What is Connor Murtagh's strike rate?

Connor Murtagh has won 29 of 477 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Connor Murtagh do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 37 rides (8.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Connor Murtagh ride most for?

Richard Fahey, with 176 rides since 2022 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (9.1%).

What is Connor Murtagh's Fair A/E?

0.89, from 475 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Connor Murtagh

477 rides in the last 5 seasons · 275 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2024 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2022

29–477

Wins / Runs

6.1%

Strike rate

n=477

99 (21%)

Placed

0.89

Fair A/E

n=475 · 0.76 incl. margin

−255.86

£1 level stake

n=477 at SP · −53.6%

£358k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 100 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.89). When claiming the record reads 11% (90 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 477 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Richard Fahey: 9.1% from 176 LTO winners: 9.1% Claiming: 11.1%

The read

Claiming rides have been a positive signal at 11.1% (n=90, Fair A/E 1.21), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=66, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3% strike, Fair A/E 0.56 and −183.50 to a £1 stake over 233 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Richard Fahey supplies 37% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.1% vs 6.1%, A/E 1.14) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 40 rides, 6.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.24 across 52 rides (1.9% strike, −39.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The standout partner of the record: Gabrial The Devil (IRE) — 5 wins from 22 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3%−3.1

n=233 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −183.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

9.1%+3.0

n=33 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −22.92

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

0%−6.1

n=66 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −66.00

When favourite

27.8%

n=18 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −1.49

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.1%+5.0

n=90 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −37.82

Big fields · 14+ runners

1.7%−4.4

n=59 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −54.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.1

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With debutants 0% vs 6.1% · n=41

Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 6.1% · n=40

When claiming 11.1% vs 6.1% · n=90

With C&D winners 11.3% vs 6.1% · n=62

On first rides for the horse 3% vs 6.1% · n=233

On Soft going 1.9% vs 6.1% · n=52

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 159 9 5.7% −106.67

Good 111 9 8.1% −45.15

Good to Firm 83 6 7.2% −8.50

Good to Soft 68 4 5.9% −52.54

Soft 52 1 1.9% −39.00

Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 62 4 6.5% −32.80

Wolverhampton (AW) 41 2 4.9% −34.62

Southwell (AW) 37 3 8.1% −20.25

Catterick 29 2 6.9% −11.50

Hamilton 27 3 11.1% −11.75

Beverley 24 2 8.3% −14.90

Redcar 23 0 0% −23.00

Thirsk 23 0 0% −23.00

Musselburgh 21 1 4.8% −18.12

Chester 21 1 4.8% −15.50

Doncaster 20 1 5% −17.25

Carlisle 19 2 10.5% +20.00

Ripon 19 2 10.5% −2.67

Pontefract 17 1 5.9% −7.00

Haydock 17 2 11.8% +23.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 165 6 3.6% −113.92

Class 6 163 13 8% −68.27

Class 4 101 7 6.9% −44.17

Class 3 26 1 3.8% −23.00

Class 2 19 2 10.5% −3.50

Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 22 6 27.3% 1.03 +0.01

2nd–3rd fav 58 13 22.4% 1.30 −3.37

4th–6th fav 143 7 4.9% 0.68 −66.50

7th+ in betting 254 3 1.2% 0.45 −186.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Due Consideration (GB) 11 1 7 3 Oct 24

Secret Command (IRE) 9 2 3 14 Aug 24

Burj Malinka (IRE) 9 2 4 24 Sep 23

Star Of St James (GER) 8 1 3 1 Nov 22

Detective (GB) 7 1 2 21 Sep 24

Pepper Streak (IRE) 7 0 2 23 Jan 23

Thornaby Pearl (GB) 6 0 1 7 Oct 24

Tees Aggregates (IRE) 6 1 2 2 Oct 24

Thornaby Beauty (GB) 6 1 3 10 Jun 23

Available Angel (GB) 6 1 4 20 Oct 22

Patsy Fagan (IRE) 6 2 3 17 Apr 22

Alibi Warning (IRE) 5 0 3 24 Sep 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 275 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1450767748300

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRichard Fahey

37% of all rides
9.1% SR · A/E 1.14

TrainerRWSR£1

Richard Fahey 176 16 9.1% −56.49

Adrian Nicholls 122 10 8.2% −45.87

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

114

Archived wins

£1.21m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 24 wins

Orient Class (GB) — William Hill Tartan Trophy Consolation Race Handicap Musselburgh · Jun 2017 · Class 3

£25,876

Garfield Shadow (IRE) — Greenhous DAF Handicap Chester · Jul 2024 · Class 2

£25,480

The Wagon Wheel (IRE) — MBNA Make Good Stuff Happen Fillies' Handicap Chester · Jul 2017 · Class 2

£15,563

Notable horses

Gabrial The Devil (IRE) Patsy Fagan (IRE) Gabrial The Tiger (IRE) Symbolic Star (IRE) Alexandrakollontai (IRE) Rose Marmara (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,950 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Kodiac (GB) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,566 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Dark Angel (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,905 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Camacho (GB) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,322 runs since 2008 (596 horses).

Garswood (GB) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,920 runs since 2008 (163 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.8% from 132.

Due Diligence (USA) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 10.3% of 2,554 runs since 2008 (193 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,696 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,696 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 March 2017 to 7 October 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Oct 24 Pontefract Havana Rum (IRE)T: Richard Fahey Constant Security Services Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 10/1

07 Oct 24 Pontefract Thornaby Pearl (GB)T: Adrian Nicholls Myra & Stuart's 25th Anniversary First Date HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 10/1

05 Oct 24 Wolverhampton (AW) The Bobster (IRE)T: Richard Fahey Racing Value At bet365 HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 5/1F

05 Oct 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Cloudy Skye (IRE)T: Richard Fahey Essington Farm Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 16/1

04 Oct 24 Newcastle (AW) Gincident (IRE)T: Richard Fahey Meetings & Events HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 33/1

04 Oct 24 Newcastle (AW) Lesley's Boy (GB)T: Richard Fahey Download The QuinnBet App NurseryClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 9/2

03 Oct 24 Newcastle (AW) Due Consideration (GB)T: Adrian Nicholls Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 12/1

03 Oct 24 Newcastle (AW) Ezra Cee (IRE)T: Adrian Nicholls Get Raceday Ready Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 16/1

03 Oct 24 Newcastle (AW) Arie Gordye (GB)T: Adrian Nicholls Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 250/1

02 Oct 24 Catterick Furzig (GB)T: Richard Fahey Racing Again 19th October HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 14/1

02 Oct 24 Catterick Monsieur Kodi (IRE)T: Richard Fahey Bet At racingtv.com HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 13/2

02 Oct 24 Catterick Maywedance (IRE)T: Adrian Nicholls EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 12/1

02 Oct 24 Catterick Tees Aggregates (IRE)T: Adrian Nicholls Download The Raceday Ready App NurseryClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 12/1

01 Oct 24 Newcastle (AW) Tees Harriet (GB)T: Adrian Nicholls Tips For Every Race At Raceday-Ready.Com HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 33/1

30 Sep 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Hartswood (GB)T: Richard Fahey Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 25/1

30 Sep 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Safanah (GB)T: Richard Fahey Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 25/1

28 Sep 24 Ripon Thornaby Pearl (GB)T: Adrian Nicholls Michael Raby Memorial Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 5/2J

28 Sep 24 Ripon Tropical Island (GB)T: Richard Fahey Ripon Cathedral City Of The Dales HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 9/1

24 Sep 24 Newcastle (AW) Rogue Thunder (GB)T: Patrick Morris QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 50/1

24 Sep 24 Newcastle (AW) Wyvern (GB)T: Patrick Morris QuinnBet Daily Free Bet HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Connor Murtagh's strike rate?: Connor Murtagh has won 29 of 477 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Connor Murtagh do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 37 rides (8.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Connor Murtagh ride most for?: Richard Fahey, with 176 rides since 2022 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (9.1%).
What is Connor Murtagh's Fair A/E?: 0.89, from 475 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.