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Trainer profile

Sarah Kerswell

33 runners in the lifetime window · 7 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2013 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
2–33
Wins / Runs
6.1%
Strike rate
n=33
6 (18%)
Placed
0.94
Fair A/E
n=33 · 0.81 incl. margin
+6.00
£1 level stake
n=33 at SP · +18.2%
£13,851
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
15.4%+9.3
n=13 · A/E 2.03 · £1 +26.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
28.6%+22.5
n=7 · A/E 3.56 · £1 +32.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.8%+5.7
n=17 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +22.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 19 1 5.3% −6.00
Chase 13 1 7.7% +13.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft 10 0 0% −10.00
Good to Firm 8 0 0% −8.00
Good 7 1 14.3% +19.00
Soft 4 1 25% +9.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newton Abbot 9 1 11.1% +4.00
Stratford 6 1 16.7% +20.00
Worcester 4 0 0% −4.00
Taunton 3 0 0% −3.00
Exeter 3 0 0% −3.00
Fontwell 2 0 0% −2.00
Lingfield (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Warwick 1 0 0% −1.00
Wincanton 1 0 0% −1.00
Chepstow 1 0 0% −1.00
Ascot 1 0 0% −1.00
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 16 0 0% −16.00
Class 4 11 1 9.1% +2.00
Class 3 5 1 20% +21.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
4th–6th fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
7th+ in betting 20 2 10% 2.95 +19.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
71.9% completed · 32 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 13 46.2% 2 1 3 0 1
Hurdle 19 89.5% 1 0 1 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Magical Treasure (GB)from Brendan Powell 8 0 0 10 Oct 13
Magical Legend (GB)from Sophie Leech 7 1 1 3 Aug 13
Magical Island (GB)from Sophie Leech 5 0 1 21 Jul 13
Ibiza Sunset (IRE)from Brendan Powell · then Brendan Powell 4 0 0 24 Sep 13
Special Boru (IRE)from Mark Rimell · then T Stayt 4 0 1 21 Jul 13
Romance Dance (GB)from Sophie Leech 4 1 3 24 Nov 12
Bring It On Home (GB)from Brendan Powell 1 0 0 11 Jun 13
All 7 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 7 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Brendan Powell (3) and Sophie Leech (3).

2 have since run for another yard; 5 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0··00033020000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Brendan Powell 16 1 6.3% −3.00
Ryan Mahon 6 0 0% −6.00
James Best 4 0 0% −4.00
Aidan Coleman 3 0 0% −3.00
Lucy Alexander 3 1 33.3% +23.00
Tom O'Brien 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
2
Archived wins
£13,851
Prize money
2012
Best season · 2 wins
Magical Legend (GB) — 102 Touch Fm Handicap Chase Stratford · Jul 2012 · Class 3
£6,963
Romance Dance (GB) — At The Races Sky 415 Handicap Hurdle Newton Abbot · Sep 2012 · Class 4
£2,924
Notable horses
Magical Legend (GB) Romance Dance (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Riverwise (USA) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 1.1% of 94 runs since 2008 (17 horses).
Midnight Legend (GB) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,310 runs since 2008 (494 horses).
Thowra (FR) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 3.2% of 252 runs since 2008 (37 horses).
Brian Boru (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11% of 4,123 runs since 2008 (285 horses).
Chineur (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9% of 2,167 runs since 2008 (138 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12% from 209. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.2% from 403. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6% from 199.
Terimon (GB) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 7.7% of 868 runs since 2008 (96 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 33 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Sarah Kerswell's 33 archived runners, from 29 July 2012 to 10 October 2013, newest first — 2 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Oct 13 Worcester Magical Treasure (GB)J: Ryan Mahon Ladbrokes Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 12 ran PU 25/1
30 Sep 13 Newton Abbot Magical Treasure (GB)J: James Best Newton Abbot Races Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good To Soft · 10 ran REF 14/1
24 Sep 13 Newton Abbot Magical Treasure (GB)J: Ryan Mahon Happy 25th Anniversary Ian And Tracey Borthwick Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 3rd 12/1
24 Sep 13 Newton Abbot Ibiza Sunset (IRE)J: Ryan Mahon Paignton Zoo Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 4th 20/1
19 Aug 13 Worcester Magical Treasure (GB)J: Ryan Mahon Latimer Court-barchester.com Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 15 ran 9th 40/1
03 Aug 13 Newton Abbot Magical Legend (GB)J: Aidan Coleman Collect Totepool Winnings At Betfred Shops Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Good To Firm · 11 ran PU 25/1
21 Jul 13 Newton Abbot Special Boru (IRE)J: Ryan Mahon SIS International Novice ChaseClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 50/1
21 Jul 13 Newton Abbot Magical Island (GB)J: Ryan Mahon Sikymsa Bloodstock Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 6th 20/1
25 Jun 13 Newton Abbot Special Boru (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Triton Galleries Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 16 ran 8th 28/1
18 Jun 13 Stratford Ibiza Sunset (IRE)J: Brendan Powell At The Races Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 16/1
18 Jun 13 Stratford Magical Legend (GB)J: Tom O'Brien Grundon Waste Management Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 22.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran UR 22/1
11 Jun 13 Fontwell Bring It On Home (GB)J: Aidan Coleman 32Red Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Soft · 10 ran F 14/1
07 Jun 13 Stratford Special Boru (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Luxurious Boutique White Swan Hotel, Stratford Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 14 ran F 13/2
14 May 13 Wincanton Special Boru (IRE)J: Brendan Powell South-West Racing Club Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 20/1
24 Apr 13 Taunton Magical Island (GB)J: Brendan Powell Wag Hammond C & D South West Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 11th 11/2
23 Apr 13 Newton Abbot Ibiza Sunset (IRE)J: James Best Ladies Day 25 June Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 10th 33/1
13 Apr 13 Stratford Ibiza Sunset (IRE)J: James Best Bet With Our Racecourse Bookmakers Novices' Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 12 ran 7th 80/1
17 Jan 13 Lingfield (AW) Magical Treasure (GB)J: Brendan Powell Dencher Wood 'Jumpers' Bumper' NH Flat RaceClass 4 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 9th 66/1
01 Jan 13 Exeter Magical Island (GB)J: Brendan Powell Billy Williams Memorial Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Heavy · 5 ran 4th 4/1
30 Dec 12 Taunton Magical Treasure (GB)J: Brendan Powell Bet Totequadpot At Totepool.com Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sarah Kerswell's strike rate?
Sarah Kerswell has won 2 of 33 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Sarah Kerswell's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 33 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).