What is Kevin Ryan's strike rate?

Kevin Ryan has won 296 of 2,685 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Kevin Ryan do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 25 wins from 138 runners (18.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Kevin Ryan?

Tom Eaves, with 966 runners since 2022 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 103 (10.7%).

Is Kevin Ryan in form?

In the last 14 days: 33 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 3%. That is below the baseline of 11% since 2022.

What is Kevin Ryan's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 2,674 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Kevin Ryan

2,685 runners in the last 5 seasons · 343 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.5% of 545 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

296–2,685

Wins / Runs

11%

Strike rate

n=2,685

806 (30%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=2,674 · 0.88 incl. margin

−499.03

£1 level stake

n=2,685 at SP · −18.6%

£8.17m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 540 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.03). With a claiming rider up the record reads 13% (214 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,685 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Mar Fresh horses: 11.3% 34.2% when favourite Tom Eaves: 10.7% from 966 Claiming riders: 12.6% Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hamilton (18.1%, n=138) and Newcastle (AW) (16.7%, n=306) — all clear of the yard's 11% baseline. It is weakest at Goodwood (2.4% over 42 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 5.5% (n=109, Fair A/E 0.69). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 6.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −69.17 to a £1 stake over 263 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 1 from 33 runners in the last 14 days (3%, 8pts below the 11% baseline). Tom Eaves rides 36% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.7%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 1.7% over 59 runners, 9.3pts below the baseline. 103 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix du Jockey Club at Chantilly (FR) (Jun 2014, £714,250). The stable star of the record: Le Toreador (GB) — 13 wins from 65 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.3%+0.3

n=435 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +34.39

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−11.0

n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00

Debutants · first career start

10.5%−0.5

n=256 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −9.75

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.5%−5.5

n=109 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −67.79

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.9%−5.1

n=68 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −18.50

When favourite

34.2%

n=237 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −24.83

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.6%+1.6

n=214 · A/E 1.09 · £1 +28.89

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.5%−4.5

n=263 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −69.17

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Heavy going 1.7% vs 11% · n=59

At Hamilton 18.1% vs 11% · n=138

At Newcastle (AW) 16.7% vs 11% · n=306

At Goodwood 2.4% vs 11% · n=42

With Neil Callan 17.6% vs 11% · n=68

With first-time headgear 5.5% vs 11% · n=109

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,682 295 11% −499.53

Hurdle 3 1 33.3% +0.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 831 90 10.8% −34.57

Good to Firm 570 48 8.4% −253.18

Standard (AW) 568 83 14.6% −70.38

Good to Soft 378 47 12.4% +0.78

Soft 279 27 9.7% −87.68

Heavy 59 1 1.7% −54.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

York 328 26 7.9% −27.37

Newcastle (AW) 306 51 16.7% −0.96

Ayr 178 12 6.7% −116.77

Thirsk 160 18 11.3% −43.12

Southwell (AW) 149 18 12.1% −15.14

Doncaster 145 15 10.3% +7.16

Hamilton 138 25 18.1% +56.29

Haydock 131 10 7.6% −68.43

Pontefract 129 12 9.3% −66.58

Redcar 112 12 10.7% −37.57

Beverley 110 14 12.7% −20.57

Carlisle 100 14 14% +17.02

Ascot 88 5 5.7% −34.75

Ripon 65 7 10.8% −22.37

Newmarket 61 6 9.8% +42.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 647 89 13.8% −82.62

Class 5 638 76 11.9% −146.38

Class 2 533 42 7.9% −101.02

Class 3 335 37 11% −60.01

Class 6 264 35 13.3% −34.83

Class 1 263 17 6.5% −69.17

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 275 86 31.3% 1.02 −37.83

2nd–3rd fav 629 107 17% 1.04 −58.70

4th–6th fav 904 80 8.8% 1.12 −23.00

7th+ in betting 877 23 2.6% 0.76 −379.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bergerac (IRE) 50 6 15 27 Aug 26

Dark Moon Rising (IRE) 46 5 14 20 Oct 26

Shaladar (FR) 39 3 17 23 Oct 25

Belsito (GER) 35 6 13 17 Oct 26

We Never Stop (IRE) 33 5 10 19 Sep 26

Mon Na Slieve (IRE) 32 3 6 25 Jul 26

Leap Year Lad (IRE) 32 2 8 7 Feb 25

Vantheman (IRE) 31 5 11 19 Oct 26

Apiarist (IRE) 31 5 11 11 Jul 26

Venture Capital (GB) 30 5 11 16 Oct 26

Washington Heights (GB) 29 4 13 30 Aug 26

Aleezdancer (IRE) 29 4 9 27 Sep 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 343 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 59 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Herrington (4) and David O'Meara (2); 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

1 from 33 3% · −8.0pts vs baseline

Last 14 days3%

5-season base11%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

182317121111128981614

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTom Eaves

36% of all rides
10.7% SR · A/E 1.10

RiderRWSR£1

Tom Eaves 966 103 10.7% −227.61

Kevin Stott 480 55 11.5% −210.88

Shane Gray 406 49 12.1% +43.41

Oisin McSweeney 131 19 14.5% +12.45

Neil Callan 68 12 17.6% +94.75

Rowan Scott 54 6 11.1% −3.50

Jack Callan 42 3 7.1% −31.05

Sam James 40 4 10% −1.00

Daniel Tudhope 37 5 13.5% −4.38

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,869

Archived wins

103

Pattern / graded wins

£32.8m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 140 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

The Grey Gatsby (IRE) — Prix du Jockey Club (3yo Colts & Fillies) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2014 · Group 1

£714,250

The Grey Gatsby (IRE) — Qipco Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1) Leopardstown · Sep 2014 · Group 1

£580,000

Triple Time (IRE) — Queen Anne Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2023 · Group 1

£425,325

Notable horses

Le Toreador (GB) Arganil (USA) Harry Up (GB) Mutamared (USA) Brando (GB) Shifting Gold (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Night Of Thunder (IRE) 9.6% · 17–177

Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,069 runs since 2008 (562 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 157.

Washington Dc (IRE) 13.4% · 22–164

Progeny have won 9.9% of 849 runs since 2008 (70 horses). Weakest on Good going: 6.8% from 191.

Kodi Bear (IRE) 14% · 17–121

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,934 runs since 2008 (386 horses).

Kodiac (GB) 6.4% · 7–110

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,538 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 12.1% · 12–99

Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,224 runs since 2008 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.5% from 121. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 8.8% · 8–91

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,817 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 15,307 · newest first

The latest 50 of 15,307 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Lucius Aurelius (GB)J: Shane Gray Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 13/2

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Dark Moon Rising (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 28/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Miss Havisham (IRE)J: Sam James bettingsites.co.uk Free Bets Offers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 25/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Vantheman (IRE)J: Tom Eaves William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 3/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Statten Island (IRE)J: Tom Eaves William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 18/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Perryston (GB)J: Shane Gray Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 28/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mandarin Spirit (IRE)J: Shane Gray Dance Through The Decades Christmas Parties Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 25/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Belsito (GER)J: Tom Eaves William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Veterans' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 7th 11/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Venture Capital (GB)J: Shane Gray Northumbria Leisure For Jukeboxes Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 11/2

16 Oct 26 Redcar Cosmic Man (IRE)J: Mr James Hills Watch Racing Replays At racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 8th 9/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Yordan (IRE)J: Kevin Stott attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 7/4F

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Nursia (GB)J: Kevin Stott Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 10/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Sergeant Wilko (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Happy 80th Reg Ling Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 2nd 8/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Pivotal Voyage (IRE)J: Tom Eaves British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 5/2J

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Showtown (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 12/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Gladys Pugh (IRE)J: Kevin Stott Follow @AtTheRaces On Instagram Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 16/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Powerful Force (GB)J: Tom Eaves Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 20/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Benbecula (IRE)J: Kevin Stott Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 12/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Lucius Aurelius (GB)J: Shane Gray Watch On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 10/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Al Mubhir (GB)J: Billy Loughnane Inkerman London Handicap StakesClass 2 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 9th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kevin Ryan's strike rate?: Kevin Ryan has won 296 of 2,685 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Kevin Ryan do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 25 wins from 138 runners (18.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Kevin Ryan?: Tom Eaves, with 966 runners since 2022 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 103 (10.7%).
Is Kevin Ryan in form?: In the last 14 days: 33 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 3%. That is below the baseline of 11% since 2022.
What is Kevin Ryan's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 2,674 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.