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Horse profile

Ballon Rouge (GB)

3yo filly · Trainer Ed Dunlop · Owner A Kirkland R Gray Partner
by Masar (IRE) out of Tropicana Bay (GB) (Oasis Dream)
6 runs · 6 courses · from Aug 2025
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
First-time headgear LTO Last run 8 Jun 2026 · 12th of 12 Last raced off OR 53
KTB Profile

Ballon Rouge is a filly by Masar out of a daughter of Oasis Dream who has yet to win from six starts on turf and all-weather. Her best effort came when fourth of five at Chelmsford City on AW in Aug 2025. She has raced over 1m to 1m4f on good to soft and standard going. She finished 12th of 12 at Windsor in Jun 2026 on her first run in first-time headgear and last raced off an official rating of 53, 8lb below her highest ever mark.

Based on 6 archived runs · run-style from 6 commented runs since Aug 2025 · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 65 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Yarmouth, 18 Sep 2025

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 6 figures · best 65C · median 54.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
Good to Soft365A481 run · —
Standard (AW)365C572 runs · 65 / 61
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
1m – 1m1f465A501 run · —
1m2f – 1m4f265C612 runs · 65 / 61

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 6 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 43A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Newcastle (AW), 1 May 2026 Official rating 53 at the last run, 8 Jun 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 6 figures · best 57A · median 42.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
Good to Soft357A471 run · —
Standard (AW)343A422 runs · 43 / 42.5
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
1m – 1m1f457A44.51 run · —
1m2f – 1m4f243A42.52 runs · 43 / 42.5

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 6 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 6 analysed runs since Aug 2025

  • Prominent 3 (50%) · 0 wins
  • Mid-division 1 (17%) · 0 wins
  • Led 1 (17%) · 0 wins
  • Held up 1 (17%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 1,230 runs since Apr 2023 (176 horses).

Strongest on good to firm going: 15.6% from 167. Weakest on good to soft going: 8.2% from 134. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15% from 167. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.7% from 220.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm200%−11.6—
Good to Firm1672615.6%+4—
Good3073511.4%−0.2—
Good to Soft134118.2%−3.40 from 3
Soft1491711.4%−0.2—
Heavy3925.1%−6.5—
Standard (AW)4325212%+0.40 from 3
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f9111.1%−0.5—
6f – 7f220177.7%−3.9—
1m – 1m1f316319.8%−1.80 from 4
1m2f – 1m4f4466514.6%+30 from 2
1m5f – 2m1672515%+3.4—
2m1f – 2m4f6023.3%−8.3—
2m5f – 3m12216.7%+5.1—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2023 · as at 31 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Tropicana Bay (GB) (Oasis Dream)

5 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Coconut Bay (GB) (7 wins).

The wins came over 7f–1m4f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Goodwood Odyssey (GB)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Coconut Bay (GB)7977f–1m2fClass 5
Goodwood Odyssey (GB)831m–1m4fClass 2
Delta Bay (GB)511mClass 4
Laser Jet (GB)60——
Whiskey Galore (GB)60——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good to Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 6 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Windsor 1 0 0% −1.00
Newcastle (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Leicester 1 0 0% −1.00
Yarmouth 1 0 0% −1.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m – 1m1f 4 0 0% −4.00
1m2f – 1m4f 2 0 0% −2.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
David Egan 1 0 0% −1.00
P J McDonald 1 0 0% −1.00
Hector Crouch 1 0 0% −1.00
Rossa Ryan 1 0 0% −1.00
Robert Havlin 1 0 0% −1.00
Mason Paetel 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 5 0 0% −5.00
Cheekpieces 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 3 0 0% −3.00
2025 3 0 0% −3.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 3 runs
08 Jun 26+38d Windsor Network Airline Services Handicap Class 6 · 1m · Good To Soft · 12 ran Settled off the pace - pushed along with 4f left - dropped away 2f out - eventually well beaten in 12th 12/12 6 9-7 5322C33C David Egan 25/1
01 May 26+25d Newcastle (AW) Quaff Box Handicap Class 6 · 1m2f · Standard · 8 ran Settled with plenty of enthusiasm just behind the pace - hit the front briefly outside 2f out after being asked for effort - quickly overtaken and dropped away inside the final furlong 7/8 1¼ 9-1 5757A43A P J McDonald 28/1
06 Apr 26+181d Wolverhampton (AW) Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Class 6 · 1m4f · Standard · 7 ran Sat close behind the front-runner - urged forward with three left - nosed in front approaching the final two furlongs - given the whip and overtaken with a furlong to run before fading out of contention 6/7 7 9-5 6165C42C Hector Crouch 12/1
2025 · 3 runs
07 Oct 25+19d Leicester British EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Div 2) Class 4 · 1m · Good To Soft · 9 ran Went straight to front - pressed for effort then lost command inside final furlong - dropped away in the closing stages to finish sixth 6/9 nk 8-12 —48A57A Rossa Ryan 33/1
18 Sep 25+19d Yarmouth This Effective Winning Post Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 1m1f · Good To Soft · 11 ran Held up towards the back of the pack - asked for effort while racing wide - lost touch over 2f out - dropped away final stages - finished 8th 8/11 2 8-12 —65A47A Robert Havlin 66/1
30 Aug 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Full Works Project EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 1m · Standard · 5 ran Settled handy on the outer - hit the front early - pressed for effort with 2f left - lost command approaching the final furlong and faded to finish 4th 4/5 ½ 8-7 —52C42B Mason Paetel 33/1

Quick answers

How many races has Ballon Rouge won?
Ballon Rouge (GB) has yet to win, from 6 archived starts between 2025 and 2026.
Who trains Ballon Rouge?
Ballon Rouge (GB) is trained by Ed Dunlop, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 8 June 2026.
Who is Ballon Rouge's sire?
Ballon Rouge (GB) is by Masar (IRE) out of Tropicana Bay (GB), whose sire is Oasis Dream.
What is Ballon Rouge's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 53, from the run on 8 June 2026. The highest on record is 61.
What is Ballon Rouge's sire's record?
Masar (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 1,230 runs since Apr 2023 (176 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 15.6% from 167. Weakest on good to soft going: 8.2% from 134. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15% from 167. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.7% from 220.
Who are Ballon Rouge's siblings?
Out of Tropicana Bay (GB), Ballon Rouge (GB) has 5 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Coconut Bay (GB) (7). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Goodwood Odyssey (GB)). The wins came over 7f–1m4f. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from August 2025. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.