 0 5 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Quintin's Man (GB) 8 2 4 30 Jan 25

Singapore Saga (GB)from Philip Hobbs 6 1 3 20 Feb 24

Roll On Rose (IRE)from James G Sheehan 3 0 0 23 Apr 13

Navanman (IRE)from David Pipe 2 0 1 30 Apr 21

Eric The Third (IRE)from Tim Vaughan 2 0 0 30 Apr 21

Prince Of Poets (GB)from David Pipe 1 0 0 9 Jun 17

Faasel (IRE)from David Pipe 1 0 0 15 Mar 13

Paddy The Piper (IRE)from Mrs Mandy Hand 1 0 0 6 May 10

All 8 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 8 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Pipe (3); 1 had its first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Mr Darren Andrews 16 3 18.8% +18.38

Michael Heard 4 0 0% −4.00

Mr Joshua Guerriero 1 0 0% −1.00

David Noonan 1 0 0% −1.00

Rex Dingle 1 0 0% −1.00

Bryan Carver 1 0 0% −1.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

Archived wins

£22,020

Prize money

2023

Best season · 2 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Quintin's Man (GB) — Lycetts Insurance Brokers Intermediate Point-To-Point Hunters' Chase Cheltenham · May 2023 · Class 4

£5,133

Quintin's Man (GB) — Stewart Tory Memorial Open Hunters' Chase Wincanton · Feb 2024 · Class 5

£3,229

Singapore Saga (GB) — Totnes And Bridgetown Races Company Ltd Novices' Hunters' Chase Exeter · Mar 2023 · Class 5

£2,639

Notable horses

Quintin's Man (GB) Singapore Saga (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Schiaparelli (GER) 25% · 2–8

Progeny have won 12% of 1,835 runs since 2015 (203 horses).

Midnight Legend (GB) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,311 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Anshan (GB) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.

Mountain High (IRE) 0% · 0–2

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,245 runs since 2011 (184 horses).

Well Chosen (GB) 0% · 0–2

Progeny have won 12.6% of 1,922 runs since 2008 (156 horses).

Byron (GB) 0% · 0–1

Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,248 runs since 2010 (225 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 172.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 26 archived runs · newest first

Every one of J Heard's 26 archived runners, from 17 May 2006 to 30 January 2025, newest first — 3 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Jan 25 Wincanton Quintin's Man (GB)J: Mr Darren Andrews Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Stewart Tory Memorial Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 25f · Heavy · 6 ran 3rd 4/1

03 May 24 Cheltenham Quintin's Man (GB)J: Mr Darren Andrews Midlands Air Ambulance Mixed Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 26.5f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 11/2

15 Mar 24 Cheltenham Quintin's Man (GB)J: Mr Darren Andrews St. James's Place Festival Challenge Cup Open Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 26.5f · Soft · 12 ran PU 28/1

20 Feb 24 Taunton Singapore Saga (GB)J: Mr Darren Andrews Jumping For Fun Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 5/1

17 Feb 24 Haydock Quintin's Man (GB)J: Mr Darren Andrews Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Walrus Open Hunters' ChaseClass 3 · 22f · Heavy · 8 ran 3rd 7/2J

01 Feb 24 Wincanton Quintin's Man (GB)J: Mr Darren Andrews Stewart Tory Memorial Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 25f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 12/1

02 Jun 23 Stratford Singapore Saga (GB)J: Mr Darren Andrews Pertemps Network Stratford Foxhunters Champion Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 27.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 14/1

02 Jun 23 Stratford Quintin's Man (GB)J: Mr Darren Andrews pointtopoint.co.uk Champion Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 27.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 7/4

05 May 23 Cheltenham Singapore Saga (GB)J: Mr Darren Andrews Barrie Wells Trust Box4Kids Mares' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 4/1

05 May 23 Cheltenham Quintin's Man (GB)J: Mr Darren Andrews Lycetts Insurance Brokers Intermediate Point-To-Point Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 26f · Good · 13 ran 1st 18/1

21 Apr 23 Exeter Quintin's Man (GB)J: Mr Darren Andrews Totnes And Bridgetown Races Co Ltd Intermediate Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 5/2J

11 Apr 23 Exeter Singapore Saga (GB)J: Mr Darren Andrews Totnes And Bridgetown Races Company Ltd Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 11/10

26 Mar 23 Exeter Singapore Saga (GB)J: Mr Darren Andrews Totnes And Bridgetown Races Company Ltd Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 1st 11/8F

09 Jan 23 Taunton Singapore Saga (GB)J: Mr Darren Andrews Geoffrey Bosley 'Tally Ho' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 15/2

30 Apr 21 Cheltenham Eric The Third (IRE)J: Mr Darren Andrews 100% RacingTV Profits Back To Racing Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 66/1

30 Apr 21 Cheltenham Navanman (IRE)J: Mr Darren Andrews Lorna Brooke Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 32.5f · Good · 16 ran 3rd 33/1

26 Mar 21 Newbury Navanman (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Betvictor Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 3 ran 2nd 4/1

03 Mar 21 Wincanton Eric The Third (IRE)J: David Noonan Dick And Sue Woodhouse Memorial Hunters' Chase (For The Dick Woodhouse Trophy)Class 6 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 6th 125/1

09 Jun 17 Stratford Prince Of Poets (GB)J: Rex Dingle Subaru 'Restricted Point-to-Point' Series Final (Novices' Hunters' Chase)Class 3 · 22.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 66/1

23 Apr 13 Newton Abbot Roll On Rose (IRE)J: Michael Heard Newton Abbot Races Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 21f · Good To Soft · 13 ran PU 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J Heard's strike rate?: J Heard has won 3 of 24 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.5% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.