Conor Orr
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 40 times a season, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96). When claiming the record reads 13% (55 rides).
Claiming rides have been a positive signal at 12.7% (n=55, Fair A/E 1.02), but first rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 3.4% (n=116, Fair A/E 0.60). The rider also reads well in Chase races (17.1%, n=35) and in Flat races (11.5%, n=52). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 2.3% over 129 rides, 4.6pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Boulton Group Midlands Grand National at Uttoxeter (Mar 2022, £84,405).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2012→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,210 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,210 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 November 2012 to 29 December 2025.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Conor Orr's strike rate?
- Conor Orr has won 15 of 216 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- What is Conor Orr's Fair A/E?
- 0.96, from 216 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.