Bay Mirage (IRE)
Bay Mirage (IRE) is 1 from 13, the win coming at Class 6 level. Hasn't won since Jul 2016. Last raced off 64, 13lb below the career-high mark.
- 1–13Wins / Runs
- 7.7%Strike rate
- 3 (23.1%)Placed
- −10.00£1 level staken=13 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=12 · 0.61 incl. margin
- 77Highest OR
- 21dBetween runs (median)longest 254 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 108
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 108B | 63 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 108B | 68 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 4 figures from 4 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 8.7% of 10,549 runs since Mar 2008 (676 horses).
Strongest on firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 131 | 16 | 12.2% | +3.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,992 | 166 | 8.3% | −0.4 | 0 from 3 |
| Good | 1,966 | 160 | 8.1% | −0.6 | 1 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 1,028 | 80 | 7.8% | −0.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 1,092 | 76 | 7% | −1.7 | — |
| Heavy | 397 | 35 | 8.8% | +0.1 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 3,943 | 381 | 9.7% | +1 | 0 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 2,240 | 229 | 10.2% | +1.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 4,971 | 450 | 9.1% | +0.4 | 1 from 10 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,739 | 131 | 7.5% | −1.2 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 880 | 49 | 5.6% | −3.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 463 | 38 | 8.2% | −0.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 195 | 14 | 7.2% | −1.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 48 | 3 | 6.3% | −2.4 | — |
| Over 3m | 13 | 0 | 0% | −8.7 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2008 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Wear It Well (GB) (1 win).
The wins came over 6f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Wear It Well (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wear It Well (GB) | 7 | 1 | 6f | Class 5 |
| Regal Selection (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Class 6 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Musselburgh | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Redcar | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hamilton | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Ayr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thirsk | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Beverley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 10 | 1 | 10% | −7.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Eaves | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.00 |
| Graham Lee | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Kevin Stott | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Lewis Edmunds | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Shane Gray | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Joe Doyle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Raul Da Silva | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheekpieces | 6 | 1 | 17% | −3.00 |
| None | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −6.00 |
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Bay Mirage won?
- Bay Mirage (IRE) won 1 of 13 archived starts between 2015 and 2016, a strike rate of 7.7%. Placed 3 times in total (23.1% of starts).
- Who trained Bay Mirage?
- Bay Mirage (IRE) was trained by Kevin Ryan on the most recent run on record, at Newcastle (AW) on 21 December 2016.
- Who is Bay Mirage's sire?
- Bay Mirage (IRE) is by Kheleyf (USA) out of Choosey Girl (IRE), whose sire is Choisir.
- What going does Bay Mirage prefer?
- Bay Mirage (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Bay Mirage's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 64, from the run on 21 December 2016. The highest on record is 77.
- What is Bay Mirage's sire's record?
- Kheleyf (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.7% of 10,549 runs since Mar 2008 (676 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.
- Who are Bay Mirage's siblings?
- Out of Choosey Girl (IRE), Bay Mirage (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Wear It Well (GB) (1). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Wear It Well (GB)). The wins came over 6f. As at Nov 2026.