Horse profile
Carron (IRE)
by Invincible Spirit (IRE) out of Waikuku Beach (IRE) (Most Improved)
16 runs · 14 courses · from Sep 2024
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
4 wins · 4 courses
Ran 12 days ago · 9th of 9
Last raced off OR 84
KTB Profile
Carron is a gelding who has four wins from 16 starts. Each of his wins came on a first visit to the course, with two at 1m – 1m1f on Standard (AW) and two at 6f – 7f, one on Good to Firm and one on Standard (AW). He has three wins from six runs on all-weather and one win from 10 starts on turf. Aged 4 at his last run in Oct 2026, he finished 9 of 9 at Nottingham off an official rating of 84, having been held up.
Based on 16 archived runs · run-style from 5 commented runs · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically held up
- 4–16Wins / Runs
- 25%Strike rate
- 5 (31.3%)Placed
- +3.66£1 level staken=16 at SP
- 2.13Fair A/E n=16 · 1.78 incl. margin
- 86Highest OR
- 50dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating84↓ 2lb off peak
84
74–86
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 120
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 20 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 6 | 104A | 87 | 4 · 94 / 76 |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 115B | 90 | 1 · — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 89C | 71.5 | 2 · 89 / 71.5 |
| Soft | 2 | 120B | 83.5 | 1 · — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 20 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 12 | 120B | 84.5 | 7 · 120 / 80 |
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 115B | 88 | 1 · — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 16 figures from 16 runs · as at 15 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 5 analysed runs
- Held up 3 (60%) · 1 win
- Prominent 2 (40%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Invincible Spirit (IRE)
Progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 20,816 runs since Jan 2008 (1,573 horses).
Strongest on firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 161 | 26 | 16.1% | +4.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 3,581 | 463 | 12.9% | +1 | 1 from 4 |
| Good | 4,529 | 487 | 10.8% | −1.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 2,132 | 254 | 11.9% | 0 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 2,757 | 303 | 11% | −0.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 790 | 76 | 9.6% | −2.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 6,865 | 866 | 12.6% | +0.7 | 3 from 6 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 3,048 | 399 | 13.1% | +1.2 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 9,828 | 1,178 | 12% | +0.1 | 2 from 4 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4,502 | 542 | 12% | +0.1 | 2 from 12 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,139 | 249 | 11.6% | −0.3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 843 | 66 | 7.8% | −4.1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 360 | 33 | 9.2% | −2.7 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 89 | 8 | 9% | −2.9 | — |
| Over 3m | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | +2.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 19 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Waikuku Beach (IRE) (Most Improved)
No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 6 | 3 | 50% | +8.66 |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 10 | 2 | 20% | +1.91 |
| Class 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +5.75 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sandown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.91 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +9.00 |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.75 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 12 | 2 | 17% | −0.09 |
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 2 | 50% | +3.75 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Loughnane | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.09 |
| James Sullivan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jason Watson | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.75 |
| Ray Dawson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Zac Lloyd | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jack Callan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Rob Hornby | 1 | 1 | 100% | +9.00 |
| William Buick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paul Mulrennan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Trevor Whelan | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Richard Kingscote | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 12 | 3 | 25% | +5.75 |
| Tongue tie | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.09 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −5.09 |
| 2025 | 8 | 3 | 38% | +9.75 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct 26+15d | Nottingham | Jeremy Bradbeer Memorial Handicap Stakes Raced keenly in fits and starts - among the backmarkers - urged along over 3f out and left behind - no threat to the principals - finished 9th | 9/9 | 6½ | 9-11 | 84 | 54C | 61C | James Sullivan | 80/1 |
| 22 Sep 26+26d | Southwell (AW) | attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Div I) Settled towards the rear early - pushed along and lost touch inside final two furlongs - allowed to drop away close home | 11/11 | 11 | 10-1 | 86 | 28C | 66C | Ray Dawson | 50/1 |
| 27 Aug 26+78d | Southwell (AW) | Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Handicap Stakes Settled in the pack - squeezed for space two out - slipped to the back and pressed for a run inside the final furlong - soon struggling to keep tabs | 11/11 | 1½ | 9-13 | 86 | 72A | 62A | James Sullivan | 22/1 |
| 10 Jun 26+39d | Yarmouth | Royal Ascot On Sky Sports Racing Handicap Up with the pace - driven 2f out - pushed to the fore over 1f out - disputed with the winner inside the final furlong and stayed on - just held close home | 2/11 | nk | 9-9 | 85 | 120B | 111A | Zac Lloyd | 13/2 |
| 02 May 26+35d | Newmarket | National Stud Handicap Settled at back on the far flank early - pushed along with 2f to run - edged left soon after - stayed on at one speed inside the last - finished eighth beaten 8 lengths | 8/13 | nk | 9-8 | 86 | 64C | 83A | Billy Loughnane | 14/1 |
| 28 Mar 26+22d | Doncaster | William Hill Epic Boosts Spring Mile Handicap (Str) Prominent early - holding position past 2f out - pushed along with no headway inside final furlong - dropped away quickly finishing 14th | 14/22 | 2¾ | 9-4 | 82 | 89C | 69C | Jack Callan | 14/1 |
| 06 Mar 26+79d | Newcastle (AW) | Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Handicap Sat behind front group early - urged forward 2f out - moved ahead inside final furlong under pressure - met by determined run close home - dug deep to hold on at the line | 1/10 | 9-6 | 82 | 94A | 94A | Billy Loughnane | 10/11F | |
| 17 Dec 25+85d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Settled at the back early - pushed along with 2f left then edged forward inside final furlong - finished 7th without further improvement | 7/12 | ¾ | 9-3 | 82 | 80A | 76A | Billy Loughnane | 6/1 |
| 23 Sep 25+25d | Lingfield (AW) | At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap Sat close to pace on the wide side - driven and closed on front-runner inside final furlong - stayed on strongly to hit the front near the line | 1/10 | 9-3 | 79 | 97A | 90A | Rob Hornby | 9/1 | |
| 29 Aug 25+13d | Sandown | Hwfa Williams - Founder Of Sandown Park Handicap Held up in the pack from the off - unable to land a blow - well held in 13th | 13/13 | 10 | 9-9 | 80 | 47C | 54C | William Buick | 6/1 |
| 16 Aug 25+42d | Ripon | William Hill World Free From MND Handicap Clipped another runner at the off - knocked sideways a furlong in - settled into second spot up with the pace - challenging the front-runner two out - squeezed for space and pushed along inside the last - faded near the line to finish fifth | 5/8 | nk | 9-8 | 80 | 89A | 76A | Paul Mulrennan | 15/2 |
| 05 Jul 25+21d | Leicester | High Noon Pineapple Vodka Soda Handicap Tracked the pace early - moved through strongly with 3f left - sent to the front approaching the final furlong - clear and driven out to the line | 1/8 | 9-5 | 74 | 115B | 96A | Trevor Whelan | 4/1 | |
| 14 Jun 25+49d | Sandown | Download The BetMGM App Handicap Settled in the pack - moved to the outside approaching 2f out and asked for effort - dropped away final furlong to finish fifth | 5/7 | 2¼ | 8-12 | 76 | 91A | 69A | Billy Loughnane | 33/1 |
| 26 Apr 25+19d | Haydock | Get Best Odds Guaranteed At Unibet Handicap Settled just off the pace on the rail - lost touch inside final 2f - finished 7th | 7/11 | 4½ | 9-2 | 76 | 65C | 57C | Jason Watson | 4/1 |
| 07 Apr 25+198d | Wolverhampton (AW) | BetMGM: It's Showtime Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Sat handy early - driven into second spot 2f out - asked for effort approaching final furlong - closed on front-runner inside final 110 yards - edged ahead right at the line to score | 1/11 | 9-2 | — | 104A | 89A | Jason Watson | 7/4 | |
| 21 Sep 24 | Newbury | Etcetera Construction 40th Anniversary EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) Settled off the pace - pushed along 3f out - drifted right and dropped away inside final furlong - finished sixth | 6/7 | 6½ | 9-7 | — | 47A | 61A | Richard Kingscote | 11/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Carron (IRE) won?
- Carron (IRE) won 4 of 16 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 25%. Placed 5 times in total (31.3% of starts).
- Who trains Carron (IRE)?
- Carron (IRE) is trained by Ruth Carr, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 7 October 2026.
- Who is Carron (IRE)'s sire?
- Carron (IRE) is by Invincible Spirit (IRE) out of Waikuku Beach (IRE), whose sire is Most Improved.
- What going does Carron (IRE) prefer?
- Carron (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 3 wins from 6 starts (50%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Carron (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 84, from the run on 7 October 2026. The highest on record is 86.
- What is Carron (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Invincible Spirit (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 20,816 runs since Jan 2008 (1,573 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.