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Trainer profile

Mrs Jessica Magnier

33 runners in the last 5 seasons · 4 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2024
from 1 Jan 2022
1–33
Wins / Runs
3%
Strike rate
n=33
5 (15%)
Placed
0.47
n=33 · 0.37 incl. margin
−12.00
£1 level stake
n=33 at SP · −36.4%
£16,010
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.0
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
33.3%+30.3
n=3 · A/E 10.93 · £1 +18.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.3%+3.3
n=16 · A/E 0.85 · £1 +5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 28 1 3.6% −7.00
Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 10 0 0% −10.00
Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Standard (AW) 9 1 11.1% +12.00
Good to Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 9 1 11.1% +12.00
Curragh 5 0 0% −5.00
Fairyhouse 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 3 0 0% −3.00
Cork 2 0 0% −2.00
Leopardstown 2 0 0% −2.00
Sligo 2 0 0% −2.00
Ballinrobe 1 0 0% −1.00
Down Royal 1 0 0% −1.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00
Navan 1 0 0% −1.00
Punchestown 1 0 0% −1.00
Tipperary 1 0 0% −1.00
Kilbeggan 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
4th–6th fav 11 0 0% 0.00 −11.00
7th+ in betting 16 1 6.3% 2.30 +5.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Only For Me (IRE) 15 0 3 20 Oct 23
Plezantlysurprised (GB) 10 1 2 22 Sep 23
Final Flutter (IRE) 4 0 0 12 Nov 24
Patience Patience (IRE) 4 0 0 22 Sep 23
All 4 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 4 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 4 had their first archived run here.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
··0330000000·
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Conor Maxwell 12 0 0% −12.00
Danny Sheehy 9 1 11.1% +12.00
Luke McAteer 4 0 0% −4.00
Ivan Ryan 4 0 0% −4.00
Donagh Meyler 1 0 0% −1.00
Ben Harvey 1 0 0% −1.00
James Ryan 1 0 0% −1.00
Daniel King 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
2
Archived wins
£36,970
Prize money
2022
Best season · 1 win
Plezantlysurprised (GB) — Follow Us On Social Media Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Apr 2022
£7,080
Patience Patience (IRE) — Paddy's Super Enhancements Maiden Hurdle (Div 1) Cork · Nov 2020
£7,080

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,885 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.
Twilight Son (GB) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,665 runs since 2020 (284 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.9% from 621.
Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,185 runs since 2010 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Zoffany (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,779 runs since 2015 (799 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 73 · newest first

The latest 50 of 73 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 July 2018 to 12 November 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mrs Jessica Magnier's strike rate?
Mrs Jessica Magnier has won 1 of 33 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mrs Jessica Magnier's Fair A/E?
0.47, from 33 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).