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Horse profile

Best Guess (IRE)

4yo gelding (at last run, Jun 2024) · Last trainer Barry Murtagh · Last owner Anthony White
by Australia (GB) out of Duet (GB) (Pivotal)
12 runs · 6 courses · from Mar 2023
As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 19 Jun 2024 — 860 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Jun 2024 · 10th of 10 Last raced off OR 45
KTB Profile

Best Guess is a maiden who was yet to win from 12 starts. His best effort came when third of five at Carlisle in Sep 2023. The gelding, by Australia out of a Pivotal mare, raced on both turf and all-weather without success, including four runs at Newcastle. He finished last of 10 at Hamilton in Jun 2024 when last raced off an official rating of 45, 22lb below his highest ever mark.

Based on 12 archived runs · updated 27 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance OR ↓ 22lb off peak
Official rating45↓ 22lb off peak
45 45–67

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 91 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Newcastle (AW), 16 Apr 2024

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 10 figures · best 91A · median 66
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 27 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)691A74.5—
Good to Soft278C62—
Good1———
Good to Firm1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 27 Oct 2025
1m2f – 1m4f591A73—
1m – 1m1f376B59—
2m1f – 2m4f1———
1m5f – 2m1———
Jumps 1 figure · too few for a breakdown

Of 12 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (1).

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 12 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating (flat) 44C the best of the last 3 rated runs · Carlisle, 31 May 2024 Official rating 45 at the last flat run, 19 Jun 2024

Best recent KTB Rating (jumps) 77C the best of the last 1 rated run · Sedgefield, 22 Oct 2023

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 10 figures · best 68B · median 48.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 27 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)666A54.5—
Good to Soft245C44.5—
Good1———
Good to Firm1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 27 Oct 2025
1m2f – 1m4f559A45—
1m – 1m1f368B66—
2m1f – 2m4f1———
1m5f – 2m1———
Jumps 1 figure · too few for a breakdown

Of 12 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (1).

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 12 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 5,656 runs since Jan 2008 (564 horses).

Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm13323.1%+12—
Good to Firm6658112.2%+1.10 from 1
Good1,50516511%−0.10 from 1
Good to Soft6606710.2%−0.90 from 2
Soft96412112.6%+1.50 from 2
Heavy324299%−2.1—
Standard (AW)1,52416410.8%−0.30 from 6
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f3326.1%−5—
6f – 7f643639.8%−1.3—
1m – 1m1f1,24613610.9%−0.20 from 3
1m2f – 1m4f2,08826612.7%+1.60 from 5
1m5f – 2m1,17212911%−0.10 from 2
2m1f – 2m4f355267.3%−3.80 from 2
2m5f – 3m10876.5%−4.6—
Over 3m1119.1%−2—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Duet (GB) (Pivotal)

3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Double Rush (IRE) (5 wins).

The wins came over 6f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Double Rush (IRE)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Double Rush (IRE)1356fClass 2
Macra (FR)30——
Mirage (FR)20——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Good 1 0 0% −1.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 6 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Hamilton 2 0 0% −2.00
Carlisle 2 0 0% −2.00
Dundalk (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Musselburgh 1 0 0% −1.00
Sedgefield 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f 5 0 0% −5.00
1m – 1m1f 3 0 0% −3.00
2m1f – 2m4f 2 0 0% −2.00
1m5f – 2m 2 0 0% −2.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Connor Murtagh 3 0 0% −3.00
Paul Mulrennan 2 0 0% −2.00
Declan McDonogh 2 0 0% −2.00
William Pyle 1 0 0% −1.00
Tom Kiely-Marshall 1 0 0% −1.00
Mark Winn 1 0 0% −1.00
Craig Nichol 1 0 0% −1.00
Lorcan Murtagh 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 7 0 0% −7.00
Blinkers 5 0 0% −5.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2024 6 0 0% −6.00
2023 6 0 0% −6.00

TypeRunsWinsSR£1
Flat 10 0 0% −10.00
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2024 · 6 runs
19 Jun 24+19d Hamilton racingtv.com Handicap Class 6 · 9f · Good · 10 ran 10/10 8 8-12 4559C32C William Pyle 20/1
31 May 24+45d Carlisle Boost Your Winnings At Rhino.bet Apprentice Handicap Class 6 · 17f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8/8 11 8-5 4846C44C Tom Kiely-Marshall 66/1
16 Apr 24+44d Newcastle (AW) QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Class 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 9/9 3¼ 8-13 5091A43A Connor Murtagh 125/1
03 Mar 24+15d Newcastle (AW) BetUK. Home Of The Acca Handicap (Div 1) Class 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 8 ran 6/8 nk 8-10 5382A52A Mark Winn 150/1
17 Feb 24+21d Newcastle (AW) BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Handicap Class 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 10 ran 8/10 ½ 9-9 5873A57A Paul Mulrennan 150/1
27 Jan 24+58d Newcastle (AW) Find More Big Deals At Betuk Handicap Class 5 · 12.5f · Standard · 7 ran 7/7 43 9-1 6441C44C Paul Mulrennan 125/1
2023 · 6 runs
30 Nov 23+39d Musselburgh Glynn Carroll Memorial Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 4 · 15.5f · Soft · 5 ran PU/5 — 11-2 ——— Craig Nichol 80/1
22 Oct 23+28d Sedgefield Join Our Vickers.Bet Customer Racing Club Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 4 · 17f · Soft · 8 ran 8/8 39 11-2 —10C77C Lorcan Murtagh 28/1
24 Sep 23+17d Hamilton McEwan Grant, Construction & Retail Joinery Contractors Handicap Class 5 · 11f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 7/7 5½ 9-8 6778C45C Connor Murtagh 33/1
07 Sep 23+181d Carlisle Trustatrader.Com Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 9f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 3/5 ½ 9-7 —32C68B Connor Murtagh 125/1
10 Mar 23+7d Dundalk (AW) Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden 8f · Standard · 13 ran 7/13 ½ 9-8 —76B66A Declan McDonogh 14/1
03 Mar 23 Dundalk (AW) Story Of Dundalk Stadium Book Available Online Maiden 10.5f · Standard · 12 ran 5/12 2 9-8 —40A59A Declan McDonogh 6/1

Quick answers

How many races has Best Guess won?
Best Guess (IRE) has yet to win, from 12 archived starts between 2023 and 2024.
Who trained Best Guess?
Best Guess (IRE) was trained by Barry Murtagh on the most recent run on record, at Hamilton on 19 June 2024.
Who is Best Guess's sire?
Best Guess (IRE) is by Australia (GB) out of Duet (GB), whose sire is Pivotal.
What is Best Guess's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 45, from the run on 19 June 2024. The highest on record is 67.
What is Best Guess's sire's record?
Australia (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 5,656 runs since Jan 2008 (564 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.
Who are Best Guess's siblings?
Out of Duet (GB), Best Guess (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Double Rush (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Double Rush (IRE)). The wins came over 6f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from March 2023. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.