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Trainer profile

Mrs Caroline McCaldin

71 runners in the last 5 seasons · 20 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 225 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)
from 1 Jan 2022
5–71
Wins / Runs
7%
Strike rate
n=71
15 (21%)
Placed
0.96
Fair A/E
n=71 · 0.81 incl. margin
−31.50
£1 level stake
n=71 at SP · −44.4%
£65,703
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
16%+9.0
n=25 · A/E 1.76 · £1 +3.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
9.1%+2.1
n=11 · A/E 1.87 · £1 +0.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.3%−0.7
n=32 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −15.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 12.1% vs 7% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 33 4 12.1% −4.50
Hurdle 21 1 4.8% −10.00
Flat 11 0 0% −11.00
NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 27 1 3.7% −16.00
Good 20 1 5% −14.50
Good to Soft 11 1 9.1% −4.50
Heavy 8 2 25% +8.50
Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Downpatrick 18 1 5.6% −11.50
Down Royal 16 2 12.5% +0.50
Punchestown 7 0 0% −7.00
Perth 6 0 0% −6.00
Dundalk (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Fairyhouse 5 1 20% +0.50
Bellewstown 3 0 0% −3.00
Thurles 3 1 33.3% +8.00
Clonmel 2 0 0% −2.00
Navan 2 0 0% −2.00
Hexham 2 0 0% −2.00
Cartmel 1 0 0% −1.00
Sligo 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
2nd–3rd fav 10 3 30% 2.00 +7.50
4th–6th fav 30 2 6.7% 1.00 −8.00
7th+ in betting 27 0 0% 0.00 −27.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87% completed · 54 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 33 81.8% 2 0 4 0 0
Hurdle 21 95.2% 0 1 0 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rowdy Romeo (IRE) 13 1 4 20 Sep 24
Faith Loving (FR) 10 1 2 10 May 24
Gorthill (FR)then Stephen Carlin 8 1 3 14 Jul 25
Ballymist (IRE)then Terence O'Brien 6 0 1 14 May 22
Ballyphilip (IRE) 5 1 1 17 Mar 26
Samurai Cracker (IRE) 5 0 0 24 May 24
Ballycairn (IRE)from Mrs Denise Foster 5 0 0 26 Apr 24
Dukehill (IRE)then Robbie Llewellyn 4 0 1 26 Aug 23
Ballymagee (IRE)then Robbie Llewellyn 3 0 0 1 Aug 23
Ballybit (IRE) 2 0 0 17 Jun 23
Ballydiamond (IRE) 1 0 0 26 Mar 26
Doctors Hill (GB)then Philip Hobbs & Johnson White 1 0 1 12 Apr 25
All 20 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 20 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Robbie Llewellyn (2); 12 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00802100000130
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr N McParlan 17 2 11.8% −5.00
J J Slevin 9 1 11.1% +2.00
Mr O McGill 8 1 12.5% +3.00
Richard Deegan 7 0 0% −7.00
Mr B Dunleavy 4 0 0% −4.00
Killian Leonard 4 0 0% −4.00
Dillon Maxwell 4 1 25% +1.50
Jack Hogan 3 0 0% −3.00
Daniel King 3 0 0% −3.00
Jack G Gilligan 2 0 0% −2.00
Kevin Brogan 1 0 0% −1.00
Luke McAteer 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
9
Archived wins
£140k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 3 wins
Rowdy Romeo (IRE) — Thurles Handicap Hurdle Thurles · Mar 2024
£9,440
Samurai Cracker (IRE) — Follow On Instagram At bluegrasshorsefeed Rated Novice Chase Down Royal · Mar 2021
£8,555
Faith Loving (FR) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-102) Fairyhouse · Nov 2023
£7,080
Notable horses
Samurai Cracker (IRE) Rubiana (IRE) Rowdy Romeo (IRE) Faith Loving (FR) Gorthill (FR) It'll Do Rightly (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Conduit (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 6.2% of 405 runs since 2019 (57 horses).
Ballingarry (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 10.4% of 2,432 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.4% from 125.
Rail Link (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 10.5% of 2,921 runs since 2011 (285 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.5% from 341. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.1% from 238. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.7% from 228.
Presenting (GB) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Yeats (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,844 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.
Fame And Glory (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,212 runs since 2016 (504 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 245 · newest first

The latest 50 of 245 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 June 2016 to 26 March 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Mar 26 Clonmel Ballydiamond (IRE)J: Mr O McGill Next Race Meeting April 2nd (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 9/1
17 Mar 26 Down Royal Ballyphilip (IRE)J: Mr N McParlan Bluegrass Resolve Cube Hunters Chase20.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran PU 11/2
14 Jul 25 Downpatrick Gorthill (FR)J: J J Slevin Downpatrick Racecourse Family Funday Supporters Handicap Chase19.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 4/1
03 Jul 25 Bellewstown Gorthill (FR)J: Mr D McGill Seamus Mulvaney Bookmaker, Crockafotha (Q.R.) Race12.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 66/1
23 May 25 Downpatrick Gorthill (FR)J: Mr N McParlan Dennison Commercials, Volvo Truck Hunters Chase29f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 11/2
12 Apr 25 Bellewstown Doctors Hill (GB)J: Mr N McParlan Pat And Eddie Smith Memorial (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 10/1
17 Mar 25 Down Royal Ballyphilip (IRE)J: Mr N McParlan Bluegrass Mare Prepare Hunters Chase19.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 7/1
12 Nov 24 Fairyhouse Ballyphilip (IRE)J: Mr N McParlan INHSC Supporting Point-To-Points Hunters Chase24.5f · Good · 6 ran F 3/1
20 Sep 24 Downpatrick Rowdy Romeo (IRE)J: J J Slevin Watch Racing TV With Free Trial Now Rated Novice Hurdle21.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 15/2
24 May 24 Downpatrick Samurai Cracker (IRE)J: Mr O McGill Dennison Commercials Hunters Chase29f · Good · 9 ran PU 28/1
24 May 24 Downpatrick Gorthill (FR)J: Mr N McParlan Dennison Commercials Hunters Chase29f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 11/1
10 May 24 Downpatrick Faith Loving (FR)J: Richard Deegan Joe Rea Memorial Handicap Chase (0-102)23.5f · Good · 12 ran 9th 28/1
06 May 24 Down Royal Ballyphilip (IRE)J: Mr N McParlan C&C White Maiden Hunters Chase23f · Good · 12 ran 1st 9/2
03 May 24 Punchestown Gorthill (FR)J: Mr O McGill Event Power Champion Hunters Chase24.5f · Yielding · 14 ran PU 80/1
03 May 24 Punchestown Royal Rendezvous (IRE)J: Mr B Dunleavy Event Power Champion Hunters Chase24.5f · Yielding · 14 ran PU 66/1
30 Apr 24 Punchestown Rowdy Romeo (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Blood-Stock.com Full Circle Series Final Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Yielding · 24 ran 17th 66/1
26 Apr 24 Downpatrick Faith Loving (FR)J: J J Slevin Boardsmill Sires Handicap Chase (0-109)19.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 12/1
26 Apr 24 Downpatrick Ballycairn (IRE)J: J J Slevin Toals Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle (80-102)23f · Good · 13 ran 10th 33/1
14 Apr 24 Down Royal Ballycairn (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Choose Fibrus Broadband Handicap Hurdle (80-95)22f · Yielding · 15 ran 7th 50/1
17 Mar 24 Down Royal Neo King (FR)J: Mr N McParlan Bluegrass Mare Prepare Hunters Chase19.5f · Soft · 5 ran 2nd 10/3

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mrs Caroline McCaldin's strike rate?
Mrs Caroline McCaldin has won 5 of 71 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mrs Caroline McCaldin's Fair A/E?
0.96, from 71 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).