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Trainer profile

Stephen Carlin

13 runners in the last 5 seasons · 6 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 32 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)
from 1 Jan 2022
0–13
Wins / Runs
0%
Strike rate
n=13
3 (23%)
Placed
0.00
Fair A/E
n=13 · 0.00 incl. margin
−13.00
£1 level stake
n=13 at SP · −100.0%
£7,430
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 0% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%+0.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%+0.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%+0.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%+0.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%+0.0
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 5 0 0% −5.00
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00
Hurdle 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 7 0 0% −7.00
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Downpatrick 6 0 0% −6.00
Down Royal 2 0 0% −2.00
Perth 1 0 0% −1.00
Galway (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00
Thurles 1 0 0% −1.00
Tramore 1 0 0% −1.00
Kilbeggan (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
4th–6th fav 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
7th+ in betting 9 0 0% 0.00 −9.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
75% completed · 8 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 5 60% 0 0 2 0 0
Hurdle 3 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Gorthill (FR)from Mrs Caroline McCaldin 5 0 1 18 Sep 26
Aboras Mahler (IRE)from James Andrew Fahey · then E McNamara 2 0 2 22 May 26
Betterthanadream (IRE) 2 0 0 24 Apr 26
Chosen Leader (IRE) 2 0 0 30 May 25
Junction Road (IRE)then Henry de Bromhead 1 0 0 28 Aug 26
Boxing Clever (IRE) 1 0 0 27 Nov 25
All 6 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 6 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 4 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr S Connor 6 0 0% −6.00
J J Slevin 3 0 0% −3.00
Miss M Carlin 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr N McParlan 1 0 0% −1.00
Niall Moore 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Rail Link (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.5% of 2,918 runs since 2008 (285 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.5% from 341. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.2% from 237. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.7% from 228.
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Old Persian (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 7.7% of 26 runs since 2008 (9 horses). A small sample.
Well Chosen (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 12.5% of 1,916 runs since 2008 (155 horses).
Crystal Ocean (GB) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 12.6% of 421 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Strongest on Good going: 15.7% from 166.
Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,161 runs since 2008 (920 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 13 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Stephen Carlin's 13 archived runners, from 23 May 2025 to 18 September 2026, newest first — no winners among them.

Best finish: 2nd of 14 — Gorthill (FR), Kilbeggan (IRE), 21 Aug 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Gorthill (FR)J: J J Slevin Vianstown Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good · 15 ran PU 22/1
31 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Gorthill (FR)J: Mr S Connor Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Steeplechase19.5f · Good · 15 ran 14th 12/1
28 Aug 26 Down Royal (IRE) Junction Road (IRE)J: Mr S Connor Hovis Ireland Mares Flat Race17.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 10/1
21 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Gorthill (FR)J: Mr S Connor New Forest Estate & Golf Club Handicap Steeplechase26f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 40/1
02 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Gorthill (FR)J: Mr S Connor Kinlay Hostel Handicap Steeplechase22.5f · Good · 18 ran PU 66/1
22 May 26 Downpatrick Gorthill (FR)J: Mr N McParlan Albert Bartlett Hunters Chase29f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 5th 11/1
22 May 26 Downpatrick Aboras Mahler (IRE)J: J J Slevin Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 2nd 18/1
08 May 26 Downpatrick Aboras Mahler (IRE)J: J J Slevin SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 150/1
24 Apr 26 Perth Betterthanadream (IRE)J: Mr S Connor Every Race Live On Racing TV Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 6th 100/1
17 Mar 26 Down Royal Betterthanadream (IRE)J: Mr S Connor Bluegrass Mare Prepare Mares Flat Race17.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 9th 50/1
27 Nov 25 Thurles Boxing Clever (IRE)J: Niall Moore Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 16th 12/1
30 May 25 Tramore Chosen Leader (IRE)J: Miss M Carlin QuinnBet (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 11th 80/1
23 May 25 Downpatrick Chosen Leader (IRE)J: Miss M Carlin Caherty Stables Racing Syndicate Point-To-Point Flat Race18f · Good · 8 ran 5th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Stephen Carlin's strike rate?
Stephen Carlin has won 0 of 13 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 0% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).