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Jockey profile

Mr John Davidson

66 rides in the lifetime window · 39 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Apr 2016 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
6–66
Wins / Runs
9.1%
Strike rate
n=66
17 (26%)
Placed
1.14
Fair A/E
n=66 · 0.98 incl. margin
+13.60
£1 level stake
n=66 at SP · +20.6%
£15,933
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming: 9.2%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
8.8%−0.3
n=34 · A/E 1.02 · £1 +15.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
50%+40.9
n=2 · A/E 1.71 · £1 +0.10
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.7%−3.4
n=35 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −22.50
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −0.90
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
9.2%+0.1
n=65 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +14.60
Big fields · 14+ runners
11.1%+2.0
n=9 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 6 17.6% vs 9.1% · n=34
When claiming 9.2% vs 9.1% · n=65 · A/E 1.15
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 57 5 8.8% +1.60
Hurdle 7 0 0% −7.00
NH Flat 2 1 50% +19.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 23 3 13% +7.60
Good to Soft 19 2 10.5% +9.00
Soft 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Firm 7 1 14.3% +14.00
Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kelso 25 1 4% −4.00
Perth 10 2 20% +13.10
Sedgefield 7 1 14.3% +0.00
Hexham 7 1 14.3% −1.50
Cartmel 5 1 20% +18.00
Musselburgh 3 0 0% −3.00
Catterick 2 0 0% −2.00
Ayr 2 0 0% −2.00
Stratford 1 0 0% −1.00
Carlisle 1 0 0% −1.00
Aintree 1 0 0% −1.00
Market Rasen 1 0 0% −1.00
Newcastle 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 34 6 17.6% +45.60
Class 5 18 0 0% −18.00
Class 4 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 0.97 −0.90
2nd–3rd fav 12 1 8.3% 0.51 −6.50
4th–6th fav 21 2 9.5% 1.28 +7.00
7th+ in betting 30 2 6.7% 2.88 +14.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
75% completed · 64 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 57 73.7% 5 0 10 0 0
Hurdle 7 85.7% 1 0 0 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Thunder Hawk (IRE) 8 2 4 21 Mar 11
High Expectations (IRE) 7 0 1 6 Apr 09
Tommysteel (IRE) 6 2 2 18 Apr 16
Senor Alco (FR) 4 0 2 30 Apr 16
Theatre Rights (IRE) 3 0 0 28 Feb 09
Indian Print (IRE) 2 0 0 25 May 14
Grey Area (IRE) 2 0 1 4 Jan 14
Montauk Highway (IRE) 2 0 1 2 Apr 12
Silver Palomino (GB) 2 0 0 19 May 10
S For Estuary (IRE) 1 0 0 28 Apr 16
Red Myst (IRE) 1 0 0 26 May 14
Captain Americo (IRE) 1 0 0 13 Feb 14
All 39 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00041810000····
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Victor Thompson 17 3 17.6% +13.10
J S Haldane 12 0 0% −12.00
Mrs L A Coltherd 9 1 11.1% +14.00
James Ewart 3 1 33.3% +18.00
Mrs J Williamson 3 0 0% −3.00
Ms Jackie Williamson 3 0 0% −3.00
Tristan Davidson 3 0 0% −3.00
Stuart Coltherd 2 0 0% −2.00
K Ferguson 1 0 0% −1.00
Mrs J Hollands 1 0 0% −1.00
John Dixon 1 0 0% −1.00
K Robson 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
7
Archived wins
£22,632
Prize money
2012
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Tommysteel (IRE) — Bruce Farms Champion And Fearless Freddie Bonus Novices' Hunters' Chase Perth · May 2012 · Class 6
£2,560
Natural (IRE) — Hunters' Chase Carlisle · Apr 2005 · Class 6
£1,883
Aikman (IRE) — Ladies' Day Standard Open NH Flat Race Perth · May 2010 · Class 6
£1,713
Notable horses
Thunder Hawk (IRE) Tommysteel (IRE) Natural (IRE) Gin Cobbler (GB) Aikman (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Saddlers' Hall (IRE) 20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).
Over The River (FR) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 4.2% of 118 runs since 2008 (23 horses).
Craigsteel (GB) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,393 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 291. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 763.
Beneficial (GB) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Dom Alco (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 17.1% of 1,831 runs since 2008 (159 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 21.5% from 326. Weakest on Good going: 14.1% from 389.
Old Vic (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 120 · newest first

The latest 50 of 120 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 January 2005 to 30 April 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Apr 16 Hexham Senor Alco (FR)T: Victor Thompson Eve Aitchison Heart Of All England Maiden Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 28/1
28 Apr 16 Sedgefield S For Estuary (IRE)T: Victor Thompson John Wade Group Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 20/1
18 Apr 16 Hexham Tommysteel (IRE)T: Victor Thompson Follow Hexham On Facebook And Twitter Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 24f · Heavy · 5 ran PU 40/1
11 Apr 16 Kelso Senor Alco (FR)T: Victor Thompson Borders Carers Centre Buccleuch Cup (Maiden Hunters' Chase)Class 4 · 26f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 28/1
26 May 14 Cartmel Red Myst (IRE)T: Victor Thompson Hadwins Maiden Hunters' Chase (For The Fraser Cup)Class 6 · 21f · Good · 13 ran 9th 18/1
25 May 14 Kelso Indian Print (IRE)T: Victor Thompson Royal Scots Dragoon Guards Challenge Cup (Open Hunters' Chase)Class 4 · 26f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 40/1
01 Mar 14 Kelso Tommysteel (IRE)T: Victor Thompson CGA Foxhunter (Open Hunters' Chase)Class 6 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 7th 50/1
13 Feb 14 Kelso Captain Americo (IRE)T: Mrs B Ewart Cga Foxhunter Trial Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran F 8/1
04 Jan 14 Newcastle Grey Area (IRE)T: Tristan Davidson S V Rutter Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Heavy · 13 ran F 4/1
04 May 13 Hexham Senor Alco (FR)T: Victor Thompson Ramside Hotels Heart Of All England Maiden Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 24f · Good · 15 ran PU 9/2
29 Apr 13 Kelso Senor Alco (FR)T: Victor Thompson Eildon Hill Stables Novices' Hunters' Chase (For The Charlie Brown Trophy)Class 5 · 26f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 5/2
25 Apr 13 Perth Tommysteel (IRE)T: Victor Thompson Harris Tweed Clothing Company Hunters' Chase (For The Perth Hunt Balnakeily Challenge Cup)Class 5 · 26.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 9/2
24 Apr 13 Perth Grey Area (IRE)T: Tristan Davidson Fonab Castle Hotel Amateur Riders' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 3rd 4/1
08 Apr 13 Kelso Tomzatackman (IRE)T: Raymond Shiels Cazenove Capital Management Buccleuch Cup (Maiden Hunters' Chase)Class 5 · 26f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 7/1
05 Apr 13 Sedgefield Gin Cobbler (GB)T: Victor Thompson Rita Crossley's Retirement Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 6/1
02 Mar 13 Kelso Tommysteel (IRE)T: Victor Thompson CGA Foxhunter Trial (Hunters' Chase)Class 6 · 23.5f · Soft · 8 ran PU 10/3
29 May 12 Hexham Devil Water (GB)T: James Ewart St. John Lee Amateur Riders' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 8/1
27 May 12 Kelso Bay Cherry (IRE)T: Mrs S J Stilgoe Royal Scots Dragoon Guards Challenge Cup (Open Hunters' Chase)Class 4 · 25f · Good · 10 ran 4th 10/1
16 May 12 Perth Tommysteel (IRE)T: Victor Thompson Bruce Farms Champion And Fearless Freddie Bonus Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 1st 11/10F
02 May 12 Kelso Tommysteel (IRE)T: Victor Thompson Eildon Hill Stables Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 25f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr John Davidson's strike rate?
Mr John Davidson has won 6 of 66 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr John Davidson's Fair A/E?
1.14, from 66 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).