Horse profile
Believing (IRE)
5yo mare (at last run, Jul 2025) · Last trainer George Boughey · Last owner Mrs Magnier M Tabor D Smith Resolute
by Mehmas (IRE) out of Misfortunate (IRE) (Kodiac)
25 runs · 14 courses · from May 2022
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 12 Jul 2025 — 465 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Jul 2025 · 4th of 14
6 wins · 6 courses
Last raced off OR 112
KTB Profile
Believing won six of 25 starts including the Group 2 Barberstown Castle Sapphire Stakes at the Curragh in Jul 2024. In our archive she holds one Group 2 win, one Group 3 win and three Listed wins. Four of those wins came over 6f – 7f and two under 6f, with two on good ground and two on the all-weather. She last ran at Newmarket in Jul 2025 when fourth of 14 in the July Cup Stakes off an official rating of 112.
Based on 25 archived runs · run-style from 5 commented runs · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically prominent
OR at career high
- 6–25Wins / Runs
- 24%Strike rate
- 15 (60%)Placed
- +1.63£1 level staken=25 at SP
- 1.59Fair A/E n=25 · 1.36 incl. margin
- 112Highest OR
- 48dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating112At career-high mark
112
90–112
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 111
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 9 | 116B | 106 | — |
| Good | 7 | 120C | 108 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 108B | 90 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 112A | 99 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 15 | 120C | 90 | — |
| Under 6f | 7 | 116C | 108 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 22 figures from 22 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 5 analysed runs
- Prominent 3 (60%) · 0 wins
- Held up 1 (20%) · 0 wins
- Midfield 1 (20%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 8,110 runs since Jan 2008 (747 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | −1.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,457 | 179 | 12.3% | +0.7 | 1 from 9 |
| Good | 1,957 | 221 | 11.3% | −0.3 | 2 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 753 | 84 | 11.2% | −0.4 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 919 | 96 | 10.4% | −1.2 | 1 from 3 |
| Heavy | 208 | 22 | 10.6% | −1 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2,797 | 337 | 12% | +0.4 | 2 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 2,091 | 267 | 12.8% | +1.2 | 2 from 9 |
| 6f – 7f | 4,263 | 475 | 11.1% | −0.5 | 4 from 16 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,358 | 156 | 11.5% | −0.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 361 | 42 | 11.6% | 0 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 30 | 1 | 3.3% | −8.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −11.6 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −11.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 20 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Misfortunate (IRE) (Kodiac)
3 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Court Alert (IRE) | 11 | 0 | — | — |
| Inncourt (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Pandemic (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 9 | 1 | 11% | +0.00 |
| Good | 8 | 2 | 25% | +0.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.80 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 2 | 67% | +1.83 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 18 | 3 | 17% | +0.50 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.33 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newmarket | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Ascot | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Curragh | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.00 |
| Haydock | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.00 |
| Chantilly (FR) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.80 |
| Longchamp (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| York | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pontefract | 1 | 1 | 100% | +8.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.50 |
| Ayr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.33 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 16 | 4 | 25% | +2.63 |
| Under 6f | 9 | 2 | 22% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Tudhope | 5 | 2 | 40% | +10.00 |
| James Doyle | 5 | 2 | 40% | −0.17 |
| Ryan Moore | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.00 |
| Billy Loughnane | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Mickael Barzalona | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.80 |
| Jason Hart | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kevin Stott | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jim Crowley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hector Crouch | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hollie Doyle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Harry Davies | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 20 | 5 | 25% | +5.30 |
| None | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.67 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2024 | 8 | 2 | 25% | +0.00 |
| 2023 | 7 | 3 | 43% | +10.30 |
| 2022 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −6.67 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul 25+25d | Newmarket | Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai July Cup Stakes (Group 1) Settled towards the back in the middle of the track - met interference and had to shift left inside the final furlong - stayed on into 4th without troubling the front two | 4/14 | shd | 9-5 | 112 | 111C | 105A | Billy Loughnane | 9/1 |
| 17 Jun 25+254d | Ascot | King Charles III Stakes (Group 1) Settled in leading pack on the stand rail - hit the front approaching final furlong - faded in the closing stages to finish 11th | 11/20 | ¾ | 9-4 | 112 | 90C | 93A | Ryan Moore | 3/1F |
| 06 Oct 24+21d | Longchamp (FR) | Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Longines (2yo+) (Sprint Course) (Turf) | 3/16 | hd | 9-7 | — | — | — | Billy Loughnane | 57/10 |
| 15 Sep 24+23d | Curragh | Bar One Racing Flying Five Stakes (Group 1) Settled among the pack early - moved through inside the last furlong - went second close home - stayed on to the line but no danger to winner | 2/18 | 1¼ | 9-3 | 112 | 116C | 111A | Ryan Moore | 7/2 |
| 23 Aug 24+21d | York | Coolmore Wootton Bassett Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Handy in the pack early - urged on approaching halfway - finished full of running to snatch second late | 2/12 | ¾ | 9-10 | 111 | 106A | 114A | Ryan Moore | 7/1 |
| 02 Aug 24+13d | Goodwood | King George Qatar Stakes (Group 2) Settled just off the pace early - pushed along and made progress entering the last furlong - kept on well inside it but couldn't quite get to the front runners | 3/10 | ¾ | 9-4 | 111 | 108A | 108A | Billy Loughnane | 7/1 |
| 20 Jul 24+28d | Curragh | Barberstown Castle Sapphire Stakes (Group 2) | 1/9 | 9-6 | 111 | 111A | 112A | Ryan Moore | EvensF | |
| 22 Jun 24+4d | Ascot | Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) | 4/13 | 1 | 9-2 | 111 | 103C | 102A | Daniel Tudhope | 3/1F |
| 18 Jun 24+10d | Ascot | King Charles III Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) | 4/17 | shd | 9-4 | 111 | 112C | 116A | Daniel Tudhope | 9/1 |
| 08 Jun 24+231d | Haydock | Betfred Passionate About Sport Achilles Stakes (Listed) | 1/8 | 9-2 | 109 | 102A | 128A | Daniel Tudhope | 5/1 | |
| 21 Oct 23+42d | Ascot | Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) | 11/15 | ¾ | 9-0 | 109 | 37C | 83A | Daniel Tudhope | 28/1 |
| 09 Sep 23+20d | Haydock | Betfair Sprint Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) | 3/16 | ½ | 9-0 | 108 | 120C | 113A | Jason Hart | 66/1 |
| 20 Aug 23+77d | Pontefract | EBF Stallions Highfield Farm Flying Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) | 1/11 | 9-6 | 108 | 116B | 121A | Daniel Tudhope | 8/1 | |
| 04 Jun 23+16d | Chantilly (FR) | Prix du Gros-Chene (3yo+) (Turf) | 11/12 | ¾ | 8-9 | — | — | — | Mickael Barzalona | 26/5 |
| 19 May 23+22d | Chantilly (FR) | Prix Texanita (3yo) (Turf) | 1/7 | 8-10 | — | — | — | Mickael Barzalona | 19/5 | |
| 27 Apr 23+8d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Chelmer Fillies' Stakes (Listed) | 1/13 | 9-2 | 98 | 108B | 114A | James Doyle | 5/2F | |
| 19 Apr 23+173d | Newmarket | Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) | 5/15 | 1¼ | 9-2 | 98 | 86C | 93A | James Doyle | 18/1 |
| 28 Oct 22+21d | Newmarket | Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Bosra Sham' Fillies' Stakes (Listed) | 3/10 | nse | 9-2 | 98 | 112A | 107A | James Doyle | 4/1 |
| 07 Oct 22+20d | Newmarket | Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) | 7/11 | shd | 9-2 | 98 | 77A | 86A | Kevin Stott | 10/1 |
| 17 Sep 22+14d | Ayr | Virgin Bet Firth Of Clyde Fillies' Stakes (Group 3) | 2/12 | nk | 9-2 | 98 | 83A | 103A | Jim Crowley | 12/1 |
| 03 Sep 22+50d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Sirenia Stakes (Group 3) | 2/10 | 2 | 9-0 | 90 | 90A | 96A | Hector Crouch | 40/1 |
| 15 Jul 22+20d | Newbury | Irish Thoroughbred Marketing (IRE) Incentive Scheme Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed) | 5/6 | shd | 8-11 | 90 | 83A | 79B | Hollie Doyle | 5/1 |
| 25 Jun 22+33d | Newmarket | Maureen Brittain Memorial Empress Fillies' Stakes (Listed) | 4/11 | ¾ | 9-2 | — | 108A | 98A | James Doyle | 11/2 |
| 23 May 22+9d | Wolverhampton (AW) | At The Races App Market Movers Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 1/5 | 9-2 | — | 76C | 77B | James Doyle | 1/3F | |
| 14 May 22 | Newmarket | Denbury Homes British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 2/10 | 4¾ | 8-9 | — | 66A | 88A | Harry Davies | 10/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Believing (IRE) won?
- Believing (IRE) won 6 of 25 archived starts between 2022 and 2025, a strike rate of 24%. Placed 15 times in total (60% of starts).
- Who trained Believing (IRE)?
- Believing (IRE) was trained by George Boughey on the most recent run on record, at Newmarket on 12 July 2025.
- Who is Believing (IRE)'s sire?
- Believing (IRE) is by Mehmas (IRE) out of Misfortunate (IRE), whose sire is Kodiac.
- What going does Believing (IRE) prefer?
- Believing (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 2 wins from 3 starts (66.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Believing (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 112, from the run on 12 July 2025. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Believing (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Mehmas (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 8,110 runs since Jan 2008 (747 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Believing (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Misfortunate (IRE), Believing (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.