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Trainer profile

R Avial Lopez

258 runners in the lifetime window · 79 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
26–258
Wins / Runs
10.1%
Strike rate
n=258
74 (29%)
Placed
1.21
Fair A/E
n=234 · 1.00 incl. margin
−81.25
£1 level stake
n=237 at SP · −34.3%
£676k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.21).

Deterministic profile computed from 258 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
The read

The record is strongest at Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (21.2%, n=33), clear of the yard's 10.1% baseline. It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (4.9% over 41 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The yard also reads well on Good going (17.2%, n=64) and off a 15-30-day break (16.1%, n=56). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 1.4% over 72 runners, 8.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.43 across 80 runners (6.3% strike, −60.30 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Lucio Vero (GB) — 5 wins from 14 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.4%−0.7
n=85 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −30.70
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−10.1
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Debutants · first career start
7.7%−2.4
n=65 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −39.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
13.6%+3.5
n=22 · A/E 2.42 · £1 +9.90
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−10.1
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
When favourite
42.9%
n=14 · A/E 2.27 · £1 +11.95
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−10.1
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−10.1
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 21.2% vs 10.1% · n=33
On Standard (AW) going 1.4% vs 10.1% · n=72
On Good going 17.2% vs 10.1% · n=64
Off a 15-30-day break 16.1% vs 10.1% · n=56
At Deauville (FR) 4.9% vs 10.1% · n=41
Over 1m – 1m1f 6.3% vs 10.1% · n=80
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 256 25 9.8% −85.25
Hurdle 2 1 50% +4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 72 1 1.4% −61.90
Good 64 11 17.2% −6.95
Soft 53 6 11.3% −6.70
Good to Soft 42 5 11.9% −14.00
Heavy 27 3 11.1% +8.30

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 45 3 6.7% −34.40
Saint-Cloud (FR) 44 4 9.1% −11.20
Deauville (FR) 41 2 4.9% −16.30
Longchamp (FR) 35 3 8.6% −18.40
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 33 7 21.2% +9.30
Toulouse (FR) 20 3 15% +1.75
Dax 10 1 10% −3.00
Mont-De-Marsan 9 0 0% −9.00
La Teste De Buch (FR) 8 1 12.5% +4.00
Bordeaux Le Bouscat 5 1 20% +3.00
Pau 2 0 0% −2.00
Clairefontaine 2 1 50% −1.00
Fontainebleau 1 0 0% −1.00
Enghien (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Compiegne (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 14 0 0% −13.00
Class 4 9 2 22.2% +11.50
Class 2 2 1 50% +5.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 15 6 40% 2.18 +10.95
2nd–3rd fav 32 4 12.5% 0.98 −9.50
4th–6th fav 59 7 11.9% 1.47 +2.60
7th+ in betting 131 3 2.3% 0.61 −85.30
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Totxo (IRE)from an unnamed yard 39 3 14 19 Apr 16
Lucio Vero (GB) 14 5 5 8 Nov 26
Paper Trophy (FR) 13 3 4 29 Jun 25
Falco Delavilliere (FR) 12 1 6 20 May 19
Fuenteesteis (FR) 11 0 3 10 Jun 19
Merle (FR)from Roberto Avial Sanchez 8 0 0 1 Nov 26
Goldensim (FR) 8 0 3 28 Apr 26
Tramazales (GB) 8 1 5 21 Oct 15
Darkava (FR) 6 0 0 11 Nov 26
El Sierro (FR) 6 1 3 7 Apr 19
Tembadas (FR) 6 0 0 4 Mar 14
Bedaio (FR) 5 0 2 11 Nov 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 79 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Roberto Avial Sanchez (3); 47 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Roberto Avial Sanchez (4); 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 6
Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0035441913232200
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderIoritz Mendizabal
14% of all rides
8.6% SR · A/E 0.74
RiderRWSR£1
Ioritz Mendizabal 35 3 8.6% −27.05
Gregory Benoist 32 3 9.4% +1.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
31
Archived wins
£761k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Falco Delavilliere (FR) — Prix le Roi Soleil (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Jul 2018
£24,336
Totxo (IRE) — Prix Du Rey (Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Oct 2012
£23,500
Lucio Vero (GB) — Prix Rieussec (Handicap) (3yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2024
£23,043
Notable horses
Lucio Vero (GB) Totxo (IRE) Paper Trophy (FR) Mariana D'id (FR) The Tiger (FR) Michelucci (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Diktat (GB) 7.5% · 3–40
Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,931 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.4% from 431. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 156.
Pivotal (GB) 35.7% · 5–14
Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,790 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.
Spanish Moon (USA) 21.4% · 3–14
Progeny have won 12.3% of 1,679 runs since 2014 (220 horses). Strongest on Good going: 16.8% from 394. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 278.
Air Chief Marshal (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,985 runs since 2014 (190 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.2% from 672. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.6% from 267. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.3% from 565.
Falco (USA) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,588 runs since 2012 (208 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.3% from 332. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13.5% from 288. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6% from 134.
Bachir (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 8.6% of 395 runs since 2008 (40 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 276 · newest first

The latest 50 of 276 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 April 2005 to 11 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Bedaio (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix De La Cote Pavee12f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 28/1
11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Darkava (FR)J: Maxime Foulon Prix Fille De L'air (Group 3)10.5f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 40/1
09 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Drongo (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix De La Laie des Fonds Houchard9f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 6/1
08 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Lucio Vero (GB)J: Mme Anaelle Mekouche Prix Sagaro15.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 9th 18/1
01 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Dadeicos Laer (FR)J: Mme Cassi Brechon Prix Pierre De CastelbajacClass 4 · 12f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 40/1
01 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Merle (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix Hours AfterClass 3 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 8/1
29 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Mariana D'id (FR)J: Maxime Foulon Prix De PauillacClass 2 · 9.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 1st 6/1
16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Merle (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix De La Ville De Saint-orens12f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 14/1
16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Drongo (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Coupe Des Poulains Et Des PoulichesClass 2 · 8f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 8/1
16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Lucio Vero (GB)J: Mme Anaelle Mekouche Prix De La Societe Des Courses De CraonClass 4 · 15f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 15/2
02 Oct 26 Dax (FR) Darkava (FR)J: Maxime Foulon Grand Prix De La Ville De DaxClass 1 · 11.5f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 7/2
30 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Mariana D'id (FR)J: Maxime Foulon Prix Du Minotaure10f · Good · 10 ran 1st 8/1
30 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Drongo (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix Du Chateau Narbonnais10f · Good · 9 ran 1st 9/4F
23 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Merle (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix De L'ariege11f · Good · 11 ran 5th 28/1
23 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Fardela (FR)J: Romain Dubord Prix Georges Sicard7f · Good · 10 ran 6th 66/1
16 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) El Lagar (FR)J: Romain Dubord Prix Du Mesnil8f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 11/1
16 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Mariana D'id (FR)J: Romain Dubord Prix Des Violettes8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 40/1
15 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Lucio Vero (GB)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix Des Bords De L'aisne14f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 22/1
12 Sep 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Drongo (FR)J: Romain Dubord Prix Du Four A Chaux8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 100/1
05 Sep 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Merle (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix Fanny Guedj8f · Good · 12 ran 10th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is R Avial Lopez's strike rate?
R Avial Lopez has won 26 of 258 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does R Avial Lopez do best at?
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 33 runners (21.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is R Avial Lopez in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is R Avial Lopez's Fair A/E?
1.21, from 234 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).