Horse profile
Capital Theory (GB)
37 runs · 20 courses · from Jul 2021
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
7 wins · 6 courses
Last run 5 Aug 2026
Last raced off OR 75
KTB Profile
Capital Theory is a gelding with seven wins from 37 starts, including four over 1m2f – 1m4f and two over 1m5f – 2m. He has won on soft ground and on good to soft, and four of his wins have come on all-weather surfaces where he is two from three at Chelmsford City. His last win came at Naas in Oct 2025 in an apprentice handicap off a mark of 68. He last ran at Sligo in Aug 2026.
Based on 37 archived runs · run-style from 9 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
OR ↓ 16lb off peak
- 7–37Wins / Runs
- 18.9%Strike rate
- 18 (48.6%)Placed
- +16.42£1 level staken=37 at SP
- 1.27Fair A/E n=37 · 1.10 incl. margin
- 91Highest OR
- 51dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating75↓ 16lb off peak
75
68–91
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 105
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 15 | 113C | 95 | — |
| Good to Soft | 6 | 133A | 88.5 | — |
| Soft | 5 | 105A | 86 | — |
| Good | 4 | 142C | 108.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 96A | 73 | — |
| Heavy | 2 | 70C | 68.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 23 | 115A | 88 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 133A | 95.5 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 107A | 75.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 74C | 51.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 37 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 36 figures from 37 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 9 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Held up 4 (44%) · 1 win
- Prominent 2 (22%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 2 (22%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (11%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 4,791 runs since Jan 2008 (412 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 10 | 2 | 20% | +8.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 654 | 81 | 12.4% | +0.8 | 0 from 4 |
| Good | 997 | 112 | 11.2% | −0.4 | 0 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 522 | 52 | 10% | −1.6 | 2 from 6 |
| Soft | 658 | 64 | 9.7% | −1.9 | 1 from 6 |
| Heavy | 185 | 25 | 13.5% | +1.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,764 | 218 | 12.4% | +0.8 | 4 from 15 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 283 | 27 | 9.5% | −2.1 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,502 | 171 | 11.4% | −0.2 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,295 | 177 | 13.7% | +2.1 | 1 from 4 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,139 | 115 | 10.1% | −1.5 | 4 from 24 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 383 | 46 | 12% | +0.4 | 2 from 6 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 157 | 15 | 9.6% | −2 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 28 | 2 | 7.1% | −4.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 4 | 1 | 25% | +13.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
4 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Sahana (GB) (2 wins).
The wins came over 5f–1m; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Sahana (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sahana (GB) | 14 | 2 | 7f–1m | Class 5 |
| Palifico (GB) | 22 | 1 | 5f | Class 5 |
| Senesi (GB) | 7 | 1 | 1m | Class 5 |
| Give Hand (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 15 | 4 | 27% | −4.33 |
| Soft | 6 | 1 | 17% | +20.00 |
| Good to Soft | 6 | 2 | 33% | +10.75 |
| Good | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 2 | 15 | 1 | 7% | −11.50 |
| Class 3 | 9 | 2 | 22% | +7.75 |
| Class 4 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +1.88 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.71 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.25 |
| Ayr | 4 | 1 | 25% | +9.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 3 | 2 | 67% | +1.79 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.88 |
| York | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newmarket | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.00 |
| Sligo (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 1 | 100% | +25.00 |
| Bellewstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sligo | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ballinrobe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 24 | 4 | 17% | +9.79 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 2 | 33% | +10.75 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.12 |
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Fanning | 14 | 2 | 14% | +2.75 |
| Franny Norton | 9 | 2 | 22% | −2.62 |
| Patrick McGettigan | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Sadhbh Tormey | 2 | 1 | 50% | +24.00 |
| William Buick | 2 | 2 | 100% | +2.29 |
| Sam Coen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nicola Burns | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ryan Sexton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Oliver Stammers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jason Hart | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Clifford Lee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 36 | 7 | 19% | +17.42 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2025 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +20.00 |
| 2024 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −3.25 |
| 2023 | 14 | 2 | 14% | +2.50 |
| 2022 | 5 | 3 | 60% | +2.17 |
| 2021 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 05 Aug 26+288d | Sligo (IRE) | Carlsberg Optional Claiming Race Handy behind the front group early - pulled up after 1f | PU/14 | — | 9-5 | 75 | — | — | Patrick McGettigan | 16/1 |
| 2025 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 21 Oct 25+9d | Curragh | Final Furlong Podcast With 1xbet.ie Handicap Settled in the pack on the wide side - urged forward past the 3f marker and driven approaching 2f out - unable to close and finished at a steady gait through the last furlong - well held in 16th | 16/25 | hd | 9-9 | 75 | 70C | 74A | Sadhbh Tormey | 25/1 |
| 12 Oct 25+11d | Naas | TRM Calphormin - Strong Foundation, Strong Future Apprentice Handicap Settled at the back early - made headway 4f out and pushed into 6th with 3f left - moved into second inside the final furlong - edged in front near the line under pressure | 1/16 | 9-10 | 68 | 86C | 97A | Sadhbh Tormey | 25/1 | |
| 01 Oct 25+26d | Bellewstown | Barney Curley Apprentice Series Final Apprentice Handicap Went straight to front - pressed for effort and lost command 2f out - unable to close on leader before fading to 3rd inside final furlong and a half | 3/9 | 2½ | 10-0 | 70 | 105A | 85A | Patrick McGettigan | 33/1 |
| 05 Sep 25+30d | Down Royal | Grant Thornton Ulster Cesarewitch Handicap Racing wide of the pack in the centre of the field - pushed along with three furlongs left - lost touch and allowed to drop away close home | 14/14 | 11 | 9-6 | 76 | 142C | 63C | Patrick McGettigan | 80/1 |
| 06 Aug 25+16d | Sligo | Carlsberg Optional Claiming Race Held up towards the back - driven into 6th turning for home - unable to quicken and stayed on at one speed inside the last furlong | 6/12 | ½ | 9-6 | 85 | 90A | 73A | Sam Coen | 7/1 |
| 21 Jul 25+272d | Ballinrobe | Tote.ie Claiming Race Settled just behind pace-setter early - slipped to third approaching final two furlongs - rallied back into second turning for home - kept battling to the line but narrowly denied | 2/7 | ½ | 9-3 | 86 | 87A | 89A | Nicola Burns | 15/2 |
| 2024 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 22 Oct 24+60d | Newcastle (AW) | Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap Held up early - dropped away 3f out - well beaten at the finish | 9/9 | 26 | 9-4 | 89 | 63C | 61C | Joe Fanning | 33/1 |
| 23 Aug 24+62d | Hamilton | Phoenix Utilities Ltd Lanark Silver Bell Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Towards the rear of the field early - moved up to 3rd by 5f out - under pressure and faded tamely from over 2f out to finish a distant 11th | 11/13 | 13 | 9-2 | 90 | 67C | 69C | Franny Norton | 40/1 |
| 22 Jun 24+20d | Ayr | Join Unite Online At unitetheunion.org Handicap | 9/9 | 1¼ | 9-7 | 91 | 96A | 75A | Ryan Sexton | 14/1 |
| 02 Jun 24+16d | Hamilton | Sky Bet Club Handicap | 12/12 | 3¾ | 9-8 | 91 | 102C | 74C | Joe Fanning | 15/2 |
| 17 May 24+12d | Hamilton | Precon Braveheart Handicap | 2/6 | 1¾ | 9-7 | 86 | 115A | 89B | Joe Fanning | 6/4F |
| 05 May 24+24d | Hamilton | Apex Traffic Management Ltd Buttonhook Handicap | 1/6 | 9-3 | 86 | 133A | 90B | Joe Fanning | 11/4 | |
| 11 Apr 24+140d | Chelmsford City (AW) | 6 Horses Challenge At bet365 Handicap | 4/7 | ½ | 9-1 | 86 | 86B | 79A | Joe Fanning | 11/4F |
| 2023 · 14 runs | ||||||||||
| 23 Nov 23+8d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Handicap | 7/10 | 2½ | 9-6 | 87 | 95A | 74A | Joe Fanning | 11/2 |
| 15 Nov 23+9d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Acca Boosts Handicap | 3/14 | ½ | 9-7 | 87 | 86B | 87A | Franny Norton | 9/2J |
| 06 Nov 23+20d | Kempton (AW) | Racing TV London Middle Distance Series (Final) Handicap | 3/12 | shd | 9-0 | 87 | 74A | 86A | Joe Fanning | 6/1 |
| 17 Oct 23+24d | Newcastle (AW) | BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap | 6/12 | 3 | 8-13 | 88 | 109A | 78A | Joe Fanning | 11/1 |
| 23 Sep 23+29d | Ayr | Bearingboys - More Than Just Bearings Handicap | 1/9 | 9-5 | 84 | 73A | 85A | Joe Fanning | 12/1 | |
| 25 Aug 23+20d | York | Sky Bet Handicap (Heritage Handicap) | 13/14 | 5½ | 9-3 | 86 | 72C | 60C | Andrea Atzeni | 50/1 |
| 05 Aug 23+91d | Newmarket | Turners Handicap | 3/5 | 2¼ | 10-0 | 88 | 82C | 82B | Franny Norton | 9/2 |
| 06 May 23+7d | Newmarket | Howden Handicap | 7/11 | 13 | 8-11 | 88 | 70C | 67C | Joe Fanning | 11/2 |
| 29 Apr 23+19d | Ripon | M.C.H. Hutchinson Memorial Trophy Handicap | 2/6 | 2¼ | 8-12 | 88 | 88A | 82B | Franny Norton | 10/3 |
| 10 Apr 23+39d | Kempton (AW) | Racing Tv Rosebery Handicap | 5/13 | shd | 8-13 | 88 | 87B | 82A | Franny Norton | 4/1 |
| 02 Mar 23+28d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Betsi Handicap | 1/5 | 8-5 | 86 | 113C | 83B | Franny Norton | 5/2 | |
| 02 Feb 23+5d | Southwell (AW) | BetUK's Acca Club 5 Free Bet Apprentice Handicap | 2/9 | 1 | 9-6 | 84 | 108A | 89A | Oliver Stammers | 2/1 |
| 28 Jan 23+17d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap | 2/8 | 2¼ | 8-7 | 84 | 101A | 83A | Franny Norton | 3/1 |
| 11 Jan 23+15d | Lingfield (AW) | Huge Daily Boosts Only At Betuk Handicap | 2/9 | ¾ | 8-11 | 83 | 100A | 81A | Franny Norton | 2/1F |
| 2022 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 27 Dec 22+13d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Scu Selects Expert Tips By BetUK Handicap | 1/10 | 9-11 | 79 | 107A | 87A | Franny Norton | 15/8F | |
| 14 Dec 22+13d | Lingfield (AW) | Huge Daily Boosts Only At Betuk Handicap | 1/8 | 9-7 | 77 | 93A | 85A | William Buick | 2/1F | |
| 01 Dec 22+34d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Racing Is Everyone's Sport Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 1/7 | 9-7 | 77 | 72A | 87B | William Buick | 2/7F | |
| 28 Oct 22+31d | Southwell (AW) | BetUK's Acca Club 5 Pounds Free Bet Handicap | 3/11 | ¾ | 9-6 | 77 | 96A | 82A | Jason Hart | 8/1 |
| 27 Sep 22+364d | Ayr | Virgin Bet Free Bets For Winners Handicap | 6/12 | nk | 9-8 | 79 | 95A | 78A | Clifford Lee | 25/1 |
| 2021 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 28 Sep 21+20d | Ayr | Virgin Bet Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 5/6 | 6 | 9-5 | 83 | 64A | 64B | Joe Fanning | 9/4 |
| 08 Sep 21+19d | Doncaster | British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Str) | 4/9 | ¾ | 9-5 | — | 54A | 90A | Joe Fanning | 5/1 |
| 20 Aug 21+20d | York | British Stallion Studs EBF Convivial Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 4/16 | ½ | 9-5 | — | 74C | 84A | Joe Fanning | 22/1 |
| 31 Jul 21 | Goodwood | British European Breeders Fund EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 3/11 | 3 | 9-0 | — | 29A | 83A | Joe Fanning | 22/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Capital Theory won?
- Capital Theory (GB) won 7 of 37 archived starts between 2021 and 2026, a strike rate of 18.9%. Placed 18 times in total (48.6% of starts).
- Who trains Capital Theory?
- Capital Theory (GB) is trained by H D McGuigan, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 5 August 2026.
- Who is Capital Theory's sire?
- Capital Theory (GB) is by Muhaarar (GB) out of Montalcino (IRE), whose sire is Big Bad Bob.
- What going does Capital Theory prefer?
- Capital Theory (GB) has the best record on good to soft going: 2 wins from 6 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Capital Theory's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 75, from the run on 5 August 2026. The highest on record is 91.
- What is Capital Theory's sire's record?
- Muhaarar (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 4,791 runs since Jan 2008 (412 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Capital Theory's siblings?
- Out of Montalcino (IRE), Capital Theory (GB) has 4 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Sahana (GB) (2). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Sahana (GB)). The wins came over 5f–1m. As at Oct 2026.