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Trainer profile

Jan Keppens

43 runners in the lifetime window · 5 individual horses
As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
2–43
Wins / Runs
4.7%
Strike rate
n=43
9 (21%)
Placed
1.05
Fair A/E
n=43 · 0.88 incl. margin
+16.10
£1 level stake
n=43 at SP · +37.4%
£38,248
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 6.5%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.7
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.7
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 6.13 · £1 +4.10
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.5%+1.8
n=31 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +28.10

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 35 2 5.7% +24.10
Good to Soft 4 0 0% −4.00
Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Good 1 0 0% −1.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 19 2 10.5% +40.10
Deauville (FR) 18 0 0% −18.00
Longchamp (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Dieppe (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 1 100% 6.13 +4.10
2nd–3rd fav 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
4th–6th fav 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
7th+ in betting 31 1 3.2% 1.31 +23.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Beama (FR)from P Monfort 23 2 7 20 Jan 23
Bleusky (FR)from C Escuder 15 0 2 2 Jul 26
Baileys Illusion (FR)from Gavin Hernon 2 0 0 27 Oct 26
Caderousse (FR)from Y Barberot 2 0 0 6 Oct 20
Munazan (FR)from C Plisson 1 0 0 11 Jul 17
All 5 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 5 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000500·000000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Ebbe Verhestraeten 22 2 9.1% +37.10
Mme Axelle Nicco 5 0 0% −5.00
Corentin Berge 3 0 0% −3.00
Delphine Santiago 2 0 0% −2.00
Ludovic Boisseau 2 0 0% −2.00
Mme Frida Valle Skar 2 0 0% −2.00
Christophe Soumillon 1 0 0% −1.00
Stephane Breux 1 0 0% −1.00
Antoine Hamelin 1 0 0% −1.00
Jefferson Smith 1 0 0% −1.00
Mme Perrine Cheyer 1 0 0% −1.00
Arthur Vilchien 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
2
Archived wins
£38,248
Prize money
2022
Best season · 1 win
Beama (FR) — Prix du Pave de la Biche (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Apr 2021
£8,482
Beama (FR) — Prix du Pave de la Biche (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Apr 2022
£7,983
Notable horses
Beama (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Elusive City (USA) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,425 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,122.
Anodin (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 8.8% of 2,427 runs since 2008 (275 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.4% from 116.
Dream Ahead (USA) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,700 runs since 2008 (528 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 184.
Muhaymin (USA) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.6% of 662 runs since 2008 (100 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.1% from 113.
Munaafis (USA) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 8.5% of 47 runs since 2008 (4 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 43 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Jan Keppens's 43 archived runners, from 27 August 2016 to 27 October 2026, newest first — 2 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Baileys Illusion (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix Juno Beach6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 8th 40/1
13 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Baileys Illusion (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix De La Maison Des QuatransClass 3 · 6.5f · Soft · 15 ran 13th 50/1
02 Jul 26 Longchamp (FR) Bleusky (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix du Petit Arsenal (Handicap) (Turf)10f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 15th 71/1
11 Dec 25 Chantilly (FR) Bleusky (FR)J: Arthur Vilchien Prix du Chateau de Himeji (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 33/1
12 Dec 24 Chantilly (FR) Bleusky (FR)J: Corentin Berge Prix du Chateau de Himeji (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)10.5f · Standard · 15 ran 3rd 34/1
04 Jul 24 Longchamp (FR) Bleusky (FR)J: Corentin Berge Prix Como Mercedes Benz (Handicap) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)11f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 53/1
05 Nov 23 Deauville (FR) Bleusky (FR)J: Ludovic Boisseau Prix du Pays d'Houlme (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 14th 59/1
09 Sep 23 Chantilly (FR) Bleusky (FR)J: Corentin Berge Prix du Canal des Morfondus (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 15th 48/1
11 Apr 23 Chantilly (FR) Bleusky (FR)J: Mme Axelle Nicco Prix du Pave de Thiers (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 43/1
18 Mar 23 Saint-Cloud (FR) Bleusky (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix des Pyrenees-Atlantiques (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)10f · Very Soft · 16 ran 16th 58/1
25 Feb 23 Chantilly (FR) Bleusky (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix de la Route Neuve des Sablons (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 16th 44/1
20 Jan 23 Deauville (FR) Beama (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix de Maissy (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 12th 9/1
13 Jan 23 Deauville (FR) Bleusky (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix de l'Hotel Atlantique (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 10th 50/1
26 Dec 22 Deauville (FR) Beama (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix de la Vallee Mayeux (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 4th 17/1
13 Dec 22 Chantilly (FR) Bleusky (FR)J: Mme Axelle Nicco Prix du Terrain de Manoeuvre (Handicap) (3yo+ Fillies & Mares) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Fast · 16 ran 11th 34/1
06 Dec 22 Chantilly (FR) Beama (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix de l'Ecluse de Creil (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 7th 17/2
24 Nov 22 Chantilly (FR) Beama (FR)J: Mme Perrine Cheyer Prix des Buttes (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)10.5f · Standard · 15 ran 10th 10/1
24 Nov 22 Chantilly (FR) Bleusky (FR)J: Mme Axelle Nicco Prix des Buttes (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)10.5f · Standard · 15 ran 4th 28/1
30 Oct 22 Chantilly (FR) Bleusky (FR)J: Mme Axelle Nicco Prix du Chene des Gres (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 16 ran 16th 65/1
11 Aug 22 Deauville (FR) Bleusky (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix de la Foret de Bord (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Slow · 16 ran 14th 24/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jan Keppens's strike rate?
Jan Keppens has won 2 of 43 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Jan Keppens in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jan Keppens's Fair A/E?
1.05, from 43 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 31 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).