Barry Geraghty
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 390 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 20% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.12). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 29% (1,223 rides).
The record is strongest at Huntingdon (39.7%, n=63) and Ludlow (37.7%, n=53) — all clear of the rider's 20% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 28.9% (n=1,223, Fair A/E 1.13), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 13.2% (n=2,171, Fair A/E 1.14). Nicky Henderson supplied 28% of the rides and beats the rider's average (29.6% vs 20%, A/E 1.19) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Class 4 (31.4%, n=420) and in Class 6 (36.5%, n=52). 260 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2013, £313,225). The standout partner of the record was Oscar Whisky (IRE) — 16 wins from 27 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Nov–Feb.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 20% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 20% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 6,845 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 6,845 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 8 September 2021.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Barry Geraghty's strike rate?
- Barry Geraghty has won 1,080 of 5,398 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 20% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Barry Geraghty do best at?
- Kempton by strike rate: 86 wins from 277 rides (31%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Barry Geraghty ride most for?
- Nicky Henderson, with 1,529 rides since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 452 (29.6%).
- What is Barry Geraghty's Fair A/E?
- 1.12, from 5,393 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.