No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceClaiming riders: 9.3%
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.1%−2.0
n=14 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −2.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−9.1
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.3%+0.2
n=43 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −7.50
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good20210%−3.00
Soft10110%−3.50
Good to Soft500%−5.00
Heavy5120%+7.00
Good to Firm400%−4.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Kelso8112.5%+4.00
Warwick5120%+1.50
Musselburgh400%−4.00
Sedgefield300%−3.00
Southwell3133.3%+6.00
Fakenham300%−3.00
Market Rasen200%−2.00
Ludlow200%−2.00
Leicester200%−2.00
Ascot2150%+6.00
Catterick200%−2.00
Wetherby200%−2.00
Hexham100%−1.00
Uttoxeter100%−1.00
Carlisle100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 63139.7%−3.50
Class 57114.3%+1.00
Class 4300%−3.00
Class 3200%−2.00
Class 2100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite400%0.00−4.00
2nd–3rd fav13215.4%1.04+1.50
4th–6th fav2229.1%1.08−1.00
7th+ in betting500%0.00−5.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m5f – 3m23313%+6.00
2m1f – 2m4f1516.7%−8.50
Over 3m600%−6.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2008300%−3.00
2009300%−3.00
20118112.5%+1.00
2012400%−4.00
20145120%+3.00
20151119.1%+1.00
20166116.7%+0.50
2017400%−4.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners1700%−17.00
5-7 runners1317.7%−1.00
11-13 runners1119.1%−2.00
14-16 runners11100%+5.50
17+ runners100%−1.00
2-4 runners11100%+7.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 8 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 8 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Howard Johnson (3).
1 has since run for another yard; 7 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
5002100·······
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Nowurhurlin (IRE) — Fleming Family & Partners Open Hunters' Chase Ascot · Mar 2014 · Class 5
£2,808
Nowurhurlin (IRE) — Eildon Hill Stables Open Hunters' Chase Kelso · Jan 2015 · Class 6
£1,872
Nowurhurlin (IRE) — Children's Air Ambulance Air Wedding Open Hunters' Chase (For The Air Wedding Challenge Trophy) Warwick · Mar 2016 · Class 6
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).
Alderbrook (GB)0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,293 runs since 2008 (299 horses).
Akbar (IRE)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 5.2% of 97 runs since 2008 (8 horses).
Linamix (FR)25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 11.1% of 1,571 runs since 2008 (133 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.1% from 156. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 5.4% from 129. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 14.8% from 418. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.3% from 113.
Dom Alco (FR)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 17.1% of 1,831 runs since 2008 (159 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 21.5% from 326. Weakest on Good going: 14.1% from 389.
Warcraft (USA)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 7.1% of 99 runs since 2008 (14 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
all 45 archived runs · newest first
Every one of Mrs S J Stilgoe's 45 archived runners, from 9 April 2007 to 17 April 2017, newest first — 4 winners among them.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mrs S J Stilgoe's strike rate?
Mrs S J Stilgoe has won 4 of 44 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mrs S J Stilgoe's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 44 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mrs S J Stilgoe·SR 9.1%·A/E 0.81
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