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Jockey profile

Joe Doyle

184 rides in the last 5 seasons · 86 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride May 2023 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
from 1 Jan 2022
8–184
Wins / Runs
4.3%
Strike rate
n=184
31 (17%)
Placed
0.87
Fair A/E
n=184 · 0.69 incl. margin
−15.17
£1 level stake
n=184 at SP · −8.2%
£125k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.87).

Deterministic profile computed from 184 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Denis Gerard Hogan: 0% from 50
The read

Denis Gerard Hogan supplies 27% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (0% vs 4.3%, A/E 0.00). The rider also reads well at trips under 6f (12.1%, n=33). The market has also underrated the rider on Soft going: Fair A/E 1.36 across 60 rides (6.7% strike, +14.50 to a £1 stake). The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.33 across 60 rides (1.7% strike, −47.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Stella Artois Handicap at Chester (Aug 2014, £48,518). The standout partner of the record: Make A Challenge (IRE) — 8 wins from 19 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.2%−1.1
n=62 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −8.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
11.1%+6.8
n=9 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −4.67
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
7.1%+2.8
n=28 · A/E 2.09 · £1 +80.00
When favourite
0%
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.5%+0.2
n=112 · A/E 1.02 · £1 +23.33
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.3
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At trips under 6f 12.1% vs 4.3% · n=33
With Denis Gerard Hogan 0% vs 4.3% · n=50
Off a 15-30-day break 1.7% vs 4.3% · n=60
Over 6f – 7f 1.7% vs 4.3% · n=59
On Soft going 6.7% vs 4.3% · n=60
Off a 8-14-day break 6.8% vs 4.3% · n=44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 73 3 4.1% −45.67
Soft 60 4 6.7% +14.50
Standard (AW) 22 1 4.5% +45.00
Good to Soft 15 0 0% −15.00
Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00
Heavy 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 22 1 4.5% +45.00
Curragh 17 0 0% −17.00
Gowran Park 17 0 0% −17.00
Cork 15 2 13.3% +39.00
Navan 14 3 21.4% +6.83
Bellewstown 13 0 0% −13.00
Tipperary 11 0 0% −11.00
Fairyhouse 9 0 0% −9.00
Limerick 9 0 0% −9.00
Naas 9 0 0% −9.00
Sligo 9 0 0% −9.00
Down Royal 7 1 14.3% +3.00
Killarney 7 1 14.3% +10.00
Leopardstown 7 0 0% −7.00
Listowel 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
2nd–3rd fav 14 1 7.1% 0.57 −9.67
4th–6th fav 39 3 7.7% 1.06 −12.50
7th+ in betting 123 4 3.3% 1.35 +15.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Spirituoso (GB) 9 1 5 15 Aug 22
Drish Melody (IRE) 8 1 2 18 Oct 22
Hot Sunset (GB) 8 0 2 14 Oct 22
Curraheen Princess (IRE) 8 3 7 8 Oct 22
Shoebox King (IRE) 7 1 3 30 May 23
Sioux Sweet (IRE) 6 0 2 15 Aug 22
Two Metres Apart (IRE) 4 0 0 21 Oct 22
Never Back Down (IRE) 4 0 0 30 Sep 22
Silent Performance (IRE) 4 0 0 20 Sep 22
Wojood (GB) 4 0 0 26 Aug 22
Clashbeg Star (IRE) 4 0 0 10 Jul 22
Majestic Colt (IRE) 4 0 0 25 Jun 22
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 86 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
··1047004105··
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardDenis Gerard Hogan
27% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
TrainerRWSR£1
Denis Gerard Hogan 50 0 0% −50.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
184
Archived wins
5
Pattern / graded wins
£1.87m
Prize money
2015
Best season · 34 wins
Top of The Glas (IRE) — Stella Artois Handicap Chester · Aug 2014 · Class 2
£48,518
Swaheen (GB) — Stan James Handicap York · Oct 2015 · Class 2
£31,125
Make A Challenge (IRE) — Manguard Plus Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Sep 2019
£29,500
Notable horses
Make A Challenge (IRE) Curraheen Princess (IRE) Misu Mac (GB) Hell Left Loose (GB) Mulzamm (IRE) Ocean Applause (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Charm Spirit (IRE) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,817 runs since 2008 (339 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 448. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.7% from 134. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 445.
Prince Of Lir (IRE) 25% · 3–12
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,378 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 200.
Hot Streak (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8% of 1,757 runs since 2008 (123 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 782. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.9% from 154.
Galileo Gold (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,029 runs since 2008 (174 horses).
Aclaim (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 9.9% of 2,543 runs since 2008 (201 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.7% from 389.
Sioux Nation (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12.4% of 2,890 runs since 2008 (358 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 17.2% from 425. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.3% from 578. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.7% from 190.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,230 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,230 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 April 2012 to 30 May 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 May 23 Tipperary Shoebox King (IRE)T: Kevin Thomas Coleman TipperaryRacecourse.ie Handicap5f · Good · 15 ran 6th 17/2
31 Oct 22 Galway Ely Bandero (IRE)T: Patrick Michael Verling Corrib Food Products Maiden7f · Heavy · 14 ran 12th 66/1
28 Oct 22 Dundalk (AW) Classy Kate (IRE)T: Kevin Thomas Coleman Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 18/1
21 Oct 22 Dundalk (AW) Two Metres Apart (IRE)T: M J Byrne William Hill Extra Places Every Day Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)6f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 7/1
21 Oct 22 Dundalk (AW) King's View (IRE)T: Lee Smyth William Hill Extra Places Every Day Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)6f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 25/1
19 Oct 22 Navan Darisana (FR)T: P J Rothwell Racing Again Sunday 13th November Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)14f · Heavy · 19 ran 17th 66/1
19 Oct 22 Navan Carrickfinn (GB)T: P J Rothwell NavanRacecourse.ie Maiden5f · Heavy · 17 ran 13th 125/1
19 Oct 22 Navan Hell Left Loose (GB)T: Vincent Carroll Safer Gambling Handicap (47-70)5.5f · Heavy · 23 ran 15th 12/1
18 Oct 22 Gowran Park Lofoten (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Racing Again November 26th Handicap12f · Soft · 15 ran 13th 33/1
18 Oct 22 Gowran Park Rufus Saxton (IRE)T: T J O'Mara Racing Club Membership Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 12th 50/1
18 Oct 22 Gowran Park Drish Melody (IRE)T: Donal Commins Dine At Gowran Park Handicap (47-70)8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 14th 10/1
14 Oct 22 Dundalk (AW) Hot Sunset (GB)T: Joseph Anthony Murray Floodlit Fridays At Dundalk Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 16/1
14 Oct 22 Dundalk (AW) Meritorious (GB)T: John C McConnell William Hill Extra Places Every Day Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 40/1
13 Oct 22 Curragh Florence Thompson (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Hollywoodbets First Past The Post Promotion Handicap (47-75)5f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 11th 16/1
10 Oct 22 Killarney Cardinal Rule (IRE)T: L Young Kenmare Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)11.5f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 18/1
10 Oct 22 Killarney Drish Melody (IRE)T: Donal Commins Muckross Handicap (47-70) (Div 2)8.5f · Soft · 14 ran 3rd 4/1J
08 Oct 22 Curragh Curraheen Princess (IRE)T: N Stokes RFL Steels Supporting The IRFU Charitable Trust Handicap5f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 3/1F
06 Oct 22 Thurles Stabila (IRE)T: Michael Flannery Littleton Handicap (47-65)12.5f · Soft · 15 ran 14th 80/1
05 Oct 22 Navan Mickey The Steel (GB)T: Joseph Anthony Murray Troytown Chase Day Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap5.5f · Soft · 13 ran 4th 13/2
01 Oct 22 Killarney Engagement Ring (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden11f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Joe Doyle's strike rate?
Joe Doyle has won 8 of 184 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Joe Doyle ride most for?
Denis Gerard Hogan, with 50 rides since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 0 (0%).
What is Joe Doyle's Fair A/E?
0.87, from 184 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).