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Horse profile

Aqua Bear (IRE)

3yo gelding · Trainer Ian Williams · Owner Midtech
by Kodi Bear (IRE) out of Malilla (IRE) (Red Clubs)
11 runs · 10 courses · from Aug 2025
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won at Newcastle (AW) Last run 10 Oct 2026 · 19th of 20 Last raced off OR 77
KTB Profile

Aqua Bear is 1 from 11 with the win at Class 5 level. The success came at Newcastle over 6f-7f on standard going in Nov 2025. All nine turf starts have proved fruitless. He finished 19 of 20 at York in Oct 2026 when last raced off an official rating of 77.

Based on 11 archived runs · run-style from 11 commented runs since Aug 2025 · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Won on AW, 0 on turf Win at Class 5
Official rating77↓ 5lb off peak
77 77–82

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 92 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Ascot, 8 May 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 11 figures · best 92A · median 73
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
Good492A77.52 runs · 92 / 86
Good to Firm389A633 runs · 89 / 63
Soft220C161 run · —
Standard (AW)277B751 run · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
6f – 7f892A744 runs · 92 / 76.5
1m – 1m1f389A633 runs · 89 / 63

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 11 runs · as at 18 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 67C the best of the last 3 rated runs · York, 10 Oct 2026 Official rating 77 at the last run, 10 Oct 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 11 figures · best 92A · median 78
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
Good484A722 runs · 84 / 73
Good to Firm389A633 runs · 89 / 63
Soft280A73.51 run · —
Standard (AW)292A851 run · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
6f – 7f892A794 runs · 84 / 70
1m – 1m1f389A673 runs · 89 / 67

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 11 runs · as at 18 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 11 analysed runs since Aug 2025

  • Mid-division 5 (45%) · 0 wins
  • Prominent 3 (27%) · 1 win
  • Held up 2 (18%) · 0 wins
  • Led 1 (9%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Kodi Bear (IRE)

Progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 3,947 runs since Jan 2008 (387 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm11327.3%+17—
Good to Firm5356512.1%+1.80 from 3
Good1,02710810.5%+0.20 from 4
Good to Soft375349.1%−1.2—
Soft536519.5%−0.80 from 2
Heavy141149.9%−0.4—
Standard (AW)1,32213310.1%−0.21 from 2
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f5526912.5%+2.2—
6f – 7f2,23423910.7%+0.41 from 8
1m – 1m1f731648.8%−1.50 from 3
1m2f – 1m4f257197.4%−2.9—
1m5f – 2m112119.8%−0.5—
2m1f – 2m4f4848.3%−2—
2m5f – 3m10220%+9.7—
Over 3m300%−10.3—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Malilla (IRE) (Red Clubs)

8 siblings in the archive, 6 winners — best of them Golden Force (GB) (5 wins).

The wins came over 5f–1m½f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Golden Force (GB)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Golden Force (GB)3356f–1m½fClass 4
Follow Suit (IRE)526fClass 4
Caesars Pearl (IRE)2326fClass 5
Bare Necessity (IRE)726fClass 5
Ragga Bomb (IRE)616f—
Little Miss Lilly (GB)2415fClass 6
Midnight Drift (GB)50——
Up The Stakes (IRE)10——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good 4 0 0% −4.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Standard (AW) 2 1 50% +0.10

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 1 100% +1.10

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Goodwood 2 0 0% −2.00
York 1 0 0% −1.00
Newmarket 1 0 0% −1.00
Carlisle 1 0 0% −1.00
Ascot 1 0 0% −1.00
Newcastle (AW) 1 1 100% +1.10
Dundalk (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Curragh 1 0 0% −1.00
Naas 1 0 0% −1.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
6f – 7f 8 1 13% −5.90
1m – 1m1f 3 0 0% −3.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Adam Caffrey 4 0 0% −4.00
David Probert 1 0 0% −1.00
Ryan Kavanagh 1 0 0% −1.00
Billy Loughnane 1 0 0% −1.00
Clifford Lee 1 0 0% −1.00
Connor Planas 1 0 0% −1.00
Callum Hutchinson 1 0 0% −1.00
Dougie Costello 1 1 100% +1.10

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 6 0 0% −6.00
2025 5 1 20% −2.90

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 6 runs
10 Oct 26+72d York Sky Bet Peter Nolan Handicap Stakes Class 4 · 8f · Soft · 20 ran Raced in the pack's back half - struggled to keep up over 2f out - tailed off to finish 19th 19/20 5½ 9-5 7720C67C David Probert 66/1
30 Jul 26+20d Goodwood HKJC World Pool Handicap Stakes Class 3 · 8f · Good To Firm · 19 ran Hesitant start and lost ground - eased across to the right - settled in the pack on the rail - pressed for effort 3f out - came under pressure and faded inside final furlong 17/19 1½ 8-9 7963C63A Ryan Kavanagh 50/1
10 Jul 26+16d Newmarket Jockey Club Estates Handicap Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 11 ran travelled enthusiastically in mid-division early - driven two furlongs out and had nothing left soon after 11/11 5½ 9-9 8052A57A Billy Loughnane 5/1
24 Jun 26+32d Carlisle Lady Dacre Bell Handicap Class 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran Settled in the pack early - improved into contention from 3f out - closed on the leader with a furlong left but couldn't get closer - edged out of second near the line to finish third 3/10 nk 9-9 8089A89A Clifford Lee 7/1
23 May 26+15d Goodwood Fitzdares Harroways Handicap Class 2 · 7f · Good · 17 ran Sent clear from the break - shared front spot after 2f - overtaken with a furlong left - pressed on but weakened close home to finish well beaten 16/17 ¾ 8-2 8180C62A Connor Planas 12/1
08 May 26+167d Ascot Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Handicap Class 2 · 7f · Good · 10 ran Settled in the pack early - urged forward with 2f left and gained ground inside final furlong - stayed on to finish fourth 4/10 ½ 8-9 8292A84A Callum Hutchinson 66/1
2025 · 5 runs
22 Nov 25+43d Newcastle (AW) BetMGM: Stay Golden With Responsible Play EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran Drifted left at the off - settled second - urged forward approaching final 2f - hit front inside last furlong and driven out to the line 1/10 9-7 8273A78A Dougie Costello 11/10F
10 Oct 25+26d Dundalk (AW) Irish EBF Median Sires Series (C & G) Maiden 7f · Standard · 14 ran Sat just behind the front group - 6th at halfway - driven up to share command 2f out - lost the advantage inside the last two furlongs - unable to get on terms with winner but stayed on same-paced to the line 2/14 1½ 9-6 8277B92A Adam Caffrey 4/1
14 Sep 25+21d Curragh Tattersalls Ireland Super Auction Sales Stakes 6.5f · Yielding · 16 ran Held around midpack early - pressed for effort with 2f left - stayed on at a steady rate from the final furlong - finished ninth beaten well clear of victory 9/16 shd 9-3 —12C80A Adam Caffrey 28/1
24 Aug 25+11d Naas Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden 6f · Good · 13 ran Settled up with the front group early on a firm grip - urged into 3rd approaching 2f out - hit the front a furlong out - overtaken in the final furlong - battled on at an even effort to the line for 2nd 2/13 nk 9-3 —75C82A Adam Caffrey 14/1
13 Aug 25 Gowran Park Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden 7f · Good · 14 ran Held up in midfield - hampered early and slipped back - driven to make late progress approaching 2f out - into 7th with a furlong left but unable to close before the finish 7/14 3 9-2 —57C61A Adam Caffrey 7/1

Quick answers

How many races has Aqua Bear won?
Aqua Bear (IRE) won 1 of 11 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 9.1%. Placed 4 times in total (36.4% of starts).
Who trains Aqua Bear?
Aqua Bear (IRE) is trained by Ian Williams, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 10 October 2026.
Who is Aqua Bear's sire?
Aqua Bear (IRE) is by Kodi Bear (IRE) out of Malilla (IRE), whose sire is Red Clubs.
What is Aqua Bear's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 77, from the run on 10 October 2026. The highest on record is 82.
What is Aqua Bear's sire's record?
Kodi Bear (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 3,947 runs since Jan 2008 (387 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Aqua Bear's siblings?
Out of Malilla (IRE), Aqua Bear (IRE) has 8 other produce in our archive, 6 of them winners. Most wins: Golden Force (GB) (5). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Golden Force (GB)). The wins came over 5f–1m½f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from August 2025. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.