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Trainer profile

Simon Cavanagh

41 runners in the last 5 seasons · 10 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 9 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
1–41
Wins / Runs
2.4%
Strike rate
n=41
10 (24%)
Placed
0.36
n=41 · 0.28 incl. margin
−36.50
£1 level stake
n=41 at SP · −89.0%
£34,280
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
2.5%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.4
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.8%+2.4
n=21 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −16.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 21 0 0% −21.00
Chase 9 1 11.1% −4.50
Flat 8 0 0% −8.00
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 21 0 0% −21.00
Soft 12 1 8.3% −7.50
Good to Soft 6 0 0% −6.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kilbeggan 6 0 0% −6.00
Galway (IRE) 5 0 0% −5.00
Cork 4 1 25% +0.50
Sligo 3 0 0% −3.00
Roscommon 3 0 0% −3.00
Punchestown 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00
Bellewstown 2 0 0% −2.00
Fairyhouse 2 0 0% −2.00
Navan 2 0 0% −2.00
Killarney (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00
Thurles 1 0 0% −1.00
Naas (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00
Leopardstown 1 0 0% −1.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 6 1 16.7% 1.11 −1.50
4th–6th fav 14 0 0% 0.00 −14.00
7th+ in betting 18 0 0% 0.00 −18.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
70% completed · 30 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 9 77.8% 0 0 2 0 0
Hurdle 21 66.7% 2 0 5 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Milan Forth (IRE)from Adrian Murray 13 1 4 13 Oct 26
Clone Cross (GB) 11 0 4 7 Sep 26
Cyclone Code (IRE) 5 0 1 29 Sep 26
Hurricane Honey (IRE)from Adrian Murray 4 0 1 30 Sep 26
Girl From The West (GB) 2 0 0 30 Jul 26
The Weighbridge (IRE) 2 0 0 6 Jun 26
Rule Seventeen (IRE)from Adrian Murray 1 0 0 4 Sep 26
Fortunate Miss (IRE) 1 0 0 1 Aug 26
Dominic Street (IRE) 1 0 0 18 May 26
Pink Leela (IRE) 1 0 0 16 May 26
All 10 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 10 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Adrian Murray (3); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
100000000000·0
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Kevin Healy 19 1 5.3% −14.50
Donagh O'Connor 7 0 0% −7.00
Kevin Sexton 4 0 0% −4.00
Donagh Meyler 2 0 0% −2.00
Kieren Buckley 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr O M Goff 2 0 0% −2.00
E Walsh 1 0 0% −1.00
Leigh Roche 1 0 0% −1.00
Aidan Kelly 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr J Dunne 1 0 0% −1.00
Jordan Gainford 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→
1
Archived wins
£34,280
Prize money
2026
Best season · 1 win
Milan Forth (IRE) — EASYFIX Equine Handicap Chase Cork · Jan 2026
£10,325
Notable horses

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Milan (GB) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,848 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Frammassone (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 11.3% of 451 runs since 2008 (34 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.8% from 117.
Kodi Bear (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,937 runs since 2008 (386 horses).
Court Cave (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,929 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.
Capri (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.8% of 120 runs since 2008 (33 horses).
Flag Of Honour (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 0% of 57 runs since 2008 (18 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 41 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Simon Cavanagh's 41 archived runners, from 20 December 2025 to 13 October 2026, newest first — one winner among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Simon Cavanagh's strike rate?
Simon Cavanagh has won 1 of 41 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.4% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Simon Cavanagh in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Simon Cavanagh's Fair A/E?
0.36, from 41 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).