Ed Dunlop
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 440 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.05). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 16% (61 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.
The record is strongest at Pontefract (23.9%, n=46), clear of the yard's 11.7% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 16.4% (n=61, Fair A/E 1.79), but debutants struggle at 3% (n=164, Fair A/E 0.79). Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 1 from 15 runners in the last 14 days (6.7%, 5pts below the 11.7% baseline). Rossa Ryan rides 7% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14.1% vs 11.7%, A/E 0.93). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (20.9%, n=110). 43 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Red Mills Irish Champion Stakes at Leopardstown (Sep 2012, £434,500). The stable star of the record: Sterling Knight (GB) — 12 wins from 71 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Dec.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Quiet spellWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 8,529 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 8,529 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 January 2005 to 23 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Ed Dunlop's strike rate?
- Ed Dunlop has won 256 of 2,193 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Ed Dunlop do best at?
- Beverley by strike rate: 9 wins from 55 runners (16.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Ed Dunlop?
- Rossa Ryan, with 163 runners since 2022 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (14.1%).
- Is Ed Dunlop in form?
- In the last 14 days: 15 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 6.7%. That is below the baseline of 11.7% since 2022.
- What is Ed Dunlop's Fair A/E?
- 1.05, from 2,181 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.