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Jockey profile

Mr S Connor

227 rides in the last 5 seasons · 130 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 70 days ago 91% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
from 1 Jan 2022
12–227
Wins / Runs
5.3%
Strike rate
n=227
60 (26%)
Placed
0.70
Fair A/E
n=227 · 0.57 incl. margin
−70.05
£1 level stake
n=227 at SP · −30.9%
£259k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.70). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 8% off breaks of two months or more (40 runs). Rides mostly for S R B Crawford — 76% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 227 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 9 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 7.5% S R B Crawford: 6.4% from 173
The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.64 and −62.55 to a £1 stake over 206 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. S R B Crawford supplies 76% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.4%, A/E 0.84). The rider also reads well on Good to Soft going (9.6%, n=52). The record reads poorly in Chase races — 0% over 46 rides, 5.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good going: Fair A/E 0.41 across 66 rides (3% strike, −58.17 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.7%−0.6
n=128 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −83.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
20%+14.7
n=10 · A/E 1.69 · £1 −1.17
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
7.5%+2.2
n=40 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −19.00
When favourite
22.2%
n=9 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −4.55
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
4.9%−0.4
n=206 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −62.55
Big fields · 14+ runners
2.5%−2.8
n=79 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −59.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.3
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 0% vs 5.3% · n=46
With horses switching code 0% vs 5.3% · n=35
On Good to Soft going 9.6% vs 5.3% · n=52
Off a 31-60-day break 2.5% vs 5.3% · n=40
In NH Flat races 7.5% vs 5.3% · n=80
On Good going 3% vs 5.3% · n=66
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 60.4% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 80 5 6.3% +29.83
NH Flat 80 6 7.5% −39.38
Chase 46 0 0% −46.00
Flat 21 1 4.8% −14.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 87 4 4.6% −63.38
Good 66 2 3% −58.17
Good to Soft 52 5 9.6% +66.50
Heavy 22 1 4.5% −15.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Down Royal 45 3 6.7% −24.38
Punchestown 27 0 0% −27.00
Downpatrick 25 1 4% −19.00
Perth 22 2 9.1% +60.83
Ayr 13 1 7.7% −7.50
Fairyhouse 12 0 0% −12.00
Navan 10 1 10% −3.00
Kilbeggan 9 2 22.2% +4.50
Leopardstown 8 1 12.5% −1.50
Thurles 7 0 0% −7.00
Ballinrobe 6 0 0% −6.00
Galway 6 0 0% −6.00
Roscommon 5 0 0% −5.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Clonmel 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 21 2 9.5% +61.83
Class 5 19 2 10.5% +1.50
Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 2 20% 0.74 −5.55
2nd–3rd fav 53 5 9.4% 0.70 −25.00
4th–6th fav 72 3 4.2% 0.63 −43.50
7th+ in betting 92 2 2.2% 0.76 +4.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.3% completed · 126 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 46 71.7% 0 2 11 0 0
Hurdle 80 90% 1 4 3 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Nowinittowinit (IRE) 9 2 2 16 Oct 24
Annaghbeg (IRE) 6 0 4 26 May 25
Sunshine Girl (IRE) 6 1 2 18 Jul 23
El Poppochapo (IRE) 6 0 0 1 Feb 23
Dorking Cock (IRE) 4 0 0 22 May 26
Carnfunnock (IRE) 4 0 0 13 Mar 26
Paddy's Milestone (IRE) 4 2 2 6 Dec 25
Oh Janey (IRE) 4 0 1 9 May 25
Paddy Elvis (IRE) 4 0 1 9 Sep 24
Southey (IRE) 4 0 2 17 Aug 24
Ambush Annie (IRE) 4 0 1 20 Jul 24
Maimie's Magic (IRE) 4 0 1 17 Mar 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 130 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00544461000157
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardS R B Crawford
76% of all rides
6.4% SR · A/E 0.84
TrainerRWSR£1
S R B Crawford 173 11 6.4% −20.55
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
16
Archived wins
£302k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 5 wins
Paddy's Milestone (IRE) — Bar One Racing 'Bet 10 Get 50 Sign Up Offer' Tara Handicap Hurdle Navan · Nov 2025
£26,550
Glynn Brae (IRE) — QuinnBet (Pro/Am) Flat Race Leopardstown · Mar 2024
£6,785
Kelp Forest (IRE) — Buy Twilight Racing Tickets Online (Pro/Am) Flat Race Limerick · Mar 2018
£6,776
Notable horses
Nowinittowinit (IRE) Paddy's Milestone (IRE) Sunshine Girl (IRE) Dorking Cock (IRE) Cailin Deas (IRE) Mongibello (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Conduit (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 6.2% of 405 runs since 2019 (57 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,292 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,010 runs since 2016 (1,032 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Arcadio (GER) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,981 runs since 2011 (375 horses).
Westerner (GB) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,864 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Elzaam (AUS) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,531 runs since 2016 (374 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.2% from 328.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 295 · newest first

The latest 50 of 295 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 January 2012 to 31 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Gorthill (FR)T: Stephen Carlin Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Steeplechase19.5f · Good · 15 ran 14th 12/1
28 Aug 26 Down Royal (IRE) Junction Road (IRE)T: Stephen Carlin Hovis Ireland Mares Flat Race17.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 10/1
24 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) The Lodge Lane (IRE)T: Peter Lawlor Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Flat Race16.5f · Good · 11 ran 11th 12/1
21 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Bellahill (GB)T: S R B Crawford John Thomas McNamara Series Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 2nd 4/1
21 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Gorthill (FR)T: Stephen Carlin New Forest Estate & Golf Club Handicap Steeplechase26f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 40/1
04 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Hidden Empire (FR)T: W R Crawford Brian Keenan On-Course Bookmaker Flat Race15.5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 8th 22/1
02 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Gorthill (FR)T: Stephen Carlin Kinlay Hostel Handicap Steeplechase22.5f · Good · 18 ran PU 66/1
29 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Coolnagrattan (IRE)T: W R Crawford Visit Tote26 On Course Today (Q.R.) Maiden12f · Yielding · 18 ran 12th 33/1
14 Jul 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Seamy Appletart (IRE)T: J G Cosgrave Downpatrick Racecourse Family Funday Supporters Flat Race19f · Good · 10 ran 5th 16/1
15 Jun 26 Kilbeggan Urinmydreams (IRE)T: Norman Lee Old Harbour Bar Tullamore (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 12th 150/1
14 Jun 26 Downpatrick Irish Lace (IRE)T: S R B Crawford Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18f · Good · 8 ran 1st 5/1
13 Jun 26 Downpatrick Another Glendaars (IRE)T: C Byrnes Denvir's Of Downpatrick (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)22f · Good · 13 ran 4th 8/1
09 Jun 26 Sligo Free Flowing (IRE)T: Norman Lee Glasshouse Hotel (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle26f · Good · 16 ran 15th 50/1
08 Jun 26 Roscommon Ballagh Star (IRE)T: Mrs Y Dunleavy Roscommon (Q.R.) Handicap Chase (0-100)21.5f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran PU 18/1
06 Jun 26 Punchestown Seamy Appletart (IRE)T: J G Cosgrave Castlestone Holiday Homes (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 11th 28/1
22 May 26 Downpatrick Juarno (IRE)T: S R B Crawford Caherty Stables Racing Syndicate Point-To-Point Flat Race18f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 4th 25/1
22 May 26 Downpatrick Dorking Cock (IRE)T: S R B Crawford Albert Bartlett Hunters Chase29f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 4th 10/1
04 May 26 Down Royal Eillis (IRE)T: S R B Crawford Energise (Pro/Am) Flat Race17.5f · Good · 12 ran 4th 13/2
01 May 26 Punchestown Dark Eagle (IRE)T: Robin McNeilly Stables Restaurant Naas Flat Race19f · Yielding · 21 ran 14th 100/1
01 May 26 Punchestown Now Where Or When (IRE)T: S R B Crawford Uniquely Champion Hunters Chase24.5f · Yielding · 14 ran PU 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr S Connor's strike rate?
Mr S Connor has won 12 of 227 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mr S Connor do best at?
Down Royal by strike rate: 3 wins from 45 rides (6.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mr S Connor ride most for?
S R B Crawford, with 173 rides since 2022 — 76% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (6.4%).
What is Mr S Connor's Fair A/E?
0.70, from 227 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).