Ach Aye Surely (IRE)
Ach Aye Surely (IRE) is 2 from 15. Hasn't won since May 2010.
Progeny in our archive
As a dam, Ach Aye Surely (IRE) has 1 produce in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monfin Lad (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
- 2–15Wins / Runs
- 13.3%Strike rate
- 5 (33.3%)Placed
- −2.00£1 level staken=15 at SP
- 1.52Fair A/E n=15 · 1.10 incl. margin
- 106Highest OR
- 96dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 8.8% of 2,015 runs since Jan 2008 (127 horses).
Weakest on heavy going: 5% from 140.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | +14.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 327 | 32 | 9.8% | +1 | 0 from 2 |
| Good | 474 | 34 | 7.2% | −1.6 | 1 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 214 | 20 | 9.3% | +0.5 | — |
| Soft | 303 | 26 | 8.6% | −0.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 140 | 7 | 5% | −3.8 | 1 from 10 |
| Standard (AW) | 530 | 51 | 9.6% | +0.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 59 | 7 | 11.9% | +3.1 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 370 | 36 | 9.7% | +0.9 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 364 | 23 | 6.3% | −2.5 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 470 | 50 | 10.6% | +1.8 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 477 | 39 | 8.2% | −0.6 | 2 from 10 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 194 | 14 | 7.2% | −1.6 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 76 | 8 | 10.5% | +1.7 | — |
| Over 3m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −8.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 26 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
5 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Celtic Flames (IRE) (6 wins).
The wins came over 1m7½f–2m4f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Celtic Flames (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic Flames (IRE) | 29 | 6 | 1m7½f–2m4f | Class 4 |
| Kate's Island (IRE) | 18 | 0 | — | — |
| Flying Rocket (IRE) | 27 | 0 | — | — |
| Illuminatus (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Pet Magpie (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy | 10 | 1 | 10% | −8.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good | 1 | 1 | 100% | +10.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limerick | 6 | 2 | 33% | +7.00 |
| Wexford | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tramore | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Punchestown (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 10 | 2 | 20% | +3.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alain Cawley | 6 | 1 | 17% | +5.00 |
| Gareth Malone | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Paddy Kennedy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Shane Jackson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| John Cullen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Alan Crowe | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.00 |
| Davy Russell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Barry Geraghty | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Rory Cleary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 12 | 2 | 17% | +1.00 |
| None | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +9.00 |
| 2009 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −5.00 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 11 | 2 | 18% | +2.00 |
| Chase | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 · 3 runs | |||||||||
| 20 Jun 12+19d | Wexford | Courtown Beginners Chase | 8/13 | hd | 10-12 | — | 90C | Gareth Malone | 16/1 |
| 01 Jun 12+152d | Tramore | August Racing Festival 16th-19th Beginners Chase | 5/10 | 1½ | 10-12 | — | 95A | Gareth Malone | 16/1 |
| 01 Jan 12+50d | Tramore | Knockenduff Stud Beginners Chase | 8/14 | 5½ | 11-0 | — | 82C | Paddy Kennedy | 16/1 |
| 2011 · 1 run | |||||||||
| 12 Nov 11+558d | Naas | Event Hire At Naas Racecourse Handicap Hurdle (81-123) | 13/14 | 22 | 11-5 | 106 | 90C | Shane Jackson | 25/1 |
| 2010 · 2 runs | |||||||||
| 03 May 10+99d | Limerick | Super Sunday 16th May Handicap Hurdle (81-116) | 1/18 | 11-2 | 101 | 130A | Alain Cawley | 10/1 | |
| 24 Jan 10+26d | Limerick | Annual Members Raceday Handicap Hurdle (81-109) | 10/14 | 4½ | 11-7 | 102 | 101C | John Cullen | 8/1 |
| 2009 · 7 runs | |||||||||
| 29 Dec 09+45d | Limerick | Munster Maiden Hurdle (Div 2) | 1/13 | 11-2 | 102 | 124A | Alan Crowe | EvensF | |
| 14 Nov 09+20d | Punchestown (IRE) | Jack Mahon Memorial Maiden Hurdle | 9/21 | 2 | 11-2 | — | 98C | Alain Cawley | 7/1 |
| 25 Oct 09+161d | Wexford | New Ross Maiden Hurdle | 2/14 | 2 | 10-11 | — | 117A | Alain Cawley | 6/1 |
| 17 May 09+64d | Limerick | Supermacs Dooradoyle Mares Maiden Hurdle | 2/17 | 9 | 10-13 | — | 114A | Davy Russell | 6/1 |
| 14 Mar 09+45d | Limerick | Botanica Natural Beauty Maiden Hurdle | 5/14 | 20 | 10-13 | — | 80C | Alain Cawley | 6/1 |
| 28 Jan 09+6d | Limerick | Www.limerickraces.ie Maiden Hurdle | 2/6 | 8 | 10-13 | — | 106B | Alain Cawley | 6/1 |
| 22 Jan 09+60d | Gowran Park | Ballyhane Stud Maiden Hurdle | 11/16 | shd | 10-9 | — | 80C | Barry Geraghty | 12/1 |
| 2008 · 2 runs | |||||||||
| 23 Nov 08+35d | Navan | Cusack Hotels 3-y-o Maiden Hurdle | 5/13 | 5 | 10-6 | — | 86C | Alain Cawley | 8/1 |
| 19 Oct 08 | Fairyhouse | Ashbourne Maiden Stakes | 6/17 | 1 | 9-0 | — | 61A | Rory Cleary | 50/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Ach Aye Surely won?
- Ach Aye Surely (IRE) won 2 of 15 archived starts between 2008 and 2012, a strike rate of 13.3%. Placed 5 times in total (33.3% of starts).
- Who trained Ach Aye Surely?
- Ach Aye Surely (IRE) was trained by Anthony John Black on the most recent run on record, at Wexford on 20 June 2012.
- Who is Ach Aye Surely's sire?
- Ach Aye Surely (IRE) is by Val Royal (FR) out of Don't Forget Shoka (IRE), whose sire is Don't Forget Me.
- What going does Ach Aye Surely prefer?
- Ach Aye Surely (IRE) has the best record on heavy going: 1 win from 10 starts (10%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Ach Aye Surely's official rating?
- Ach Aye Surely (IRE)'s highest official rating on record is 106.
- What is Ach Aye Surely's sire's record?
- Val Royal (FR)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.8% of 2,015 runs since Jan 2008 (127 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 5% from 140.
- Who are Ach Aye Surely's siblings?
- Out of Don't Forget Shoka (IRE), Ach Aye Surely (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Celtic Flames (IRE) (6). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Celtic Flames (IRE)). The wins came over 1m7½f–2m4f. As at Oct 2026.
- Has Ach Aye Surely produced winners?
- As a dam, Ach Aye Surely (IRE) has 1 produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.