3:07 Leopardstown
The Mongey Communications Eyrefield Stakes is a Group 3 contest over 1m1f at Leopardstown on good ground, featuring a compact but high-quality field of six two-year-olds. With no obvious leader in a race that lacks early pace, it shapes as a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy and timing a run will be key. The KTB Fit scores point to a tight contest at the top, headed by Zarak Pasha on 56, with Wall Street and Leadlight both on 49 and Wunderschon close behind on 47.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape indicates a lack of an obvious leader with medium confidence, suggesting the race will be run at a steady tempo with no one keen to take the field along. This tactical setup is likely to favour horses that can race handily or produce their effort at the right moment from mid-division or off the pace. The key question will be which of the held-up types, including the selection, can quicken effectively off what should be an even gallop over this 1m1f trip.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Zarak Pasha KTB Selection56/100
Zarak Pasha is a useful performer who has already won over today's trip. He showed that ability when landing a maiden here over a mile in June before finishing eighth in a Group 2 on his most recent start at this track. The trainer has a solid 12% strike rate at Leopardstown from a large sample while the jockey's record at the course reads 8% from over 1200 rides. With an official rating of 99 and recent form figures of 4218, he brings solid Class 1 experience to the table. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will be looking to come from off the pace in what is set to be a steadily-run affair. His record on good ground reads one win from three starts with another placed effort.
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2Wall Street49/100
Wall Street won on debut over a mile here on good ground and the form looks solid enough for a Class 1. The yard has a strong 20% strike-rate at Leopardstown while Lordan is operating at a more modest 8%. Stepping up to 1m1f asks a fresh question and with only one run in the book the overall picture remains low-confidence. He holds an unbeaten record from that single start and showed he handles the track when successful. His trainer-jockey combination has a 15% strike rate from 1557 runs together. Racing from draw 3, he is open to improvement but the distance increase remains the main unknown.
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3Leadlight49/100
Leadlight is a useful performer who has already won at this trip in four runs. Finished fourth on his only previous visit to Leopardstown and now steps back up in distance having last run over a mile. Trainer has a solid 12% strike rate here from a big sample while the jockey operates at 7%. With an official rating of 92 and form figures of 4621, he brings consistent placed form to the race. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need the steadily-run pace to unfold in his favour. His record on good ground shows him to be competitive without winning from two starts.
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4Wunderschon47/100
Wunderschon has shown fair form in three starts, most recently finishing third over a mile. Stepping up to 1m1f poses a fresh question while the lightly-raced profile means the going remains an unknown. The trainer holds a 10% strike rate at Leopardstown from 1845 runs and the jockey is on 11% from 1021 rides here. Rated 89 officially with form figures of 734, he is the lowest-rated of the principals but brings scope as a lightly-raced sort. Typically settling in midfield, he should be well positioned in a race that lacks an obvious leader. His sole run on good ground yielded no win or place.
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5Albany County45/100
Albany County has shown steady improvement in three starts, finishing second last time out after an initial win. He now steps up in trip having already tried this distance once without success. The yard has a strong 20% strike rate at Leopardstown from a huge sample while the jockey records a more modest 9% here from 77 rides. Usually held up, he will be looking to come from off the pace in a steadily-run contest.
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6Arizona Raider42/100
Arizona Raider has shown fair form in four starts, winning a maiden and finishing a solid fifth in a useful contest last time. He steps up to 1m1f for the first time today which asks a fresh question of him. The trainer and jockey both record 6% strike rates at Leopardstown from decent-sized samples. His record on good ground is unproven as he has had no previous runs on the surface.
KTB verdict
Zarak Pasha stands out as the KTB Selection in a race that looks set to be tactical and steadily-run. He is a proven performer at this trip, has already shown his liking for the Leopardstown track, and brings the highest official rating along with useful Group-race experience from his latest start. The Joseph Patrick O'Brien-trained colt should be suited by the way the race develops given his held-up run style. His main dangers are likely to come from the Aidan O'Brien pair Wall Street and Albany County, both of whom bring strong yard form at the venue, while Leadlight cannot be dismissed given his win at the trip and consistent profile.
KTB Selection Zarak Pasha
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 17 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Zarak Pasha | 7/1 | William Hill |
| Wall Street | 4/6 | BetTom |
| Leadlight | 10/1 | William Hill |
| Wunderschon | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Albany County | 9/2 | BetTom |
| Arizona Raider | 66/1 | William Hill |
This is the narrative read of the 3:07 Leopardstown. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Leopardstown racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Leopardstown results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Leopardstown racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has already won over the 1m1f trip in this field?
Zarak Pasha and Leadlight have both won over today's trip.
How does the lack of an obvious leader affect the likely race shape?
It points to a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Leopardstown in this race?
Aidan O'Brien has a 20% strike rate at Leopardstown from 2999 runs.
Which runners are usually held up according to their run style?
Zarak Pasha, Leadlight, Albany County and Arizona Raider are all usually held up.
Which horse is stepping up in trip having won over a mile here on debut?
Wall Street is stepping up to 1m1f having won over a mile here on debut.
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