Ryan Sexton
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 300 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). When claiming the record reads 12% (716 rides).
The record is strongest at Musselburgh (18.6%, n=43) and Beverley (17.5%, n=63) — all clear of the rider's 10% baseline. It is weakest at Hamilton (2% over 49 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.9% (n=185, Fair A/E 0.85). The market has consistently overbet rides on last-time-out winners: 8.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.57 and −85.09 to a £1 stake over 136 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Julie Camacho supplies 39% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.1%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 1.2% over 81 rides, 8.8pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Virgin Bet Foundation Stakes at Goodwood (Sep 2025, £34,026). Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Apr.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2020→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,567 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,567 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 July 2020 to 19 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Ryan Sexton's strike rate?
- Ryan Sexton has won 150 of 1,500 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Ryan Sexton do best at?
- Musselburgh by strike rate: 8 wins from 43 rides (18.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Ryan Sexton ride most for?
- Julie Camacho, with 592 rides since 2022 — 39% of the total. That pairing has won 54 (9.1%).
- Is Ryan Sexton in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 11 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Ryan Sexton's Fair A/E?
- 0.99, from 1,487 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.