What is Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore's strike rate?

Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore has won 86 of 794 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.8% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore do best at?

Hexham by strike rate: 13 wins from 63 runners (20.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore?

Derek Fox, with 253 runners since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (12.3%).

Is Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore in form?

In the last 14 days: 46 runners, 10 winners, a strike rate of 21.7%. That is above the baseline of 10.8% since 2022.

What is Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore's Fair A/E?

0.81, from 793 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

794 runners in the last 5 seasons · 163 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 7.9% of 660 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.2–8.0% over 364 racing days). As at 13 Nov 2026.

In form — 10 winners last 14 days Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)

from 1 Jan 2022

86–794

Wins / Runs

10.8%

Strike rate

n=794

233 (29%)

Placed

0.81

Fair A/E

n=793 · 0.70 incl. margin

−287.63

£1 level stake

n=794 at SP · −36.2%

£1.37m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 160 runners a season, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81). Debutants are a strength: 19% on first career starts (43 runs). The yard is in form now — 10 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 794 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Fresh horses: 13.1% 24.7% when favourite Derek Fox: 12.3% from 253 New recruits: 12.5% Claiming riders: 11.4% Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hexham (20.6%, n=63) and Kelso (17.2%, n=134) — all clear of the yard's 10.8% baseline. It is weakest at Musselburgh (2.6% over 76 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants strike at 18.6% (n=43, Fair A/E 1.07). The market has consistently overbet new recruits from other stables on their first run: 12.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −8.06 to a £1 stake over 120 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is firing: 10 winners from 46 runners in the last 14 days (21.7%, 10.9pts above the 10.8% baseline). Derek Fox rides 32% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.3%, A/E 0.80). The record reads poorly in Class 6 — 2.4% over 41 runners, 8.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.57 across 91 runners (4.4% strike, −62.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Sky Bet Steve Birch Finale Handicap at York (Aug 2025, £51,540). Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

13.1%+2.3

n=229 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −50.11

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.5%+1.7

n=120 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −8.06

Debutants · first career start

18.6%+7.8

n=43 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +1.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

16.7%+5.9

n=24 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +9.88

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.1%−3.7

n=14 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −4.50

When favourite

24.7%

n=89 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −39.58

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.4%+0.6

n=298 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −56.31

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.1%−1.7

n=11 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Hexham 20.6% vs 10.8% · n=63

At Musselburgh 2.6% vs 10.8% · n=76

At Kelso 17.2% vs 10.8% · n=134

In Class 6 2.4% vs 10.8% · n=41

With debutants 18.6% vs 10.8% · n=43

In Flat races 4.4% vs 10.8% · n=91

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 404 47 11.6% −82.09

Chase 258 29 11.2% −126.79

Flat 91 4 4.4% −62.50

NH Flat 41 6 14.6% −16.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 298 36 12.1% −116.65

Good to Soft 231 19 8.2% −113.60

Soft 185 24 13% −19.88

Heavy 37 4 10.8% −15.62

Standard (AW) 23 1 4.3% −15.50

Good to Firm 20 2 10% −6.38

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Perth 138 11 8% −53.90

Kelso 134 23 17.2% −31.79

Ayr 129 16 12.4% +0.62

Musselburgh 76 2 2.6% −57.00

Hexham 63 13 20.6% −20.54

Newcastle 52 6 11.5% −14.25

Carlisle 38 5 13.2% −12.52

Haydock 24 0 0% −24.00

Wetherby 24 3 12.5% −11.75

Newcastle (AW) 21 1 4.8% −13.50

Aintree 19 1 5.3% −2.00

Hamilton 14 1 7.1% −10.50

Cheltenham 11 1 9.1% −6.00

Doncaster 9 1 11.1% −4.00

Cartmel 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 356 51 14.3% −84.93

Class 5 157 14 8.9% −73.58

Class 3 131 11 8.4% −66.75

Class 2 83 8 9.6% −3.87

Class 6 41 1 2.4% −37.50

Class 1 24 1 4.2% −19.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 101 27 26.7% 0.78 −36.21

2nd–3rd fav 224 37 16.5% 0.92 −64.92

4th–6th fav 302 16 5.3% 0.63 −147.50

7th+ in betting 167 6 3.6% 1.04 −39.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

88.2% completed · 662 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 258 80.6% 10 8 30 2 0

Hurdle 404 93.1% 6 4 18 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Jujubella (IRE)from Lucinda Russell 14 1 3 16 Oct 26

Inis Oirr (IRE)from Lucinda Russell 14 1 4 4 Oct 26

Starlyte (IRE)from Lucinda Russell 13 0 0 7 Nov 26

Bold Light (IRE)from Lucinda Russell 13 0 0 5 Nov 26

Spit Spot (GB)from Lucinda Russell 13 2 3 8 Oct 26

Lets Mingle (IRE)from Lucinda Russell 12 2 4 11 Nov 26

Garde Des Champs (IRE)from Lucinda Russell 12 0 2 24 Oct 26

Tigress Lilly (GB)from Lucinda Russell 11 0 1 7 Nov 26

C'mon So (IRE) 11 1 3 6 Nov 26

Two Auld Pals (IRE)from Lucinda Russell 11 1 3 24 Oct 26

Killybegs Jet Lady (IRE)from Lucinda Russell 10 1 3 7 Nov 26

Walk On Quest (IRE)from Lucinda Russell 10 1 4 22 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 163 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 53 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Lucinda Russell (49); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 59 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

10 from 46 21.7% · +10.9pts vs baseline

Last 14 days21.7%

5-season base10.8%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

21214885103816178

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDerek Fox

32% of all rides
12.3% SR · A/E 0.80

RiderRWSR£1

Derek Fox 253 31 12.3% −119.57

Patrick Wadge 161 15 9.3% −59.65

Jack Power 93 15 16.1% +15.22

Gregor Walkingshaw 77 6 7.8% −51.27

Alan Doyle 70 6 8.6% −5.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.37m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 55 wins

Dain Ma Nut In (IRE) — Sky Bet Steve Birch Finale Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) York · Aug 2025 · Class 2

£51,540

Apple Away (IRE) — Fair Maid Of Perth Mares' Chase (Listed) (GBB Race) Perth · Apr 2026 · Listed

£23,491

Myretown (IRE) — Edinburgh Gin Steeple Chase (a Limited Handicap) (gbb Race) Kelso · Oct 2026 · Class 2

£20,812

Notable horses

Golden Point (FR) Spit Spot (GB) Lets Mingle (IRE) Kool Raoul (FR) She's Notjoeking (GB) Idem (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Walk In The Park (IRE) 14.3% · 10–70

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,091 runs since 2011 (711 horses).

Jet Away (GB) 14.9% · 7–47

Progeny have won 11.3% of 2,566 runs since 2018 (277 horses).

Sir Percy (GB) 7.7% · 2–26

Progeny have won 11.2% of 7,154 runs since 2011 (473 horses).

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 8% · 2–25

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,900 runs since 2013 (687 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Malinas (GER) 20.8% · 5–24

Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,965 runs since 2010 (420 horses).

Masked Marvel (GB) 9.1% · 2–22

Progeny have won 15.4% of 1,651 runs since 2019 (270 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 19.8% from 293.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 794 · newest first

The latest 50 of 794 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 August 2025 to 12 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 Nov 26 Market Rasen Reflection Of You (GB)J: Derek Fox PricedUp Boosts And BOG Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 9/2

12 Nov 26 Market Rasen Another High Five (IRE)J: Derek Fox PricedUp Boosted Prices Daily Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 17/2

11 Nov 26 Ayr Double Annie (IRE)J: Gregor Walkingshaw "Join Coral-Racing-Club For Free" National Hunt Flat Race (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys' Race) (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 1st 8/11F

11 Nov 26 Ayr If Not For Dylan (IRE)J: Derek Fox Coral "We're Here For It" Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 5th 11/1

11 Nov 26 Ayr Whistle Stop Tour (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge Coral "We're Here For It" Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 1st 15/2

11 Nov 26 Ayr Jem In Em (IRE)J: Derek Fox "Play Coral Racing-Super-Series For Free" Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 25/1

11 Nov 26 Ayr Allfor (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge "Play Coral Racing-Super-Series For Free" Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 5/2F

11 Nov 26 Ayr Lets Mingle (IRE)J: Gregor Walkingshaw "Play Coral Racing-Super-Series For Free" Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 12/1

11 Nov 26 Ayr Jet Of Stars (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Coral "Pipped-At-The-Post And Win" Novices' Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 1st 1/1J

11 Nov 26 Ayr Stride On (IRE)J: Derek Fox Coral "Bet£5 Get£30 New Customer Offer" 'Chasing Excellence' Beginners' Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20.5f · Good · 3 ran 2nd 2/5F

07 Nov 26 Aintree Charlie Burnside (FR)J: Patrick Wadge William Hill Extra Places Every Day "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 15/2

07 Nov 26 Kelso Fox's Fancy (IRE)J: Derek Fox luckytiger.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed The Night Before Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 8th 22/1

07 Nov 26 Kelso Hourman (FR)J: Gregor Walkingshaw luckytiger.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed The Night Before Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 5/2J

07 Nov 26 Kelso Cadell (IRE)J: Jack Power luckytiger.co.uk Bet 20 Win 20 Wishing Well Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23.5f · Good · 4 ran 1st 5/2

07 Nov 26 Aintree Idem (FR)J: Patrick Wadge Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 1st 16/1

07 Nov 26 Kelso Killybegs Jet Lady (IRE)J: Derek Fox Fifty Shades Of Earl Grey Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Forgive 'N Forget Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 11/1

07 Nov 26 Kelso Golden Point (FR)J: Derek Fox Everything Kverneland Think Paxtons' David Edgar Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 28f · Good · 3 ran 1st 6/4

07 Nov 26 Kelso Valtteri Its James (IRE)J: Derek Fox Graeme Todd Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 10th 4/1

07 Nov 26 Kelso Starlyte (IRE)J: Gregor Walkingshaw Graeme Todd Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 9th 14/1

07 Nov 26 Aintree Cossack Chach (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 6 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 7 runs (won 2, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 13 runs (won 8, 1 did not run) · to 11 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore's strike rate?: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore has won 86 of 794 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.8% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore do best at?: Hexham by strike rate: 13 wins from 63 runners (20.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore?: Derek Fox, with 253 runners since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (12.3%).
Is Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore in form?: In the last 14 days: 46 runners, 10 winners, a strike rate of 21.7%. That is above the baseline of 10.8% since 2022.
What is Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore's Fair A/E?: 0.81, from 793 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.