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Trainer profile

Ed Dunlop

2,193 runners in the last 5 seasons · 218 individual horses
As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 5.2% of 349 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 24 Oct 2026.
Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
256–2,193
Wins / Runs
11.7%
Strike rate
n=2,193
666 (30%)
Placed
1.05
n=2,181 · 0.90 incl. margin
−476.77
£1 level stake
n=2,193 at SP · −21.7%
£2.89m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 440 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.05). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 16% (61 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,193 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Dec 32.8% when favourite Rossa Ryan: 14.1% from 163 Headgear returns: 16.4% Sends off the favourite in 9% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Pontefract (23.9%, n=46), clear of the yard's 11.7% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 16.4% (n=61, Fair A/E 1.79), but debutants struggle at 3% (n=164, Fair A/E 0.79). Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 1 from 15 runners in the last 14 days (6.7%, 5pts below the 11.7% baseline). Rossa Ryan rides 7% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14.1% vs 11.7%, A/E 0.93). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (20.9%, n=110). 43 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Red Mills Irish Champion Stakes at Leopardstown (Sep 2012, £434,500). The stable star of the record: Sterling Knight (GB) — 12 wins from 71 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.5%−3.2
n=246 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −100.46
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.5%−2.2
n=21 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −11.17
Debutants · first career start
3%−8.7
n=164 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −97.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
10.9%−0.8
n=110 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −47.25
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
16.4%+4.7
n=61 · A/E 1.79 · £1 +16.50
When favourite
32.8%
n=189 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −22.53
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.3%−0.4
n=284 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −101.73
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
10%−1.7
n=20 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −11.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Pontefract 23.9% vs 11.7% · n=46
With debutants 3% vs 11.7% · n=164
Off a 0-7-day break 20.9% vs 11.7% · n=110
With Silvestre De Sousa 21.6% vs 11.7% · n=37
With Tom Marquand 2.3% vs 11.7% · n=44
With P J McDonald 20.8% vs 11.7% · n=48
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 2,191 255 11.6% −477.15
Chase 1 1 100% +1.38
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 1,025 117 11.4% −196.70
Good to Firm 388 58 14.9% −76.15
Good 385 34 8.8% −171.78
Good to Soft 193 19 9.8% −47.68
Soft 157 20 12.7% −24.01
Heavy 42 6 14.3% +37.83
Firm 3 2 66.7% +1.72

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 244 30 12.3% −70.92
Chelmsford City (AW) 180 18 10% +43.62
Kempton (AW) 176 19 10.8% −51.42
Lingfield (AW) 174 20 11.5% −75.19
Yarmouth 147 17 11.6% −67.92
Southwell (AW) 137 12 8.8% −25.25
Newcastle (AW) 114 18 15.8% −17.54
Newmarket 77 4 5.2% −38.75
Nottingham 77 7 9.1% −32.30
Windsor 69 10 14.5% −2.56
Leicester 67 9 13.4% +24.35
Newmarket 63 4 6.3% −35.25
Doncaster 63 8 12.7% +20.25
Beverley 55 9 16.4% −20.14
Brighton 47 7 14.9% −26.22

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 829 102 12.3% −172.70
Class 6 612 94 15.4% −59.81
Class 4 475 39 8.2% −173.51
Class 2 131 6 4.6% −53.00
Class 3 124 12 9.7% −10.00
Class 1 20 2 10% −11.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 236 74 31.4% 1.05 −26.91
2nd–3rd fav 541 104 19.2% 1.15 −5.36
4th–6th fav 764 59 7.7% 0.95 −178.50
7th+ in betting 652 19 2.9% 0.90 −266.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Sterling Knight (GB) 62 11 20 19 Oct 26
Havana Sky (GB) 40 8 14 4 Aug 26
Arthur's Realm (IRE)then Gihan Arnolda 38 4 11 8 Oct 25
Damascus Steel (IRE)then Denis Quinn 37 5 15 25 Aug 25
Society Lion (GB)from Sir Michael Stoute 37 5 10 25 Jul 25
Turner Girl (IRE) 35 3 18 12 Feb 25
Lenny's Spirit (FR)then Denis Quinn 32 6 9 22 Oct 24
Tactical Plan (GB) 28 2 10 20 Oct 26
Pressure's On (FR) 27 3 14 11 Jun 26
Intoxicata (FR) 26 5 14 29 Mar 24
Nikki's Girl (IRE) 26 4 11 27 Feb 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 218 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ali Stronge (2); 54 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for Denis Quinn (2) and Scott Dixon (2); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell
1 from 15 6.7% · −5.0pts vs baseline
Last 14 days6.7%
5-season base11.7%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
651211131512128131314
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRossa Ryan
7% of all rides
14.1% SR · A/E 0.93
RiderRWSR£1
Rossa Ryan 163 23 14.1% −24.43
Robert Havlin 131 14 10.7% +1.58
Hector Crouch 100 13 13% +26.36
Daniel Muscutt 97 12 12.4% −13.60
Hollie Doyle 94 11 11.7% −25.00
Billy Loughnane 86 12 14% −28.88
Morgan Cole 76 7 9.2% −37.88
Neil Callan 65 13 20% +9.98
Rhys Clutterbuck 59 6 10.2% −7.38
Oisin Orr 57 5 8.8% −21.84
Saffie Osborne 52 5 9.6% −17.50
Marco Ghiani 49 6 12.2% −18.63
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
950
Archived wins
43
Pattern / graded wins
£14.3m
Prize money
2023
Best season · 71 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Snow Fairy (IRE) — Red Mills Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1) Leopardstown · Sep 2012 · Group 1
£434,500
Snow Fairy (IRE) — Darley Irish Oaks (Fillies' Group 1) Curragh · Jul 2010 · Group 1
£246,500
Trip To Paris (IRE) — Gold Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2015 · Group 1
£229,854

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Camelot (GB) 14.8% · 22–149
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,687 runs since 2008 (754 horses).
Muhaarar (GB) 13.5% · 15–111
Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,791 runs since 2008 (412 horses).
Mastercraftsman (IRE) 11.1% · 8–72
Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,631 runs since 2008 (842 horses).
Kodiac (GB) 7.4% · 5–68
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,548 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Showcasing (GB) 12.7% · 8–63
Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,601 runs since 2008 (997 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.
Make Believe (GB) 16.1% · 10–62
Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,604 runs since 2008 (297 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 8,529 · newest first

The latest 50 of 8,529 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 January 2005 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Bath Sterling Knight (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Djsn Ltd Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 10/1
12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Zoustar Dreams (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Quinnbet Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 85/40F
10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Pathein (IRE)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix Le FabuleuxClass 1 · 9f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 4/1
08 Oct 26 Ayr Golden Caviar (IRE)J: Hector Crouch Outcider Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Heavy · 13 ran 11th 33/1
08 Oct 26 Ayr Tactical Plan (GB)J: Hector Crouch San Miguel Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ed Dunlop's strike rate?
Ed Dunlop has won 256 of 2,193 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ed Dunlop do best at?
Beverley by strike rate: 9 wins from 55 runners (16.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ed Dunlop?
Rossa Ryan, with 163 runners since 2022 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (14.1%).
Is Ed Dunlop in form?
In the last 14 days: 15 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 6.7%. That is below the baseline of 11.7% since 2022.
What is Ed Dunlop's Fair A/E?
1.05, from 2,181 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 24 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).