What is John Cullen's strike rate?

John Cullen has won 116 of 2,298 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John Cullen do best at?

Naas by strike rate: 8 wins from 75 rides (10.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does John Cullen ride most for?

Patrick O Brady, with 132 rides since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (5.3%).

What is John Cullen's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 2,296 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

John Cullen

2,298 rides in the lifetime window · 1,024 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jul 2015 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

116–2,298

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=2,298

445 (19%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=2,296 · 0.71 incl. margin

−1,038.18

£1 level stake

n=2,298 at SP · −45.2%

£1.99m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 290 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (119 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,298 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired May–Jun 20.6% when favourite Patrick O Brady: 5.3% from 132 LTO winners: 11.8% Group/Graded: 7.2% Rode the favourite in 3% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Naas (10.7%, n=75) and Listowel (11.1%, n=54) — all clear of the rider's 5% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 11.8% (n=119, Fair A/E 1.02). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −210.25 to a £1 stake over 491 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Patrick O Brady supplied 6% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.3%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. 24 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Paddy Power Handicap Chase at Leopardstown (Dec 2005, £108,600). Seasonally, the rider fired May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.5%−0.5

n=951 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −418.37

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

11.8%+6.8

n=119 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −28.87

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.3%−1.7

n=491 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −210.25

When favourite

20.6%

n=68 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −23.22

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.7%−0.3

n=1,568 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −687.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.2%+2.2

n=166 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −10.52

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Oliver McKiernan 16.7% vs 5% · n=30

With W Harney 15.2% vs 5% · n=33

On last-time-out winners 11.8% vs 5% · n=119

At Naas 10.7% vs 5% · n=75

At Listowel 11.1% vs 5% · n=54

With debutants 0% vs 5% · n=79

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,539 76 4.9% −716.34

Chase 759 40 5.3% −321.84

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 727 37 5.1% −282.17

Heavy 550 28 5.1% −270.72

Good 522 23 4.4% −255.50

Good to Firm 285 14 4.9% −134.25

Good to Soft 172 10 5.8% −73.25

Firm 42 4 9.5% −22.29

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Limerick 203 9 4.4% −102.50

Punchestown 176 12 6.8% −14.29

Fairyhouse 153 4 2.6% −73.50

Thurles 146 7 4.8% −46.50

Cork 138 8 5.8% −89.60

Clonmel 132 11 8.3% −29.25

Wexford 124 3 2.4% −83.00

Gowran Park 119 2 1.7% −105.25

Downpatrick 118 6 5.1% −58.25

Navan 116 2 1.7% −54.00

Tramore 102 3 2.9% −86.74

Kilbeggan 91 7 7.7% +3.25

Ballinrobe 87 7 8% −31.75

Naas 75 8 10.7% −5.50

Tipperary 69 5 7.2% −15.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 179 12 6.7% −23.52

Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 4 2 1 50% +1.25

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 89 18 20.2% 0.97 −19.97

2nd–3rd fav 241 42 17.4% 1.38 +12.09

4th–6th fav 549 31 5.6% 0.91 −185.30

7th+ in betting 1,419 25 1.8% 0.63 −845.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

89.2% completed · 2,298 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 759 81.7% 59 9 65 4 2

Hurdle 1,539 92.9% 30 7 63 1 8

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bohemian Lass (IRE) 23 3 7 26 Mar 11

Ballinahow Lady (IRE) 19 4 10 19 Feb 14

Kirbybroguelantern (IRE) 18 1 3 29 May 12

Barna Bay (IRE) 16 2 3 28 Sep 11

Johnny Kilawee (IRE) 16 1 3 3 Aug 10

Imperial Shabra (IRE) 15 0 1 11 Aug 13

Takestan (IRE) 15 1 2 11 Feb 12

Sister Annie (IRE) 14 1 2 3 Jul 15

Marathon Leader (IRE) 13 1 3 27 Oct 12

Misty Lady (IRE) 12 1 5 25 May 15

Tudor Fashion (IRE) 12 2 6 21 Feb 15

Man of God (IRE) 11 0 0 15 Aug 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,024 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

642368653574

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardPatrick O Brady

6% of all rides
5.3% SR · A/E 1.02

TrainerRWSR£1

Patrick O Brady 132 7 5.3% −34.62

V T O'Brien 126 3 2.4% −85.00

T Hogan 120 9 7.5% −49.35

John Joseph Hanlon 112 6 5.4% −41.75

David M O'Brien 89 6 6.7% −30.50

John Laurence Cullen 79 3 3.8% −26.75

Ms Joanna Morgan 66 6 9.1% −22.75

Paul Nolan 53 1 1.9% −48.50

R P Rath 40 0 0% −40.00

P A Fahy 40 2 5% −21.00

Denis Paul Murphy 39 3 7.7% −2.47

Desmond McDonogh 37 2 5.4% −22.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

213

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.88m

Prize money

2005

Best season · 44 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Black Apalachi (IRE) — Paddy Power Handicap Chase (0-145) Leopardstown · Dec 2005 · Grade B

£108,600

Follow The Plan (IRE) — Durkan New Homes Novice Chase (Grade 1) Leopardstown · Dec 2008 · Grade 1

£78,000

Accordion Etoile (IRE) — Swordlestown Cup Novice Chase (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2006 · Grade 1

£62,000

Notable horses

Ballinahow Lady (IRE) Dbest (IRE) French Accordion (IRE) Premier Victory (IRE) Bohemian Lass (IRE) Kill Devil Hill (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Beneficial (GB) 8.7% · 9–103

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Oscar (IRE) 4.5% · 4–89

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Presenting (GB) 4.9% · 3–61

Progeny have won 11% of 20,050 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Flemensfirth (USA) 9.6% · 5–52

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Saddlers Hall (IRE) 6.5% · 3–46

Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).

Moscow Society (USA) 10.3% · 4–39

Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,521 runs since 2008 (255 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,505 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,505 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 29 July 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Jul 15 Galway Havana Dancer (IRE)T: Anthony John Black Download The Tote Mobile App E.B.F. Mares Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 18 ran 16th 25/1

24 Jul 15 Wexford Lord Kenmare (USA)T: Ms Debbie Hartnett www.wexfordraces.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 13 ran 12th 33/1

03 Jul 15 Wexford Sister Annie (IRE)T: John Laurence Cullen Nick O'donnell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 7th 12/1

12 Jun 15 Clonmel Bellgrove (IRE)T: P M Cloke John Kennedy Motors (toyota) Clonmel Beginners Chase16f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 4/1

12 Jun 15 Clonmel Sister Annie (IRE)T: John Laurence Cullen Cluain Meala Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good · 17 ran 9th 16/1

12 Jun 15 Clonmel Calton Entry (IRE)T: P M Cloke Family Fun Evening At Clonmel Races Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16.5f · Good · 15 ran 12th 33/1

09 Jun 15 Roscommon Barna Bach (IRE)T: V T O'Brien Harry Farrell Memorial Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 18 ran 11th 33/1

08 Jun 15 Roscommon Native Gold Dancer (IRE)T: F Costello Ladies Day At Roscommon On July 6th Beginners Chase21f · Good · 14 ran 11th 100/1

06 Jun 15 Limerick Thefruitman (IRE)T: Edward Cawley Limerick Racecourse Family Fun Day 5th July Beginners Chase19.5f · Good · 15 ran 7th 100/1

06 Jun 15 Limerick Ballygill Princess (IRE)T: V T O'Brien Twilight Most Stylish Lady Competition Handicap Hurdle (80-95)19f · Good · 18 ran 11th 10/1

03 Jun 15 Punchestown Havana Dancer (IRE)T: Anthony John Black Panoramic Restaurant Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 17 ran 1st 16/1

03 Jun 15 Punchestown Ardnacuillion (IRE)T: Mrs Mary Whelehan Festival Dreams Begin In Ireland With Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 17 ran 12th 100/1

01 Jun 15 Listowel Barna Bach (IRE)T: V T O'Brien John B. Keane Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 4th 100/1

30 May 15 Tramore Omega Springs (IRE)T: Liam Casey Graun Hill Suite - Perfect For Parties Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Good · 16 ran 5th 33/1

29 May 15 Down Royal Lucky Buttons (IRE)T: S R B Crawford Sony Xperia Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good · 18 ran 17th 16/1

25 May 15 Ballinrobe Misty Lady (IRE)T: John Laurence Cullen Costello Mcdermott 50th Anniversary Mares Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 13 ran 7th 7/1

25 May 15 Ballinrobe Sister Annie (IRE)T: John Laurence Cullen Mulholland Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16.5f · Good · 16 ran 14th 12/1

21 May 15 Clonmel Mr Mulliner (IRE)T: Gerard Quirk Girls Night Out Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good · 18 ran 5th 25/1

21 May 15 Clonmel Oscar'swan (IRE)T: David M O'Brien Ladies Free Admission This Evening Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 16 ran 4th 5/1

20 May 15 Sligo Ballygill Princess (IRE)T: V T O'Brien Martin Reilly Bmw Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Yielding · 15 ran 3rd 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Cullen's strike rate?: John Cullen has won 116 of 2,298 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Cullen do best at?: Naas by strike rate: 8 wins from 75 rides (10.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does John Cullen ride most for?: Patrick O Brady, with 132 rides since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (5.3%).
What is John Cullen's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 2,296 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.