Skip to content
Jockey profile

Ryan Kavanagh

707 rides in the last 5 seasons · 305 individual horses
As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)
from 1 Jan 2022
70–707
Wins / Runs
9.9%
Strike rate
n=707
207 (29%)
Placed
0.91
Fair A/E
n=704 · 0.78 incl. margin
−341.21
£1 level stake
n=707 at SP · −48.3%
£654k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.3%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 140 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.91). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 20% (95 rides). Rides mostly for Ian Williams — 40% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 707 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance 31.1% when favourite Ian Williams: 12.7% from 283 LTO winners: 20% Rides the favourite in 10% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Chelmsford City (AW) (27%, n=37), clear of the rider's 9.9% baseline. It is weakest at Lingfield (AW) (2.3% over 86 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20% (n=95, Fair A/E 1.00), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 0% (n=39, Fair A/E 0.00). Ian Williams supplies 40% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12.7% vs 9.9%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (25%, n=72). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 2.4% over 41 rides, 7.5pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Lion Ring (IRE) — 5 wins from 26 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
8.2%−1.7
n=305 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −153.65
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
20%+10.1
n=95 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −21.82
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
6.1%−3.8
n=66 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −38.50
When favourite
31.1%
n=74 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −14.41
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
9.6%−0.3
n=658 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −342.29
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−9.9
n=39 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −39.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break 25% vs 9.9% · n=72
At Chelmsford City (AW) 27% vs 9.9% · n=37
On last-time-out winners 20% vs 9.9% · n=95
At Lingfield (AW) 2.3% vs 9.9% · n=86
On Good to Soft going 2.4% vs 9.9% · n=41
With Rachel Cook & John Bridger 3% vs 9.9% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 430 47 10.9% −183.81
Good to Firm 116 12 10.3% −55.97
Good 97 8 8.2% −48.06
Good to Soft 41 1 2.4% −38.12
Soft 14 1 7.1% −8.50
Firm 5 1 20% −2.75
Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 108 11 10.2% −42.07
Lingfield (AW) 86 2 2.3% −63.50
Southwell (AW) 78 11 14.1% −28.26
Newcastle (AW) 69 8 11.6% −29.92
Kempton (AW) 52 5 9.6% −24.05
Chelmsford City (AW) 37 10 27% +3.99
Chepstow 25 4 16% −9.92
Ffos Las 22 1 4.5% −17.50
Leicester 22 1 4.5% −18.50
Chester 19 2 10.5% −5.00
Windsor 18 1 5.6% −13.67
Nottingham 18 0 0% −18.00
Yarmouth 18 2 11.1% −9.88
Newbury 17 2 11.8% +15.00
Bath 16 2 12.5% −8.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 360 44 12.2% −158.97
Class 5 213 19 8.9% −88.62
Class 4 88 6 6.8% −54.62
Class 3 26 0 0% −26.00
Class 2 20 1 5% −13.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 88 25 28.4% 1.00 −19.91
2nd–3rd fav 150 33 22% 1.29 +15.70
4th–6th fav 241 11 4.6% 0.56 −128.00
7th+ in betting 228 1 0.4% 0.15 −209.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lion Ring (IRE) 26 5 10 18 Jun 26
Call Glory (IRE) 17 2 9 19 Oct 26
Just Typical (GB) 14 3 6 6 Aug 26
Beauzon (GB) 11 1 2 17 Oct 26
Nordic Glory (IRE) 11 2 7 26 Jan 26
Faustus (GB) 10 1 3 5 Aug 26
Typical Woman (GB) 10 2 4 22 May 26
Street Life (GB) 10 1 5 27 Apr 26
Simiyann (IRE) 9 1 2 27 Aug 26
Tonal (FR) 9 5 7 13 May 26
Uniting (IRE) 9 2 5 12 Mar 26
Queensland Boy (IRE) 9 2 4 7 Mar 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 305 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 11
Only 11 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
12913079127189199
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardIan Williams
40% of all rides
12.7% SR · A/E 0.97
TrainerRWSR£1
Ian Williams 283 36 12.7% −116.16
Patrick Morris 55 5 9.1% −24.92
Amy Murphy 47 2 4.3% −35.50
Michael Attwater 45 5 11.1% −9.25
Rachel Cook & John Bridger 33 1 3% −14.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→
70
Archived wins
£654k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 32 wins
One And Gone (IRE) — HKJC World Pool Battaash Handicap Sandown · Jul 2026 · Class 2
£12,885
Matilda Joslyngage (IRE) — Fitzdares Apprentice Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Goodwood · Jun 2026 · Class 4
£10,468
One And Gone (IRE) — Goodwood Horseracing Club Membership Handicap Goodwood · Jun 2026 · Class 4
£8,191
Notable horses
Lion Ring (IRE) Tonal (FR) Just Typical (GB) Tasever (GB) One And Gone (IRE) Call Glory (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
The Last Lion (IRE) 19.2% · 5–26
Progeny have won 7.4% of 913 runs since 2008 (63 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4% from 100.
Soldier's Call (GB) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,110 runs since 2008 (217 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.1% from 198. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.1% from 245.
Australia (GB) 15.8% · 3–19
Progeny have won 11.2% of 5,647 runs since 2008 (563 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.
Mehmas (IRE) 18.8% · 3–16
Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,132 runs since 2008 (747 horses).
Brazen Beau (AUS) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 10.2% of 2,473 runs since 2008 (186 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.7% from 162. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 15.8% from 158.
Showcasing (GB) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,601 runs since 2008 (997 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 707 · newest first

The latest 50 of 707 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 May 2023 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Jodhpur Blue (FR)T: Ian Williams Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Selling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 100/30J
22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Byerley Lady (GB)T: Ian Williams Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 66/1
22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Vinny's Dream (IRE)T: Ian Williams Midnite: Built For 2027 Not 2007 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 150/1
22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Crypto Quest (IRE)T: Scott Dixon Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 14/1
19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Daretobedifferent (IRE)T: Des Donovan bettingsites.co.uk New Betting Sites Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 66/1
19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Call Glory (IRE)T: Ian Williams bettingsites.co.uk Compare Before You Bet Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 12/1
17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Beauzon (GB)T: Ian Williams Saturday 24th October Gents Night Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 150/1
16 Oct 26 Redcar Dadawada (IRE)T: Christopher Kellett Market Cross Jewellers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 20/1
15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Jodhpur Blue (FR)T: Ian Williams Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 17/2
15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Pride Eye (GB)T: Mark Rimell Free Bets On Attheraces.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 11/2
13 Oct 26 Leicester Cypriot Diaspora (GB)T: Rod Millman Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse Book Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 16/1
10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Chilly Breeze (GB)T: Ian Williams Erdinger Weissbier Stein Selling Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 12/1
09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Gallant Lion (GB)T: Ian Williams Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 6th 11/1
07 Oct 26 Nottingham Nad Alshiba Snow (IRE)T: Mike Murphy Construction Day 14th October Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 25/1
05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Clive The Writer (IRE)T: William Muir & Chris Grassick Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 22/1
03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Beauzon (GB)T: Ian Williams Bettingsites.co.uk Every Bookie Compared Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 100/1
03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Ebt's Warrior (IRE)T: William Muir & Chris Grassick Bettingsites.co.uk New Customer Offers Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 20/1
03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Captain Cairney (GB)T: William Muir & Chris Grassick Bettingsites.co.uk Compare Before You Bet Handicap StakesClass 5 · 16.5f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 6/4F
01 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Mart (GB)T: D Donovan Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 7/2
01 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Garth Spirit (GB)T: Robbie Llewellyn Daly Accounting Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ryan Kavanagh's strike rate?
Ryan Kavanagh has won 70 of 707 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.9% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ryan Kavanagh do best at?
Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 37 rides (27%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ryan Kavanagh ride most for?
Ian Williams, with 283 rides since 2022 — 40% of the total. That pairing has won 36 (12.7%).
Is Ryan Kavanagh in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 11 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ryan Kavanagh's Fair A/E?
0.91, from 704 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 24 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).