What is Raul Da Silva's strike rate?

Raul Da Silva has won 11 of 176 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Raul Da Silva do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 34 rides (20.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Raul Da Silva's Fair A/E?

0.79, from 176 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Raul Da Silva

176 rides in the last 5 seasons · 115 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Apr 2025 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2022

11–176

Wins / Runs

6.3%

Strike rate

n=176

37 (21%)

Placed

0.79

Fair A/E

n=176 · 0.67 incl. margin

−79.97

£1 level stake

n=176 at SP · −45.4%

£125k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.79). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 9% off breaks of two months or more (35 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 176 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 8.6% First rides: 7%

The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (20.6%, n=34), clear of the rider's 6.3% baseline. The rider also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (15.8%, n=38). The record reads poorly at trips under 6f — 0% over 38 rides, 6.3pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Croeso Cymraeg (GB) — 5 wins from 17 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7%+0.7

n=114 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −31.59

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

25%+18.7

n=4 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −2.38

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.6%+2.3

n=35 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +14.62

When favourite

18.2%

n=11 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −6.13

Big fields · 14+ runners

0%−6.3

n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Wolverhampton (AW) 20.6% vs 6.3% · n=34

Over 1m – 1m1f 15.8% vs 6.3% · n=38

With Roger Varian 15% vs 6.3% · n=40

At trips under 6f 0% vs 6.3% · n=38

Off a 8-14-day break 0% vs 6.3% · n=32

With Ismail Mohammed 11.8% vs 6.3% · n=34

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 101 9 8.9% −50.30

Good 26 0 0% −26.00

Good to Firm 19 0 0% −19.00

Good to Soft 17 1 5.9% +24.00

Soft 10 0 0% −10.00

Firm 2 1 50% +2.33

Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 34 7 20.6% +7.37

Chelmsford City (AW) 22 0 0% −22.00

Kempton (AW) 20 1 5% −15.00

Southwell (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00

Yarmouth 9 1 11.1% +32.00

Lingfield (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00

Bath 7 0 0% −7.00

Brighton 5 1 20% −0.67

Doncaster 5 0 0% −5.00

Newcastle (AW) 5 1 20% −0.67

Nottingham 5 0 0% −5.00

Salisbury 4 0 0% −4.00

Beverley 4 0 0% −4.00

Chepstow 4 0 0% −4.00

Lingfield 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 80 4 5% −23.75

Class 5 64 4 6.3% −40.17

Class 4 23 3 13% −7.05

Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 11 2 18.2% 0.50 −6.13

2nd–3rd fav 30 4 13.3% 0.81 −8.84

4th–6th fav 46 4 8.7% 1.22 −17.00

7th+ in betting 89 1 1.1% 0.55 −48.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Shamardia (GB) 7 2 4 24 Mar 25

State Of Madness (GB) 5 0 0 28 Oct 24

Hawa Jumeirah (GB) 4 1 1 11 Mar 25

Love Rock (IRE) 4 0 1 19 Dec 24

Checkmeout (GB) 4 0 1 9 May 24

Revenite (GB) 4 0 0 30 Mar 24

Streaky Bay (GB) 4 1 3 5 Aug 23

Rogue Raider (USA) 3 0 0 18 Jan 25

Master Zack (GB) 3 0 0 9 Nov 24

Kodi Hawk (GB) 3 0 0 22 Oct 24

Mr Funky Monkey (GB) 3 0 0 8 Oct 24

Orchard Keeper (IRE) 3 0 2 29 Feb 24

The 60 most-raced of 115 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

177200707030025

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRoger Varian

23% of all rides
15% SR · A/E 0.93

TrainerRWSR£1

Roger Varian 40 6 15% −7.22

Ismail Mohammed 34 4 11.8% −11.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

183

Archived wins

£1.18m

Prize money

2012

Best season · 48 wins

Teruntum Star (FR) — Adnams Broadside Handicap Newmarket · Jul 2015 · Class 2

£31,125

Can You Conga (GB) — 32Red Supports Racing Welfare Handicap Newmarket · Aug 2013 · Class 2

£31,125

Time Medicean (GB) — Sky Bet Grey Horse Handicap (For Grey Horses Only) Newmarket · Aug 2011 · Class 4

£12,450

Notable horses

Croeso Cymraeg (GB) Baltic Prince (IRE) Titus Gent (GB) Toga Tiger (IRE) Your Gifted (IRE) Sulis Minerva (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,515 runs since 2008 (1,664 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Churchill (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 11.1% of 4,760 runs since 2008 (458 horses).

Harry Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 12.8% of 2,736 runs since 2008 (261 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.5% from 329.

Shamardal (USA) 28.6% · 2–7

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,411 runs since 2008 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,287. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,119 runs since 2008 (1,097 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 952.

Postponed (IRE) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 12.1% of 1,554 runs since 2008 (164 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.1% from 450. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 136. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.5% from 200.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,164 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,164 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 June 2011 to 12 April 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 Apr 25 Nottingham Edvard Grieg (IRE)T: Dylan Cunha Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 9/2

04 Apr 25 Bath Aquifolia (GB)T: Neil Mulholland DragonBet - Real Bookmakers HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 66/1

24 Mar 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Shamardia (GB)T: Ismail Mohammed Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 6/1

11 Mar 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Marmoga (GB)T: Ismail Mohammed 30 In Free Bets With BetUK Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 66/1

11 Mar 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Hawa Jumeirah (GB)T: Ismail Mohammed Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 16/1

08 Mar 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Shamardia (GB)T: Ismail Mohammed Download The bet365 App HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 18/1

08 Mar 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Must Believe (GB)T: Ismail Mohammed Bet Boost At bet365 Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 12/1

27 Feb 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Zaman Daar (IRE)T: Ismail Mohammed Download The bet365 App HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 6th 20/1

25 Feb 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Shamardia (GB)T: Ismail Mohammed Gamble Responsibly At BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 15/2

18 Feb 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Hawa Jumeirah (GB)T: Ismail Mohammed BetUK: Where The UK Bets Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) (Div 1)Class 6 · 14f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 11/4F

18 Feb 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Marmoga (GB)T: Ismail Mohammed Weekly 5 Free Bet With The BetUK Fillies' Novice Stakes (Rider Restricted Race) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 66/1

12 Feb 25 Kempton (AW) Zaman Daar (IRE)T: Ismail Mohammed Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 6th 11/1

20 Jan 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Hawa Jumeirah (GB)T: Ismail Mohammed BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 4/1

18 Jan 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Rogue Raider (USA)T: Clare Hobson Weekly 5 Free Bet With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 66/1

09 Jan 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Auguste Lumiere (IRE)T: Clare Hobson 6 Horses Challenge At bet365 HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard To Slow · 6 ran 4th 2/1

09 Jan 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Rogue Raider (USA)T: Clare Hobson It's Never Ordinary At bet365 HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 5th 66/1

29 Dec 24 Southwell (AW) L'sarafina (GB)T: Derek Shaw Gamble Responsibly At BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 150/1

27 Dec 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Shamardia (GB)T: Ismail Mohammed Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 6/1

19 Dec 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Rogue Raider (USA)T: Clare Hobson Sky Bet Build A Bet HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 66/1

19 Dec 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Love Rock (IRE)T: Ismail Mohammed Sky Bet For The Fans NurseryClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Raul Da Silva's strike rate?: Raul Da Silva has won 11 of 176 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Raul Da Silva do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 34 rides (20.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Raul Da Silva's Fair A/E?: 0.79, from 176 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.