3:50 Kelso
This Class 2 limited handicap chase over 3m2f39y at Kelso on good ground brings together just four runners in a race that carries Listed status through its GBB race condition. The KTB Fit Scores separate the quartet clearly, with Myretown heading the numbers on 65, followed by Muskerry Rock on 58 and Mumford's Magic on 57, while New Order brings up the rear on 48. All four step up in class to varying degrees and the trip will ask fresh questions of most, particularly as the race is set to be run at a genuine pace.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is genuinely run with medium confidence and a front-runner is likely to be pressed by several handy types. New Order is the obvious leader from his front-running style while both Myretown and Muskerry Rock tend to race prominently and will be on or close to the pace throughout. Mumford's Magic is the only one likely to be held up and produce his effort late. The key question is whether the prominent trio can set a searching enough gallop to blunt the late challenge of Mumford's Magic over this extended trip.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Myretown KTB Selection65/100
Myretown is a high-class performer who has won both starts at Kelso. The yard's 16% strike rate here from 114 runs is above their record elsewhere while the jockey matches his overall figure with a 16% strike rate at the track from 128 rides. He steps up markedly in trip today having last run over 2m4½f and remains unproven on good ground. Recent form reads F4P08- and he carries an official rating of 137 as a 9-year-old. Usually races handily on or close to the lead. The selection can make his Kelso record three from three.
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2Muskerry Rock58/100
Muskerry Rock is a smart performer who arrives in solid form with two seconds from his last four starts and an official rating of 115. He steps up in trip today having already won at this distance once from three attempts while his placed record on good ground shows he handles the surface from two placings out of seven runs. Trainer and jockey both record healthy strike rates at Kelso, the yard at 33% from 12 runs and the 5lb claimer at 29% from seven rides. Recent form is 221P34 for this 7-year-old who usually races handily on or close to the lead. He is stepping up in class.
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3Mumford's Magic57/100
Mumford's Magic is a smart performer who arrives in decent nick after a clear-cut win at the trip last time. He has won on good ground from one win and one placing out of five runs on the surface. The yard's 22% strike rate at Kelso from 73 runs is in line with their record elsewhere while jockey Charlie Todd has a 38% strike rate here from a small sample of eight rides. Recent form reads 217-61 for this 8-year-old who is usually held up and produces his effort late. He is stepping up in class and has no course form on record.
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4New Order48/100
New Order is a high-class performer on his official rating of 122 and recent form figures of 23236-. He has won once and placed twice from four runs on good ground and is placed at this trip without winning. The yard's 9% strike rate at Kelso from 22 runs is in line with their record elsewhere while David Bass has a 19% strike rate at the track from 26 rides which is also in line with his record at other courses.
KTB verdict
Myretown stands out at the top of the KTB Fit Scores and looks to hold all the aces. A high-class performer with a perfect two-from-two record at Kelso, he is backed by strong trainer and jockey course statistics and his prominent style will be ideally suited to the expected genuine pace. The selection can add to his course tally despite the marked step up in trip and the lack of proven form on good ground. Muskerry Rock and Mumford's Magic are the main dangers, both smart performers in decent form and with good recent efforts at the trip, while New Order brings the highest official rating of the quartet into the equation.
KTB Selection Myretown
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 1:04am, 24 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Myretown | 11/10 | Bet365, 1:04am |
| Muskerry Rock | 15/2 | William Hill, 1:04am |
| Mumford's Magic | 4/1 | William Hill, 1:04am |
| New Order | 5/2 | 7Bet, 1:04am |
This is the narrative read of the 3:50 Kelso. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Kelso racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Kelso results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Kelso racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has won both previous starts at Kelso?
Myretown has won both starts at Kelso.
How does the expected pace shape influence the race?
The pace shape is genuinely run with a front-runner likely to be pressed by several handy types, creating a fair test over the 3m2f39y trip.
Which runner is stepping up markedly in trip from a last run over 2m4½f?
Myretown is stepping up markedly in trip today having last run over 2m4½f.
Who has the highest strike rate at Kelso among the jockeys in this race?
Charlie Todd has a 38% strike rate at Kelso from eight rides.
Which horse is the only one likely to be held up in this small field?
Mumford's Magic is the only one usually held up and producing its effort late.
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